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It seems that in the current age, computers, computation, and data have an increasingly important role to play in scientific research and discovery. This is reflected in part by the rise of machine learning and artificial intelligence,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-15 Ronan Keane

We introduce time-inhomogeneous stochastic volatility models, in which the volatility is described by a nonnegative function of a Volterra type continuous Gaussian process that may have very rough sample paths. The main results obtained in…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-01 Archil Gulisashvili

We investigate the parameter recovery of Markov-switching ordinary differential processes from discrete observations, where the differential equations are nonlinear additive models. This framework has been widely applied in biological…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-03 Katherine Tsai , Mladen Kolar , Sanmi Koyejo

We study large deviation properties of systems of weakly interacting particles modeled by It\^{o} stochastic differential equations (SDEs). It is known under certain conditions that the corresponding sequence of empirical measures…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-09-26 Amarjit Budhiraja , Paul Dupuis , Markus Fischer

This paper is divided into two parts. The first part reviews the formulae for f-divergences in the study of continuous-time Markov processes and explores their applications in areas such as stochastic stability, the second law of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-03 Jin Won Kim , Amirhossein Taghvaei , Prashant G. Mehta

We build on a previous statistical model for distributed systems and formulate it in a way that the deterministic and stochastic processes within the system are clearly separable. We show how internal fluctuations can be analysed in a…

adap-org · Physics 2009-10-22 Iqbal Adjali , José-Luis Fernández-Villacañas , Michael Gell

In this article, we analyze three classes of time-reversal of a Markov process with Gaussian noise on a manifold. We first unveil a commutativity constraint for the most general of these time-reversals to be well defined. Then we give a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-08-09 Jérémy O'Byrne , Michael E. Cates

We present a mathematical theory of dynamical fluctuations for the hard sphere gas in the Boltzmann-Grad limit. We prove that: (1) fluctuations of the empirical measure from the solution of the Boltzmann equation, scaled with the square…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2022-08-26 Thierry Bodineau , Isabelle Gallagher , Laure Saint-Raymond , Sergio Simonella

We investigate the non-equilibrium large deviations function of the particle densities in two steady-state driven systems exchanging particles at a vanishing rate. We first derive through a systematic multi-scale analysis the coarse-grained…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-08-26 Jules Guioth , Éric Bertin

We consider generalized Bayesian inference on stochastic processes and dynamical systems with potentially long-range dependency. Given a sequence of observations, a class of parametrized model processes with a prior distribution, and a loss…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-26 Langxuan Su , Sayan Mukherjee

We address the reachability problem for continuous-time stochastic dynamic systems. Our objective is to present a unified framework that characterizes the reachable set of a dynamic system in the presence of both stochastic disturbances and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-04 Saber Jafarpour , Zishun Liu , Yongxin Chen

We extend the work of Kurchan on the Gallavotti-Cohen fluctuation theorem, which yields a symmetry property of the large deviation function, to general Markov processes. These include jump processes describing the evolution of stochastic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-25 Joel. L. Lebowitz , Herbert Spohn

Hawkes process is a class of simple point processes that is self-exciting and has clustering effect. The intensity of this point process depends on its entire past history. It has wide applications in finance, neuroscience and many other…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-18 Lingjiong Zhu

This work is concerned with the large deviation principle for a family of slow-fast systems perturbed by infinite-dimensional mixed fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H\in(\frac12,1)$. We adopt the weak convergence method…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-16 Wenting Xu , Yong Xu , Xiaoyu Yang , Bin Pei

In many experimental situations, a physical system undergoes stochastic evolution which may be described via random maps between two compact spaces. In the current work, we study the applicability of large deviations theory to time-averaged…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-13 Vladimir Y. Chernyak , Michael Chertkov , Sergey V. Malinin , Razvan Teodorescu

We consider stochastic dynamical systems defined by differential equations with a uniform random time delay. The latter equations are shown to be equivalent to deterministic higher-order differential equations: for an $n$-th order equation…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-10-11 P. L. Krapivsky , J. M. Luck , K. Mallick

The paper is concerned with stochastic approximation procedures having three main characteristics: truncations with random moving bounds, a matrix valued random step-size sequence, and a dynamically changing random regression function. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-14 Teo Sharia , Lei Zhong

The Boltzmann equation is one of the most famous equations and has vast applications in modern science. In the current study, we take the randomness of binary collisions into consideration and generalize the classical Boltzmann equation…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-12-04 Liu Hong

Inertial particles in turbulent flows are characterised by preferential concentration and segregation and, at sufficient mass loading, dense particle clusters may spontaneously arise due to momentum coupling between the phases. These…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2019-01-30 Alessio Innocenti , Rodney O Fox , Sergio Chibbaro

We study two problems. First, we consider the large deviation behavior of empirical measures of certain diffusion processes as, simultaneously, the time horizon becomes large and noise becomes vanishingly small. The law of large numbers…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-14 Amarjit Budhiraja , Pavlos Zoubouloglou
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