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Predicting the outcome of sports events is a hard task. We quantify this difficulty with a coefficient that measures the distance between the observed final results of sports leagues and idealized perfectly balanced competitions in terms of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-27 Raquel YS Aoki , Renato M Assuncao , Pedro OS Vaz de Melo

Short-term load forecasting is a critical element of power systems energy management systems. In recent years, probabilistic load forecasting (PLF) has gained increased attention for its ability to provide uncertainty information that helps…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-27 Qicheng Chang , Yishen Wang , Xiao Lu , Di Shi , Haifeng Li , Jiajun Duan , Zhiwei Wang

Cricket is a game played between two teams which consists of eleven players each. Nowadays cricket game is becoming more and more popular in Bangladesh and other South Asian Countries. Before a match people are very enthusiastic about team…

Applications · Statistics 2017-02-08 Sadia Tasnim Swarna , Shamim Ehsan , Md. Saiful Islam

In many real-world applications of machine learning such as recommendations, hiring, and lending, deployed models influence the data they are trained on, leading to feedback loops between predictions and data distribution. The performative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Kun Jin , Tian Xie , Yang Liu , Xueru Zhang

A detailed set of experiments are described that capture over a 1000 different instances of the bounce of a golf ball. Video analysis is used to capture velocity and spin immediately prior to and subsequent to each bounce for a wide variety…

Classical Physics · Physics 2023-02-07 Stanisław W. Biber , Kristian M. Jones , Alan R. Champneys , Riku Green , Robert Szalai

The problem of evaluating the performance of soccer players is attracting the interest of many companies and the scientific community, thanks to the availability of massive data capturing all the events generated during a match (e.g.,…

Pairwise comparison matrices are widely used in Multicriteria Decision Making. This article applies incomplete pairwise comparison matrices in the area of sport tournaments, namely proposing alternative rankings for the 2010 Chess Olympiad…

Applications · Statistics 2019-06-20 László Csató

This study applies complexity sciences to analyze the game of Padel. Data from 18 professional matches were collected, and the probability distributions of the total number of shots and the probability distribution of rallies' duration were…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-08-09 A. Chacoma , O. V. Billoni

Optimal propensity score matching has emerged as one of the most ubiquitous approaches for causal inference studies on observational data; However, outstanding critiques of the statistical properties of propensity score matching have cast…

Fantasy Premier League (FPL) performance predictors tend to base their algorithms purely on historical statistical data. The main problems with this approach is that external factors such as injuries, managerial decisions and other…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-17 Nicholas Bonello , Joeran Beel , Seamus Lawless , Jeremy Debattista

Identifying combinations of players (that is, lineups) in basketball - and other sports - that perform well when they play together is one of the most important tasks in sports analytics. One of the main challenges associated with this task…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-22 Christos Petridis , Konstantinos Pelechrinis

The vast majority of techniques to train fair models require access to the protected attribute (e.g., race, gender), either at train time or in production. However, in many important applications this protected attribute is largely…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-04 Hadi Elzayn , Emily Black , Patrick Vossler , Nathanael Jo , Jacob Goldin , Daniel E. Ho

It is customary for researchers and practitioners to fit linear models in order to predict NBA player's salary based on the players' performance on court. On the contrary, we focus on the players salary share (with regards to the team…

Applications · Statistics 2022-02-07 Ioanna Papadaki , Michail Tsagris

A new model, which uses the frequency of individuals' annual home run totals, is employed to predict future home run totals and records in Major League Baseball. Complete home run frequency data from 1903--2005 is analyzed, resulting in…

Popular Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 D. J. Kelley , J. R. Mureika , J. A. Phillips

In this manuscript, we concentrate on a specific type of covariates, which we call statistically enhanced, for modeling tennis matches for men at Grand slam tournaments. Our goal is to assess whether these enhanced covariates have the…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-27 Nourah Buhamra , Andreas Groll

A random walk-like model is considered to discuss statistical aspects of tournaments. The model is applied to soccer leagues with emphasis on the scores. This competitive system was computationally simulated and the results are compared…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2010-04-30 H. V. Ribeiro , R. S. Mendes , L. C. Malacarne , S. Picoli , P. A. Santoro

In recent years, analytics has started to revolutionize the game of basketball: quantitative analyses of the game inform team strategy, management of player health and fitness, and how teams draft, sign, and trade players. In this review,…

Applications · Statistics 2020-07-22 Zachary Terner , Alexander Franks

Estimating win probability is one of the classic modeling tasks of sports analytics. Many widely used win probability estimators use machine learning to fit the relationship between a binary win/loss outcome variable and certain game-state…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-21 Ryan S. Brill , Ronald Yurko , Abraham J. Wyner

It was demonstrated in [Bonnemain et al., Phys. Rev. E 107, 024612 (2023)] that the anticipation pattern displayed by a dense crowd crossed by an intruder can be successfully described by a minimal Mean-Field Games model. However,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-04-17 Matteo Butano , Cécile Appert-Rolland , Denis Ullmo

Nearly all simulation-based games have environment parameters that affect incentives in the interaction but are not explicitly incorporated into the game model. To understand the impact of these parameters on strategic incentives, typical…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-05-06 Madelyn Gatchel , Bryce Wiedenbeck