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Density regression characterizes the conditional density of the response variable given the covariates, and provides much more information than the commonly used conditional mean or quantile regression. However, it is often computationally…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-15 Yunlu Chen , Nan Zhang

This paper considers the design of a minimax test for two hypotheses where the actual probability densities of the observations are located in neighborhoods obtained by placing a bound on the relative entropy between actual and nominal…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-18 Bernard C. Levy

Entropy integrals are widely used as a powerful empirical process tool to obtain upper bounds for the rates of convergence of global empirical risk minimizers (ERMs), in standard settings such as density estimation and regression. The upper…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-08 Qiyang Han

This paper deals with the problem of estimating predictive densities of a matrix-variate normal distribution with known covariance matrix. Our main aim is to establish some Bayesian predictive densities related to matricial shrinkage…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-03 Hisayuki Tsukuma , Tatsuya Kubokawa

We discuss the finite sample theoretical properties of online predictions in non-stationary time series under model misspecification. To analyze the theoretical predictive properties of statistical methods under this setting, we first…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-21 Kōsaku Takanashi , Kenichiro McAlinn

We consider the problem of estimating probability density functions based on sample data, using a finite mixture of densities from some component class. To this end, we introduce the $h$-lifted Kullback--Leibler (KL) divergence as a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-24 Mark Chiu Chong , Hien Duy Nguyen , TrungTin Nguyen

In this paper we study the problem of pointwise density estimation from observations with multiplicative measurement errors. We elucidate the main feature of this problem: the influence of the estimation point on the estimation accuracy. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-13 Denis Belomestny , Alexander Goldenshluger

This paper applies the recently axiomatized Optimum Information Principle (minimize the Kullback-Leibler information subject to all relevant information) to nonparametric density estimation, which provides a theoretical foundation as well…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-03-28 Alexis Akira Toda

We solve the problem of estimating the distribution of presumed i.i.d. observations for the total variation loss. Our approach is based on density models and is versatile enough to cope with many different ones, including some density…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-05 Y. Baraud , H. Halconruy , G. Maillard

We propose a new estimation procedure of the conditional density for independent and identically distributed data. Our procedure aims at using the data to select a function among arbitrary (at most countable) collections of candidates. By…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-26 Mathieu Sart

Distribution regression seeks to estimate the conditional distribution of a multivariate response given a continuous covariate. This approach offers a more complete characterization of dependence than traditional regression methods.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-10 Rong Tang , Yun Yang

This paper presents minimax rates for density estimation when the data dimension $d$ is allowed to grow with the number of observations $n$ rather than remaining fixed as in previous analyses. We prove a non-asymptotic lower bound which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-16 Daniel J. McDonald

Predictive inference requires balancing statistical accuracy against informational complexity, yet the choice of complexity measure is usually imposed rather than derived. We treat econometric objects as predictive rules, mappings from…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-16 Nicholas G. Polson , Daniel Zantedeschi

Let $X| \mu \sim N_p(\mu,v_xI)$ and $Y| \mu \sim N_p(\mu,v_yI)$ be independent p-dimensional multivariate normal vectors with common unknown mean $\mu$. Based on only observing $X=x$, we consider the problem of obtaining a predictive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Edward I. George , Feng Liang , Xinyi Xu

The paper deals with the problem of nonparametric estimating the $L_p$--norm, $p\in (1,\infty)$, of a probability density on $R^d$, $d\geq 1$ from independent observations. The unknown density %to be estimated is assumed to belong to a ball…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-26 Alexander Goldenshluger , Oleg Lepski

Maximum entropy models are increasingly being used to describe the collective activity of neural populations with measured mean neural activities and pairwise correlations, but the full space of probability distributions consistent with…

Biological Physics · Physics 2017-08-22 Badr F. Albanna , Christopher Hillar , Jascha Sohl-Dickstein , Michael R. DeWeese

We observe an infinite sequence of independent identically distributed random variables $X_1,X_2,\ldots$ drawn from an unknown distribution $p$ over $[n]$, and our goal is to estimate the entropy $H(p)=-\mathbb{E}[\log p(X)]$ within an…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-04-24 Tomer Berg , Or Ordentlich , Ofer Shayevitz

Current meta-learning approaches focus on learning functional representations of relationships between variables, i.e. on estimating conditional expectations in regression. In many applications, however, we are faced with conditional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-25 Jean-Francois Ton , Lucian Chan , Yee Whye Teh , Dino Sejdinovic

We consider the problem of predictive density estimation under Kullback-Leibler loss in a high-dimensional Gaussian model with exact sparsity constraints on the location parameters. We study the first order asymptotic minimax risk of Bayes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-24 Ujan Gangopadhyay , Gourab Mukherjee

An important estimation problem that is closely related to large-scale multiple testing is that of estimating the null density and the proportion of nonnull effects. A few estimators have been introduced in the literature; however, several…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-01-12 T. Tony Cai , Jiashun Jin