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Use of historical data in clinical trial design and analysis has shown various advantages such as reduction of within-study placebo-treated number of subjects and increase of study power. The meta-analytic-predictive (MAP) approach accounts…

Applications · Statistics 2019-12-12 Sebastian Weber , Yue Li , John Seaman , Tomoyuki Kakizume , Heinz Schmidli

Background Hybrid clinical trial design integrates randomized controlled trials (RCTs) with real-world data (RWD) to enhance efficiency through dynamic incorporation of external data. Existing methods like the Meta-Analytic Predictive Prior…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-20 Keer Chen , Zengyue Zheng , Pengfei Zhu , Shuping Jiang , Nan Li , Jumin Deng , Pingyan Chen , Zhenyu Wu , Ying Wu

Bayesian dynamic borrowing has become an increasingly important tool for evaluating the consistency of regional treatment effects which is a key requirement for local regulatory approval of a new drug. It helps increase the precision of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-06 Xin Zhang , Hui Zhang , Satrajit Roychoudhury

Incorporating historical information into the design and analysis of a new clinical trial has been the subject of much recent discussion. For example, in the context of clinical trials of antibiotics for drug resistant infections, where…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-08 Isaac Gravestock , Leonhard Held

We develop an empirical Bayes framework for experimental design that leverages information from prior related studies. When a researcher has access to estimates from previous studies on similar parameters, they can use empirical Bayes to…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-25 Zhiheng You

Integrating multiple observational studies for meta-analysis has sparked much interest. The presented R package WMAP (Weighted Meta-Analysis with Pseudo-Population) addresses a critical gap in the implementation of integrative weighting…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-01 Subharup Guha , Mengqi Xu , Kashish Priyam , Yi Li

In the context of a high-dimensional linear regression model, we propose the use of an empirical correlation-adaptive prior that makes use of information in the observed predictor variable matrix to adaptively address high collinearity,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-04 Chang Liu , Yue Yang , Howard Bondell , Ryan Martin

Meta-analytic-predictive (MAP) priors have been proposed as a generic approach to deriving informative prior distributions, where external empirical data are processed to learn about certain parameter distributions. The use of MAP priors is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-11 Christian Röver , Tim Friede

A novel data-driven methodology is presented for the joint selection of prior parameters for both fixed and random effects in Linear Mixed Models (LMMs). This approach facilitates the estimation of complex random-effects structures, as well…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-28 Matteo Amestoy , R. Vermeulen , Mark A. van de Wiel , Wessel N. van Wieringen

Bayesian variable selection methods are powerful techniques for fitting and inferring on sparse high-dimensional linear regression models. However, many are computationally intensive or require restrictive prior distributions on model…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-10 Alexander C. McLain , Anja Zgodic , Howard Bondell

Empirical Bayes (EB) improves the accuracy of simultaneous inference "by learning from the experience of others" (Efron, 2012). Classical EB theory focuses on latent variables that are iid draws from a fitted prior (Efron, 2019). Modern…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-24 Bohan Wu , Eli N. Weinstein , David M. Blei

In current clinical trial development, historical information is receiving more attention as it provides utility beyond sample size calculation. Meta-analytic-predictive (MAP) priors and robust MAP priors have been proposed for…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-03 Tianyu Zhan , Yiwang Zhou , Ziqian Geng , Yihua Gu , Jian Kang , Li Wang , Xiaohong Huang , Elizabeth H. Slate

External data borrowing in clinical trial designs has increased in recent years. This is accomplished in the Bayesian framework by specifying informative prior distributions. To mitigate the impact of potential inconsistency (bias) between…

We propose a principled framework for nonparametric empirical Bayes (EB) estimation, based on the idea that the prior should be consistent with the observed posterior and that Bayesian updating should be stable. Focusing on discretized…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-14 Valentino Dardanoni , Stefano Demichelis

We introduce a new empirical Bayes approach for large-scale multiple linear regression. Our approach combines two key ideas: (i) the use of flexible "adaptive shrinkage" priors, which approximate the nonparametric family of scale mixture of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-13 Youngseok Kim , Wei Wang , Peter Carbonetto , Matthew Stephens

Multi-level normal hierarchical models, also interpreted as mixed effects models, play an important role in developing statistical theory in multi-parameter estimation for a wide range of applications. In this article, we propose a novel…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Aditi Sen , Masayo Y. Hirose , Partha Lahiri

Predictive uncertainty quantification is crucial for reliable decision-making in various applied domains. Bayesian neural networks offer a powerful framework for this task. However, defining meaningful priors and ensuring computational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-30 Yijia Liu , Xiao Wang

State-of-the-art techniques for detecting, or predicting, neurological disorders (1) focus on predicting each disorder individually, and are (2) computationally expensive, leading to a delay that can potentially render the prediction…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-12-29 Bharath Srinivas Prabakaran , Alberto García Jiménez , Germán Moltó Martínez , Muhammad Shafique

Matrix factorization is a fundamental method in statistics and machine learning for inferring and summarizing structure in multivariate data. Modern data sets often come with "side information" of various forms (images, text, graphs) that…

In recent years, basket trials, which allow the evaluation of an experimental therapy across multiple tumor types within a single protocol, have gained prominence in early-phase oncology development. Unlike traditional trials, which…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-18 Haiming Zhou , Rex Shen , Sutan Wu , Philip He
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