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We consider estimating the predictive density under Kullback-Leibler loss in an $\ell_0$ sparse Gaussian sequence model. Explicit expressions of the first order minimax risk along with its exact constant, asymptotically least favorable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-04 Gourab Mukherjee , Iain M. Johnstone

We study the problem of estimating a distribution over a finite alphabet from an i.i.d. sample, with accuracy measured in relative entropy (Kullback-Leibler divergence). While optimal bounds on the expected risk are known, high-probability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-27 Jaouad Mourtada

We present a framework for the theoretical analysis of ensembles of low-complexity empirical risk minimisers trained on independent random compressions of high-dimensional data. First we introduce a general distribution-dependent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-03 Henry W. J. Reeve , Ata Kaban

This paper proposes a versatile covariate adjustment method that directly incorporates covariate balance in regression discontinuity (RD) designs. The new empirical entropy balancing method reweights the standard local polynomial RD…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-05-29 Jun Ma , Zhengfei Yu

The problem of estimation of analytic density function using L_p minimax risk is considered. A kernel-type estimator of an unknown density function is proposed and the upper bound on its limiting local minimax risk is established. Our…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-10-11 Natalia Stepanova

Dyadic data is often encountered when quantities of interest are associated with the edges of a network. As such it plays an important role in statistics, econometrics and many other data science disciplines. We consider the problem of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-17 Matias D. Cattaneo , Yingjie Feng , William G. Underwood

We consider the fundamental problem of estimating a discrete distribution on a domain of size $K$ with high probability in Kullback-Leibler divergence. We provide upper and lower bounds on the minimax estimation rate, which show that the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-23 Dirk van der Hoeven , Julia Olkhovskaia , Tim van Erven

This paper deals with minimax rates of convergence for estimation of density functions on the real line. The densities are assumed to be location mixtures of normals, a global regularity requirement that creates subtle difficulties for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-22 Arlene K. H. Kim

In the context of density level set estimation, we study the convergence of general plug-in methods under two main assumptions on the density for a given level $\lambda$. More precisely, it is assumed that the density (i) is smooth in a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-07 Philippe Rigollet , Régis Vert

We study minimax convergence rates of nonparametric density estimation in the Huber contamination model, in which a proportion of the data comes from an unknown outlier distribution. We provide the first results for this problem under a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-08 Ananya Uppal , Shashank Singh , Barnabas Poczos

We study the Lp-integrated risk of some classical estimators of the density, when the observations are drawn from a strictly stationary sequence. The results apply to a large class of sequences, which can be non-mixing in the sense of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-18 Jérôme Dedecker , Florence Merlevède

Probability density estimation is a core problem of statistics and signal processing. Moment methods are an important means of density estimation, but they are generally strongly dependent on the choice of feasible functions, which severely…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-06 Guangyu Wu , Anders Lindquist

We study the rate of convergence of posterior distributions in density estimation problems for log-densities in periodic Sobolev classes characterized by a smoothness parameter p. The posterior expected density provides a nonparametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Catia Scricciolo

We develop an approach for estimating models described via conditional moment restrictions, with a prototypical application being non-parametric instrumental variable regression. We introduce a min-max criterion function, under which the…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-06-15 Nishanth Dikkala , Greg Lewis , Lester Mackey , Vasilis Syrgkanis

As it is known, universal codes, which estimate the entropy rate consistently, exist for stationary ergodic sources over finite alphabets but not over countably infinite ones. We generalize universal coding as the problem of universal…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-08-01 Łukasz Dębowski

Formalising the confrontation of opinions (models) to observations (data) is the task of Inferential Statistics. Information Theory provides us with a basic functional, the relative entropy (or Kullback-Leibler divergence), an asymmetrical…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-03-13 François Bavaud

We consider an extension of $\epsilon$-entropy to a KL-divergence based complexity measure for randomized density estimation methods. Based on this extension, we develop a general information-theoretical inequality that measures the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Tong Zhang

We exploit the multiplicative structure of P\'olya Tree priors to establish novel consistency results on $p$-dimensional trees, conditions to obtain Kullback-Leibler minimax contraction rates for univariate density estimation and a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-06 Fernando Corrêa , Rafael Bassi Stern , Julio Michael Stern

Estimation problems with constrained parameter spaces arise in various settings. In many of these problems, the observations available to the statistician can be modelled as arising from the noisy realization of the image of a random linear…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-23 Reese Pathak , Martin J. Wainwright , Lin Xiao

Multi-dimensional distributions whose marginal distributions are uniform are called copulas. Among them, the one that satisfies given constraints on expectation and is closest to the independent distribution in the sense of Kullback-Leibler…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-11 Yici Chen , Tomonari Sei