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We consider the problem of governing systemic risk in an assets-liabilities dynamical model of banking system. In the model considered each bank is represented by its assets and its liabilities.The capital reserves of a bank are the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-05-30 Lorella Fatone , Francesca Mariani

One of the most defining features of the global financial network is its inherent complex and intertwined structure. From the perspective of systemic risk it is important to understand the influence of this network structure on default…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-12-11 Nils Detering , Thilo Meyer-Brandis , Konstantinos Panagiotou , Daniel Ritter

Systemic financial risk refers to the simultaneous failure or destabilization of multiple financial institutions, often triggered by contagion mechanisms or common exposures to shocks. In this paper, we present a dynamical model of bank…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-03-31 Marco Ioffredi , Stefano Marmi , Matteo Tanzi

This paper develops a continuous functional framework for analyzing contagion dynamics in financial networks, extending the Navier-Stokes-based approach to network-structured spatial processes. We model financial distress propagation as a…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-28 Tatsuru Kikuchi

Economic interdependencies have become increasingly present in globalized production, financial and trade systems. While establishing interdependencies among economic agents is crucial for the production of complex products, they may also…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-12-23 Aymeric Vié , Alfredo J. Morales

We present a multilayer network model for credit risk assessment. Our model accounts for multiple connections between borrowers (such as their geographic location and their economic activity) and allows for explicitly modelling the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-07-27 María Óskarsdóttir , Cristián Bravo

The failure of key financial institutions may accelerate risk contagion due to their interconnections within the system. In this paper, we propose a robust portfolio strategy to mitigate systemic risks during extreme events. We use the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-21 Qian Hui , Tiandong Wang

Financial markets are exposed to systemic risk (SR), the risk that a major fraction of the system ceases to function, and collapses. It has recently become possible to quantify SR in terms of underlying financial networks where nodes…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-03 Sebastian Poledna , Stefan Thurner

We study cascades on a two-layer multiplex network, with asymmetric feedback that depends on the coupling strength between the layers. Based on an analytical branching process approximation, we calculate the systemic risk measured by the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-01-24 Rebekka Burkholz , Matt V. Leduc , Antonios Garas , Frank Schweitzer

In the wake of the ongoing global financial crisis, interdependencies among banks have come into focus in trying to assess systemic risk. To date, such analysis has largely been based on numerical data. By contrast, this study attempts to…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-06-26 Samuel Rönnqvist , Peter Sarlin

This paper investigates two mechanisms of financial contagion that are, firstly, the correlated exposure of banks to the same source of risk, and secondly the direct exposure of banks in the interbank market. It will consider a random…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-15 Seyyed Mostafa Mousavi , Robert Mackay , Alistair Tucker

In the aftermath of the financial crisis, supervisory authorities have considerably altered the mode of operation of financial stress testing. Despite these efforts, significant concerns and extensive criticism have been raised by market…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-14 Anastasios Petropoulos , Vassilis Siakoulis , Konstantinos P. Panousis , Loukas Papadoulas , Sotirios Chatzis

Following several episodes of financial market turmoil in recent decades, changes in systemic risk have drawn growing attention. Therefore, we propose surveillance schemes for systemic risk, which allow to detect misspecified systemic risk…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-14 Timo Dimitriadis , Yannick Hoga

Based on an empirical analysis of the network structure of the Austrian inter-bank market, we study the flow of funds through the banking network following exogenous shocks to the system. These shocks are implemented by stochastic changes…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 Michael Boss , Martin Summer , Stefan Thurner

The topological properties of interbank networks have been discussed widely in the literature mainly because of their relevance for systemic risk. Here we propose to use the Stochastic Block Model to investigate and perform a model…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-10-25 Paolo Barucca , Fabrizio Lillo

Propagation of balance-sheet or cash-flow insolvency across financial institutions may be modeled as a cascade process on a network representing their mutual exposures. We derive rigorous asymptotic results for the magnitude of contagion in…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-03-26 Hamed Amini , Rama Cont , Andreea Minca

Modern society heavily relies on strongly connected, socio-technical systems. As a result, distinct risks threatening the operation of individual systems can no longer be treated in isolation. Consequently, risk experts are actively seeking…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-02-07 Christos Ellinas , Neil Allan , Caroline Coombe

We propose a simple model of inter-bank borrowing and lending where the evolution of the log-monetary reserves of $N$ banks is described by a system of diffusion processes coupled through their drifts in such a way that stability of the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-08-12 Rene Carmona , Jean-Pierre Fouque , Li-Hsien Sun

An interbank market lets participants pool the risk arising from the combination of illiquid investments and random withdrawals by depositors. But it also creates the potential for one bank's failure to trigger off avalanches of further…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-07 Giulia Iori , Saqib Jafarey

Systemic risk refers to the risk that the financial system is susceptible to failures due to the characteristics of the system itself. The tremendous cost of systemic risk requires the design and implementation of tools for the efficient…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-06 Zachary Feinstein , Birgit Rudloff , Stefan Weber
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