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Population genetic processes, such as the adaptation of a quantitative trait to directional selection, may occur on longer time scales than the sweep of a single advantageous mutation. To study such processes in finite populations,…
Gaussian process emulators of computationally expensive computer codes provide fast statistical approximations to model physical processes. The training of these surrogates depends on the set of design points chosen to run the simulator.…
Estimation of the covariance matrix has attracted a lot of attention of the statistical research community over the years, partially due to important applications such as Principal Component Analysis. However, frequently used empirical…
Let $(X _i)_{i\geq1}$ be a stationary sequence. Denote $m=\lfloor n^\alpha \rfloor, 0< \alpha < 1,$ and $ k=\lfloor n/m \rfloor,$ where $\lfloor a \rfloor$ stands for the integer part of $a.$ Set $S_{j}^\circ = \sum_{i=1}^m X_{m(j-1)+i},…
We consider the problem of mean estimation assuming only finite variance. We study a new class of mean estimators constructed by integrating over random noise applied to a soft-truncated empirical mean estimator. For appropriate choices of…
We propose a general error analysis related to the low-rank approximation of a given real matrix in both the spectral and Frobenius norms. First, we derive deterministic error bounds that hold with some minimal assumptions. Second, we…
In this article, we prove a joint large deviation principle in $n$ for the \emph{empirical pair measure} and \emph{ empirical offspring measure} of critical multitype Galton-Watson trees conditioned to have exactly $n$ vertices in the weak…
The standard Monte Carlo estimator $\widehat{I}_N^{\mathrm{MC}}$ of $\int fd\omega$ relies on independent samples from $\omega$ and has variance of order $1/N$. Replacing the samples with a determinantal point process (DPP), a repulsive…
In this paper, we consider partial sums of martingale differences weighted by random variables drawn uniformly on the sphere, and globally independent of the martingale differences. Combining Lindeberg's method and a series of arguments due…
In a reinforced Galton-Watson process with reproduction law $\boldsymbol{\nu}$ and memory parameter $q\in(0,1)$, the number of children of a typical individual either, with probability $q$, repeats that of one of its forebears picked…
A new integer--valued autoregressive process (INAR) with Generalised Lagrangian Katz (GLK) innovations is defined. This process family provides a flexible modelling framework for count data, allowing for under and over--dispersion,…
The article starts with generalizations of some classical results and new truncation error upper bounds in the sampling theorem for bandlimited stochastic processes. Then, it investigates $L_p([0,T])$ and uniform approximations of…
The Bayesian Cram\'er-Rao bound (CRB) provides a lower bound on the mean square error of any Bayesian estimator under mild regularity conditions. It can be used to benchmark the performance of statistical estimators, and provides a…
We consider a class of semi-parametric dynamic models with strong white noise errors. This class of processes includes the standard Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model, the nonfundamental structural VAR, the mixed causal-noncausal models, as…
We show a decomposition into the sum of a martingale and a deterministic quantity for time averages of the solutions to non-autonomous SDEs and for discrete-time Markov processes. In the SDE case the martingale has an explicit…
This paper studies the estimation of large precision matrices and Cholesky factors obtained by observing a Gaussian process at many locations. Under general assumptions on the precision and the observations, we show that the sample…
We study multi-type Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson processes with linear-fractional reproduction laws using various analytical tools like contour process, spinal representation, Perron-Frobenius theorem for countable matrices, renewal theory. For…
We propose an approach utilizing gamma-distributed random variables, coupled with log-Gaussian modeling, to generate synthetic datasets suitable for training neural networks. This addresses the challenge of limited real observations in…
We introduce a new method for analyzing midpoint discretizations of stochastic differential equations (SDEs), which are frequently used in Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods for sampling from a target measure $\pi \propto \exp(-V)$.…
In this paper an easy to implement method of stochastically weighing short and long memory linear processes is introduced. The method renders asymptotically exact size confidence intervals for the population mean which are significantly…