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Monte-Carlo (MC) Dropout provides a practical solution for estimating predictive distributions in deterministic neural networks. Traditional dropout, applied within the signal space, may fail to account for frequency-related noise common in…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-01-22 Tal Zeevi , Lawrence H. Staib , John A. Onofrey

The aim of this paper is to describe a new an integrated methodology for project control under uncertainty. This proposal is based on Earned Value Methodology and risk analysis and presents several refinements to previous methodologies.…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-06 Fernando Acebes , M Pereda , David Poza , Javier Pajares , Jose M Galan

Knowledge of a machine tool axis to axis location errors allows compensation and correcting actions to be taken to enhance its volumetric accuracy. Several procedures exist, involving either lengthy individual test for each geometric error…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2011-06-20 Loïc Andolfatto , René Mayer , Sylvain Lavernhe

Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms are used to simulate from complex statistical distributions by way of a local exploration of these distributions. This local feature avoids heavy requests on understanding the nature of the target, but it…

Computation · Statistics 2018-04-12 Christian P. Robert , Victor Elvira , Nick Tawn , Changye Wu

Modelling uncertainty in Machine Learning models is essential for achieving safe and reliable predictions. Most research on uncertainty focuses on output uncertainty (predictions), but minimal attention is paid to uncertainty at inputs. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-28 Matias Valdenegro-Toro , Ivo Pascal de Jong , Marco Zullich

We review the basic outline of the highly successful diffusion Monte Carlo technique commonly used in contexts ranging from electronic structure calculations to rare event simulation and data assimilation, and propose a new class of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-10-10 Lek-Heng Lim , Jonathan Weare

To improve the efficiency of Monte Carlo estimation, practitioners are turning to biased Markov chain Monte Carlo procedures that trade off asymptotic exactness for computational speed. The reasoning is sound: a reduction in variance due to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-03 Jackson Gorham , Lester Mackey

We consider the problem of estimating the expected outcomes of Monte Carlo processes whose outputs are described by multidimensional random variables. We tightly characterize the quantum query complexity of this problem for various choices…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-07-09 Arjan Cornelissen , Sofiene Jerbi

Using the concept of finite-size scaling, Monte Carlo calculations of various models have become a very useful tool for the study of critical phenomena, with the system linear dimension as a variable. As an example, several recent studies…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Kurt Binder , Erik Luijten , Marcus Müller , Nigel B. Wilding , Henk W. J. Blöte

Optimization algorithms and Monte Carlo sampling algorithms have provided the computational foundations for the rapid growth in applications of statistical machine learning in recent years. There is, however, limited theoretical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-08 Yi-An Ma , Yuansi Chen , Chi Jin , Nicolas Flammarion , Michael I. Jordan

Data augmentation is a key technique for improving the robustness of image classification models. However, many recent approaches rely on diffusion-based synthesis or complex feature mixing strategies, which introduce substantial…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-27 Yuto Matsuo , Yoshihiro Fukuhara , Yuki M. Asano , Rintaro Yanagi , Hirokatsu Kataoka , Akio Nakamura

Because of their robustness, efficiency and non-intrusiveness, Monte Carlo methods are probably the most popular approach in uncertainty quantification to computing expected values of quantities of interest (QoIs). Multilevel Monte Carlo…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-04-12 Marcus J. Grote , Simon Michel , Fabio Nobile

In regimes of low signal strengths and therefore a small signal-to-noise ratio, standard data analysis methods often fail to accurately estimate system properties. We present a method based on Monte Carlo simulations to effectively restore…

In order to reduce overfitting, neural networks are typically trained with data augmentation, the practice of artificially generating additional training data via label-preserving transformations of existing training examples. While these…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-01-23 Cecilia Summers , Michael J. Dinneen

The principle and the efficiency of the Monte Carlo transfer-matrix algorithm are discussed. Enhancements of this algorithm are illustrated by applications to several phase transitions in lattice spin models. We demonstrate how the…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-28 M. P. Nightingale , H. W. J. Bloete

Monte Carlo methods play a central role in particle physics, where they are indispensable for simulating scattering processes, modeling detector responses, and performing multi-dimensional integrals. However, traditional Monte Carlo methods…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-10-14 Heechan Yi , Kayoung Ban , Myeonghun Park , Kyoungchul Kong

Bayesian reasoning in linear mixed-effects models (LMMs) is challenging and often requires advanced sampling techniques like Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). A common approach is to write the model in a probabilistic programming language…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Jinlin Lai , Justin Domke , Daniel Sheldon

In the following article we provide an exposition of exact computational methods to perform parameter inference from partially observed network models. In particular, we consider the duplication attachment (DA) model which has a likelihood…

Computation · Statistics 2013-06-20 Junshan Wang , Ajay Jasra , Maria De Iorio

It has become increasingly easy nowadays to collect approximate posterior samples via fast algorithms such as variational Bayes, but concerns exist about the estimation accuracy. It is tempting to build solutions that exploit approximate…

Computation · Statistics 2024-06-17 Leo L. Duan , Anirban Bhattacharya

Data augmentation has been widely applied as an effective methodology to improve generalization in particular when training deep neural networks. Recently, researchers proposed a few intensive data augmentation techniques, which indeed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-22 Zhuoxun He , Lingxi Xie , Xin Chen , Ya Zhang , Yanfeng Wang , Qi Tian
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