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Complex interactions between two opposing agents frequently occur in domains of machine learning, game theory, and other application domains. Quantitatively analyzing the strategies involved can provide an objective basis for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-28 Calvin C. K. Yeung , Keisuke Fujii

Online ad platforms offer budget management tools for advertisers that aim to maximize the number of conversions given a budget constraint. As the volume of impressions, conversion rates and prices vary over time, these budget management…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-02-15 Bhuvesh Kumar , Jamie Morgenstern , Okke Schrijvers

We consider clustering player behavior and learning the optimal team composition for multiplayer online games. The goal is to determine a set of descriptive play style groupings and learn a predictor for win/loss outcomes. The predictor…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-03-10 Hao Yi Ong , Sunil Deolalikar , Mark Peng

Sequential reasoning is a complex human ability, with extensive previous research focusing on gaming AI in a single continuous game, round-based decision makings extending to a sequence of games remain less explored. Counter-Strike: Global…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-08-13 Yilei Zeng , Deren Lei , Beichen Li , Gangrong Jiang , Emilio Ferrara , Michael Zyda

We study how individuals trade off outcome ("what") and process ("how") utility in high-stakes strategic decisions, namely professional tennis. Using optimality conditions and the second-service rule, we derive a sufficient condition for…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-25 Arnaud Dupuy

We consider a matching problem, which is meaningful in team competitions, as well as in information theory, recommender systems, and assignment problems. In the competitions which we study, each competitor in a team order plays a match with…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Haris Aziz , Jiarui Gan , Grzegorz Lisowski , Ali Pourmiri

In Major League Baseball, strategy and planning are major factors in determining the outcome of a game. Previous studies have aided this by building machine learning models for predicting the winning team of any given game. We extend this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-05 Morgan Allen , Paul Savala

Competition is a primary driver of player satisfaction and engagement in multiplayer online games. Traditional matchmaking systems aim at creating matches involving teams of similar aggregated individual skill levels, such as Elo score or…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-06-25 Sofia M Nikolakaki , Ogheneovo Dibie , Ahmad Beirami , Nicholas Peterson , Navid Aghdaie , Kazi Zaman

Many high-stakes decision-making problems, such as those found within cybersecurity and economics, can be modeled as competitive resource allocation games. In these games, multiple players must allocate limited resources to overcome their…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-01-10 N'yoma Diamond , Fabricio Murai

Composing a team of professional players is among the most crucial decisions in association football. Nevertheless, transfer market decisions are often based on myopic objectives and are questionable from a financial point of view. This…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-10-06 Giovanni Pantuso , Lars Magnus Hvattum

With the surge in mobile gaming, accurately predicting user spending on newly downloaded games has become paramount for maximizing revenue. However, the inherently unpredictable nature of user behavior poses significant challenges in this…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-04-15 Peijie Sun , Yifan Wang , Min Zhang , Chuhan Wu , Yan Fang , Hong Zhu , Yuan Fang , Meng Wang

The most important factors which contribute to the efficiency of game-theoretical algorithms are time and game complexity. In this study, we have offered an elegant method to deal with high complexity of game theoretic multi-objective…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2015-03-13 Mahsa Badami , Ali Hamzeh , Sattar Hashemi

Competitive online games use rating systems to match players with similar skills to ensure a satisfying experience for players. In this paper, we focus on the importance of addressing different aspects of playing behavior when modeling…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-12-09 Arman Dehpanah , Muheeb Faizan Ghori , Jonathan Gemmell , Bamshad Mobasher

In this paper, we study a game with positive or plus infinite expectation and determine the optimal proportion of investment for maximizing the limit expectation of growth rate per attempt. With this objective, we introduce a new pricing…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-06-28 Yukio Hirashita

There seems to be an upper limit to predicting the outcome of matches in (semi-)professional sports. Recent work has proposed that this is due to chance and attempts have been made to simulate the distribution of win percentages to identify…

Applications · Statistics 2015-08-21 Albrecht Zimmermann

Consider an important meeting to be held in a team-based organization. Taking availability constraints into account, an online scheduling poll is being used in order to decide upon the exact time of the meeting. Decisions are to be taken…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-29 Robert Bredereck , Jiehua Chen , Rolf Niedermeier , Svetlana Obraztsova , Nimrod Talmon

Passing during power plays in hockey is a crucial component to move one's team closer to scoring a goal. With the use of women's ice hockey event and tracking data from the elimination round games during the 2022 Winter Olympics, we…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-02 Robyn Ritchie , Alon Harell , Phil Shreeves

Professional team sports provide an excellent domain for studying the dynamics of social competitions. These games are constructed with simple, well-defined rules and payoffs that admit a high-dimensional set of possible actions and…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-06-17 Leto Peel , Aaron Clauset

In adversarial interactions, one is often required to make strategic decisions over multiple periods of time, wherein decisions made earlier impact a player's competitive standing as well as how choices are made in later stages. In this…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-09-14 Rahul Chandan , Keith Paarporn , Mahnoosh Alizadeh , Jason R. Marden

We consider the problem of constructing probabilistic predictions that lead to accurate decisions when employed by downstream users to inform actions. For a single decision maker, designing an optimal predictor is equivalent to minimizing a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-15 Isaac Gibbs , Ryan J. Tibshirani