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Medical machine learning algorithms are typically evaluated based on accuracy vs. a clinician-defined ground truth, a reasonable initial choice since trained clinicians are usually better classifiers than ML models. However, this metric…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-21 Charles B. Delahunt , Courosh Mehanian , Matthew P. Horning

{Analyzing and modeling rare events in count data presents significant challenges due to the scarcity of observations and the complexity of underlying processes, which are often overlooked by analysts due to limitations in time, resources,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-07 Zeke Ahern , Paul Corry , Alexander Paz

In this paper, a new mixed Poisson distribution is introduced. This new distribution is obtained by utilizing mixing process, with Poisson distribution as mixed distribution and Transmuted Exponential distribution as mixing distribution.…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-05 Deepesh Bhati , Pooja Kumawat , E. Gómez Déniz

The current Poisson factor models often assume that the factors are unknown, which overlooks the explanatory potential of certain observable covariates. This study focuses on high dimensional settings, where the number of the count response…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-26 Wei Liu , Qingzhi Zhong

In medical research, understanding changes in outcome measurements is crucial for inferring shifts in health conditions. However, traditional methods often struggle with large, irregularly longitudinal data and fail to account for the…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-13 Yu Luo , Chris Sherlock

In this paper, an alternative count distribution suitable for modeling over dispersed, zero vertex unimodality and monotonically decreasing data sets. Though the proposed probability model includes Gauss Hypergeometric special function, it…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-30 Deepesh Bhati , Ishfaq Shah Ahmad

In this paper, a Bayesian method for piecewise regression is adapted to handle counting processes data distributed as Poisson. A numerical code in Mathematica is developed and tested analyzing simulated data. The resulting method is…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-02-21 Diego Sevilla

Count data occur widely in many bio-surveillance and healthcare applications, e.g., the numbers of new patients of different types of infectious diseases from different cities/counties/states repeatedly over time, say, daily/weekly/monthly.…

Applications · Statistics 2022-10-11 Yujie Zhao , Xiaoming Huo , Yajun Mei

Topic modeling is traditionally applied to word counts without accounting for the context in which words appear. Recent advancements in large language models (LLMs) offer contextualized word embeddings, which capture deeper meaning and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-30 Morgane Austern , Yuanchuan Guo , Zheng Tracy Ke , Tianle Liu

In the analysis of count data often the equidispersion assumption is not suitable, hence the Poisson regression model is inappropriate. As a generalization of the Poisson distribution, the COM-Poisson distribution can deal with under-,…

Over the past three decades, synthetic data methods for statistical disclosure control have continually evolved, but mainly within the domain of survey data sets. There are certain characteristics of administrative databases, such as their…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-13 James Edward Jackson , Robin Mitra , Brian Joseph Francis , Iain Dove

Real count data time series often show the phenomenon of the underdispersion and overdispersion. In this paper, we develop two extensions of the first-order integer-valued autoregressive process with Poisson innovations, based on binomial…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-27 Marcelo Bourguignon , Josemar Rodrigues , Manoel Santos-Neto

Count data are often subject to underreporting, especially in infectious disease surveillance. We propose an approximate maximum likelihood method to fit count time series models from the endemic-epidemic class to underreported data. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-25 Johannes Bracher , Leonhard Held

Presence-only data, point locations where a species has been recorded as being present, are often used in modeling the distribution of a species as a function of a set of explanatory variables---whether to map species occurrence, to…

Applications · Statistics 2010-11-16 David I. Warton , Leah C. Shepherd

The missing data problem pervasively exists in statistical applications. Even as simple as the count data in mortality projections, it may not be available for certain age-and-year groups due to the budget limitations or difficulties in…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-11 Rui Gong , Xiaoqian Sun , Leping Liu , Yu-Bo Wang

Our purpose in this paper is to apply the general methodology for model selection based on T-estimators developed in Birg\'{e} [Ann. Inst. H. Poincar\'{e} Probab. Statist. 42 (2006) 273--325] to the particular situation of the estimation of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Lucien Birgé

Random fields are useful mathematical tools for representing natural phenomena with complex dependence structures in space and/or time. In particular, the Gaussian random field is commonly used due to its attractive properties and…

Predictive risk models in the public sector are commonly developed using administrative data that is more complete for subpopulations that more greatly rely on public services. In the United States, for instance, information on health care…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-06 Nil-Jana Akpinar , Zachary C. Lipton , Alexandra Chouldechova

We are studying the problems of modeling and inference for multivariate count time series data with Poisson marginals. The focus is on linear and log-linear models. For studying the properties of such processes we develop a novel conceptual…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-10 Paul Doukhan , Konstantinos Fokianos , Bård Støve , Dag Tjøstheim

The issue of fairness arises when the automatic speech recognition (ASR) systems do not perform equally well for all subgroups of the population. In any fairness measurement studies for ASR, the open questions of how to control the nuisance…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-21 Zhe Liu , Irina-Elena Veliche , Fuchun Peng