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The growth rate of real GDP per capita in the biggest OECD countries is represented as a sum of two components - a steadily decreasing trend and fluctuations related to the change in some specific age population. The long term trend in the…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-05-28 Ivan Kitov , Oleg Kitov

This study uses Vector Autoregression (VAR) Methodology as well as Vector Error Correction (VEC) Methodology to examine the existence and direction of causality between economic growth and IMF lending for Ukraine. The paper examines the IMF…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2015-09-08 Roman Kononenko

We show that fluctuations in the ratio of non-core to core funding in the banking systems of advanced economies are largely driven by three global factors of both real and financial natures, with country-specific factors playing only a…

General Economics · Economics 2025-04-04 Luís A. V. Catão , Jan Ditzen , Daniel Marcel te Kaat

Real GDP growth rate in developed countries is found to be a sum of two terms. The first term is the reciprocal value of the duration of the period of mean income growth with work experience, Tcr. The current value of Tcr in the USA is 40…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Ivan O. Kitov

Currency crises are frequently discussed retrospectively as a necessary and deterministic outcome of a finite sequence of fiscal decisions, monetary manoeuvres, and limited exogenous inputs. Parallelly, the Twin Deficits Hypothesis (TDH)…

General Economics · Economics 2025-10-09 Shaunak Kulkarni , Rohan Ajay Dubey

Does it matter whether a government is "left wing" or "right wing" for economic growth? Using a panel of 113 countries (1995 2022), we combine: (i) the economic ideology of the executive branch (V Dem), (ii) the disaggregated institutional…

General Economics · Economics 2025-09-08 Eduardo Koffmann Jopia , Patricia Galilea Aranda

All economies require physical resource consumption to grow and maintain their structure. The modern economy is additionally characterized by private debt. The Human and Resources with MONEY (HARMONEY) economic growth model links these…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-06-07 Carey W. King

It is commonly believed that financial crises "lead to" lower growth of a country during the two-year recession period, which can be reflected by their post-crisis GDP growth. However, by contrasting a causal model with a standard…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-11-14 Kaiwen Hou , David Hou , Yang Ouyang , Lulu Zhang , Aster Liu

In this paper, we explore the economic, institutional, and political/governmental factors in attracting Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) inflows in the emerging twenty-four Asian economies. To examine the significant determinants of FDI, the…

General Economics · Economics 2023-07-17 ATM Omor Faruq

We analyze export data aggregated at world global level of 219 classes of products over a period of 39 years. Our main goal is to set up a dynamical model to identify and quantify plausible mechanisms by which the evolutions of the various…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-20 Michele Caraglio , Fulvio Baldovin , Attilio L. Stella

A macroeconomic model based on the economic variables (i) assets, (ii) leverage (defined as debt over asset) and (iii) trust (defined as the maximum sustainable leverage) is proposed to investigate the role of credit in the dynamics of…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-24 Jeroen Rozendaal , Yannick Malevergne , Didier Sornette

Entrepreneurship is often touted for its ability to generate economic growth. Through the creative-destructive process, entrepreneurs are often able to innovate and outperform incumbent organizations, all of which is supposed to lead to…

General Economics · Economics 2019-03-08 Christopher J. Boudreaux

Ten years ago we presented a modified version of Okun law for the biggest developed economies and reported its excellent predictive power. In this study, we revisit the original models using the estimates of real GDP per capita and…

General Economics · Economics 2021-04-13 Ivan Kitov

We investigate the role of foreign direct investment (FDI) and research and development (R\&D) in the transitional dynamics of host countries using an optimal growth model. FDI may benefit the host country's GNP by enabling multinational…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-08 Thanh Tam Nguyen-Huu , Ngoc-Sang Pham

This paper examines the relationship between trade and financial openness, as well as the operational efficiency and growth of Turkish banks, from 2010 to 2023. Utilizing CAMELG-DEA and dynamic panel data analysis, the study finds that…

General Economics · Economics 2025-12-08 Haibo Wang , Lutfu Sua , Burak Dolar

Most models that try to explain economic growth indicate exponential growth paths. In recent years, however, a lively discussion has emerged considering the validity of this notion. In the empirical literature dealing with drivers of…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-06 Steffen Lange , Peter Pütz , Thomas Kopp

We show how bad and good volatility propagate through forex markets, i.e., we provide evidence for asymmetric volatility connectedness on forex markets. Using high-frequency, intra-day data of the most actively traded currencies over 2007 -…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-07-28 Jozef Barunik , Evzen Kocenda , Lukas Vacha

Behavioural finance offers a valuable framework for examining foreign exchange (FX) market dynamics, including puzzles such as excess volatility and fat-tailed distributions. Yet, when it comes to their interaction with the `real' side of…

General Economics · Economics 2025-08-05 Marwil J. Davila-Fernandez , Serena Sordi

There is, among the economist ecosystem, the idea of virtuous public spending as a form of promotion of economic growth. If we think on the way GDP is measured, it is not possible to get that conclusion because it becomes circular:…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-02-06 João P. da Cruz

Credit risk rating is shown to be a relevant determinant in order to estimate good corporate governance and to self-optimize capital structure. The conclusion is argued from a study on a selected (and justified) sample of (182) companies…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2017-12-05 ManYing Kang , Marcel Ausloos
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