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Bayesian approaches have become increasingly popular in causal inference problems due to their conceptual simplicity, excellent performance and in-built uncertainty quantification ('posterior credible sets'). We investigate Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-27 Kolyan Ray , Botond Szabo

We propose a general modeling framework for marked Poisson processes observed over time or space. The modeling approach exploits the connection of the nonhomogeneous Poisson process intensity with a density function. Nonparametric Dirichlet…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-11-02 Matthew A. Taddy , Athanasios Kottas

This paper describes performance bounds for compressed sensing (CS) where the underlying sparse or compressible (sparsely approximable) signal is a vector of nonnegative intensities whose measurements are corrupted by Poisson noise. In this…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-05-14 Maxim Raginsky , Rebecca M. Willett , Zachary T. Harmany , Roummel F. Marcia

Inferential challenges that arise when data are censored have been extensively studied under the classical frameworks. In this paper, we provide an alternative generalized inferential model approach whose output is a data-dependent…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-16 Joyce Cahoon , Ryan Martin

Recent papers have introduced a novel approach to explain why a Predictive Process Monitoring (PPM) model for outcome-oriented predictions provides wrong predictions. Moreover, they have shown how to exploit the explanations, obtained using…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-28 Williams Rizzi , Chiara Di Francescomarino , Chiara Ghidini , Fabrizio Maria Maggi

Contemporary insurance theory is concentrated on models with different types of polices and shock events may influence the payments on some of them. Jordanova (2018) considered a model where a shock event contributes to the total claim…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-28 Pavlina Jordanova , Evelina Veleva , Kosto Mitov

In this article, we propose a novel model for time series of counts called the hysteretic Poisson autoregressive (HPART) model with thresholds by extending the linear Poisson autoregressive model into a nonlinear model. Unlike other…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-22 Xintong Ma , Dong Li , Howell Tong

In this paper, the panel count data analysis for recurrent events is considered. Such analysis is useful for studying tumor or infection recurrences in both clinical trial and observational studies. A bivariate Gaussian Cox process model is…

Applications · Statistics 2019-02-19 Ye Liang , Yang Li , Bin Zhang

This paper describes a low-complexity approach for reconstructing average packet arrival rates and instantaneous packet counts at a router in a communication network, where the arrivals of packets in each flow follow a Poisson process.…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2010-03-16 Maxim Raginsky , Sina Jafarpour , Rebecca Willett , Robert Calderbank

Count data modeling has been extensively applied in medical sciences to analyze various healthcare datasets. Numerous probability models have been developed to address diverse aspects of healthcare data. In this study, we propose a novel…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-04 Peer Bilal Ahmad , Na Elah

A recent literature considers causal inference using noisy proxies for unobserved confounding factors. The proxies are divided into two sets that are independent conditional on the confounders. One set of proxies are `negative control…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-10-11 Ben Deaner

Concept-based explanation approach is a popular model interpertability tool because it expresses the reasons for a model's predictions in terms of concepts that are meaningful for the domain experts. In this work, we study the problem of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-25 Mohammad Taha Bahadori , David E. Heckerman

Over the past few decades, statistical methods for causal inference have made impressive strides, enabling progress across a range of scientific fields. However, much of this methodological development has been confined to individual…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-30 Wenqi Shi , José R. Zubizarreta

We are motivated by problems that arise in a number of applications such as Online Marketing and explosives detection, where the observations are usually modeled using Poisson statistics. We model each observation as a Poisson random…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-17 D. Motamedvaziri , M. H. Rohban , V. Saligrama

In clinical settings, we often face the challenge of building prediction models based on small observational data sets. For example, such a data set might be from a medical center in a multi-center study. Differences between centers might…

This study investigates the impact of masking strategies on time series imputation models in healthcare settings. While current approaches predominantly rely on random masking for model evaluation, this practice fails to capture the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-05 Linglong Qian , Yiyuan Yang , Wenjie Du , Jun Wang , Richard Dobsoni , Zina Ibrahim

Based on the model's resilience to computational noise, model quantization is important for compressing models and improving computing speed. Existing quantization techniques rely heavily on experience and "fine-tuning" skills. In the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-22 Daning Cheng , Wenguang Chen

Tuberculosis poses a global health risk and Brazil is among the top twenty countries by absolute mortality. However, this epidemiological burden is masked by under-reporting, which impairs planning for effective intervention. We present a…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-12 Oliver Stoner , Theo Economou , Gabriela Drummond

In machine learning, the selection of a promising model from a potentially large number of competing models and the assessment of its generalization performance are critical tasks that need careful consideration. Typically, model selection…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-06 Pascal Rink , Werner Brannath

Estimating the rank of a corrupted data matrix is an important task in data analysis, most notably for choosing the number of components in PCA. Significant progress on this task was achieved using random matrix theory by characterizing the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-12 Boris Landa , Thomas T. C. K. Zhang , Yuval Kluger
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