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Model risk has a huge impact on any risk measurement procedure and its quantification is therefore a crucial step. In this paper, we introduce three quantitative measures of model risk when choosing a particular reference model within a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-07-11 Pauline Barrieu , Giacomo Scandolo

The minimality of the penalization function associated with a convex risk measure is analyzed in this paper. First, in a general static framework, we provide necessary and sufficient conditions for a penalty function defined in a convex and…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-31 Daniel Hernández-Hernández , Leonel Pérez-Hernández

In this paper, we consider a multi-objective control problem for stochastic systems that seeks to minimize a cost of interest while ensuring safety. We introduce a novel measure of safety risk using the conditional value-at-risk and a set…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-23 Samantha Samuelson , Insoon Yang

We study stochastic systems characterized by difference inclusions. Such stochastic differential inclusions are defined by set-valued maps involving the current state and stochastic input. For such systems, we investigate the problem of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-29 Masoumeh Ghanbarpour , Sriram Sankaranarayanan

We analyze the performance of RiskMetrics, a widely used methodology for measuring market risk. Based on the assumption of normally distributed returns, the RiskMetrics model completely ignores the presence of fat tails in the distribution…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Szilard Pafka , Imre Kondor

Risk management often plays an important role in decision making under uncertainty. In quantitative risk management, assessing and optimizing risk metrics requires efficient computing techniques and reliable theoretical guarantees. In this…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-01 Zhaolin Hu

The aim of this study is to present proofs for new theorems. Basic thoughts of new definitions emerge from the decision-making under uncertainty in economics and finance. Shape of the certain utility curve is central to standard definitions…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-15 Atilla Aras

In this paper, we introduce a new class of set-valued risk measures, named set-valued star-shaped risk measures. Motivated by the results of scalar monetary and star-shaped risk measures, this paper investigates the representation theorems…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-24 Bingchu Nie , Dejian Tian , Long Jiang

Science and technology have a growing need for effective mechanisms that ensure reliable, controlled performance from black-box machine learning algorithms. These performance guarantees should ideally hold conditionally on the input-that is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-28 Vincent Blot , Anastasios N Angelopoulos , Michael I Jordan , Nicolas J-B Brunel

Having a perfect model to compute the optimal policy is often infeasible in reinforcement learning. It is important in high-stakes domains to quantify and manage risk induced by model uncertainties. Entropic risk measure is an exponential…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-23 Reazul Hasan Russel , Bahram Behzadian , Marek Petrik

The present paper provides a representation result for monetary risk measures (i.e., monotone translation invariant functionals) satisfying a weak maxitivity property. This result can be understood as a functional analytic generalization of…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2022-12-13 José Miguel Zapata

In this paper we introduce a generalization of classical risk measures in which the risk is represented by a step function taking two values, corresponding to two endogenously determined market regimes. This extends the traditional…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-16 Mihaela-Adriana Nistor , Ionel Popescu

The risk of extreme environmental events is of great importance for both the authorities and the insurance industry. This paper concerns risk measures in a spatial setting, in order to introduce the spatial features of damages stemming from…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-12 Erwan Koch

This paper studies a risk-sensitive decision-making problem under uncertainty. It considers a decision-making process that unfolds over a fixed number of stages, in which a decision-maker chooses among multiple alternatives, some of which…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-07 Chung-Han Hsieh , Yi-Shan Wong

Evaluation of systemic risk in networks of financial institutions in general requires information of inter-institution financial exposures. In the framework of Debt Rank algorithm, we introduce an approximate method of systemic risk…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-14 Sebastian M. Krause , Hrvoje Štefančić , Vinko Zlatić , Guido Caldarelli

This paper is concerned with a simulation study for a stochastic production network model, where the capacities of machines may change randomly. We introduce performance measures motivated by risk measures from finance leading to a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-05-14 Simone Göttlich , Stephan Knapp

The paper analyzes risk assessment for cash flows in continuous time using the notion of convex risk measures for processes. By combining a decomposition result for optional measures, and a dual representation of a convex risk measure for…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-18 Irina Penner , Anthony Reveillac

Potential Future Exposure (PFE) is a standard risk metric for managing business unit counterparty credit risk but there is debate on how it should be calculated. The debate has been whether to use one of many historical ("physical")…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-12-22 Chris Kenyon , Andrew Green , Mourad Berrahoui

We provide an economic interpretation of the practice consisting in incorporating risk measures as constraints in a classic expected return maximization problem. For what we call the infimum of expectations class of risk measures, we show…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-06-19 Laetitia Andrieu , Michel De Lara , Babacar Seck

This paper was presented and written for two seminars: a national UK University Risk Conference and a Risk Management industry workshop. The target audience is therefore a cross section of Academics and industry professionals. The current…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-04-07 Sovan Mitra