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In the aftermath of the financial crisis, the growing literature on financial networks has widely documented the predictive power of topological characteristics (e.g. degree centrality measures) to explain the systemic impact or systemic…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-27 Yérali Gandica , Sophie Béreau , Jean-Yves Gnabo

We study financial networks where banks are connected by debt contracts. We consider the operation of debt swapping when two creditor banks decide to exchange an incoming payment obligation, thus leading to a locally different network…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-13 Pál András Papp , Roger Wattenhofer

In this paper, we measure systematic risk with a new nonparametric factor model, the neural network factor model. The suitable factors for systematic risk can be naturally found by inserting daily returns on a wide range of assets into the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-09-14 Jeonggyu Huh

The financial crisis clearly illustrated the importance of characterizing the level of 'systemic' risk associated with an entire credit network, rather than with single institutions. However, the interplay between financial distress and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-12-10 Tiziano Squartini , Iman van Lelyveld , Diego Garlaschelli

We report a study of a stylized banking cascade model investigating systemic risk caused by counter party failure using liabilities and assets to define banks' balance sheet. In our stylized system, banks can be in two states: normally…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-18 Annika Birch , Tomaso Aste

Financial markets are exposed to systemic risk, the risk that a substantial fraction of the system ceases to function and collapses. Systemic risk can propagate through different mechanisms and channels of contagion. One important form of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-02-02 Sebastian Poledna , Serafín Martínez-Jaramillo , Fabio Caccioli , Stefan Thurner

Risk assessment is a substantial problem for financial institutions that has been extensively studied both for its methodological richness and its various practical applications. With the expansion of inclusive finance, recent attentions…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-03 Zheng Zhang , Yingsheng Ji , Jiachen Shen , Xi Zhang , Guangwen Yang

Systemic risks of default contagion in the Russian interbank market are investigated. The analysis is based on considering the bow-tie structure of the weighted oriented graph describing the structure of the interbank loans. A probabilistic…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-01-05 A. V. Leonidov , E. L. Rumyantsev

The 2023 U.S. banking crisis propagated not through direct financial linkages but through a high-frequency, information-based contagion channel. This paper moves beyond exploration analysis to test the "too-similar-to-fail" hypothesis,…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-06 Haibo Wang , Jun Huang , Lutfu S Sua , Jaime Ortiz , Jinshyang Roan , Bahram Alidaee

This study investigates the functioning of modern payment systems through the lens of banks' maturity mismatch practices, and it examines the effects of banks' refusal to roll over short-term interbank liabilities on financial stability.…

General Economics · Economics 2023-06-12 Jessica Reale

A central challenge in financial economics is understanding how credit networks form under informational noise. We introduce the concept of topological capital, arguing that banks increasingly rely on topological certification, interpreting…

General Economics · Economics 2026-03-16 Anna Pirogova , Anna Mancini , Tiziano Squartini , Giulio Cimini

Internet finance is a new financial model that applies Internet technology to payment, capital borrowing and lending and transaction processing. In order to study the internal risks, this paper uses the Internet financial risk elements as…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-01-08 Runjie Xu , Chuanmin Mi , Rafal Mierzwiak , Runyu Meng

Systemic risk is concerned with the instability of a financial system whose members are interdependent in the sense that the failure of a few institutions may trigger a chain of defaults throughout the system. Recently, several systemic…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-02 Çağın Ararat , Nurtai Meimanjan

The financial crisis has dramatically demonstrated that the traditional approach to apply univariate monetary risk measures to single institutions does not capture sufficiently the perilous systemic risk that is generated by the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-04-27 Francesca Biagini , Jean-Pierre Fouque , Marco Frittelli , Thilo Meyer-Brandis

The importance of adequately modeling credit risk has once again been highlighted in the recent financial crisis. Defaults tend to cluster around times of economic stress due to poor macro-economic conditions, {\em but also} by directly…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-04 Sebastian Heise , Reimer Kuehn

Micro-structural models of contagion and systemic risk emphasize that shock propagation is inherently multi-channel, spanning counterparty exposures, short-term funding and roll-over risk, securities cross-holdings, and common-asset…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-12 Ilias Aarab , Thomas Gottron , Andrea Colombo , Jörg Reddig , Annalauro Ianiro

This systemic risk paper introduces inhomogeneous random financial networks (IRFNs). Such models are intended to describe parts, or the entirety, of a highly heterogeneous network of banks and their interconnections, in the global financial…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-23 T. R. Hurd

We propose a dynamic model of dependence structure between financial institutions within a financial system and we construct measures for dependence and financial instability. Employing Markov structures of joint credit migrations, our…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-09-11 Yu-Sin Chang

Banking system crises are complex events that in a short span of time can inflict extensive damage to banks themselves and to the external economy. The crisis literature has so far identified a number of distinct effects or channels that…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-11-16 T. R. Hurd

How, and to what extent, does an interconnected financial system endogenously amplify external shocks? This paper attempts to reconcile some apparently different views emerged after the 2008 crisis regarding the nature and the relevance of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-30 Gabriele Visentin , Stefano Battiston , Marco D'Errico
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