Related papers: A Data-Driven Uncertainty Quantification Method fo…
A framework for deriving probabilistic data-driven closure models is proposed for coarse-grained numerical simulations of turbulence in statistically stationary state. The approach unites the ideal large-eddy simulation model and data…
Stochastic spectral methods have achieved great success in the uncertainty quantification of many engineering problems, including electronic and photonic integrated circuits influenced by fabrication process variations. Existing techniques…
We study a smart grid with wind power and battery storage. Traditionally, day-ahead planning aims to balance demand and wind power, yet actual wind conditions often deviate from forecasts. Short-term flexibility in storage and generation…
Stochastic model-predictive control (SMPC) has evolved to a powerful framework for the control of stochastic dynamical systems. SMPC utilizes a probabilistic uncertainty description to provide a systematic trade-off between the control…
In this paper, we propose a data-driven energy storage system (ESS)-based method to enhance the online small-signal stability monitoring of power networks with high penetration of intermittent wind power. To accurately estimate inter-area…
This paper presents a flexible energy management system (EMS) for an electric bus charging station (EBCS) that integrates renewable generation, energy storage, and electric bus (EB) charging while accounting for uncertainties in solar PV…
Rolling forecasts have been almost overlooked in the renewable energy storage literature. In this paper, we provide a new approach for handling uncertainty not just in the accuracy of a forecast, but in the evolution of forecasts over time.…
Voltage control plays an important role in the operation of electricity distribution networks, especially with high penetration of distributed energy resources. These resources introduce significant and fast varying uncertainties. In this…
Considering the increasing penetration of renewable energy sources and electrical vehicles in utility distribution feeders, it is imperative to study the impacts of the resulting increasing uncertainty on the delivery capability of a…
In this paper, we propose an analytical framework to quantify the amount of data samples needed to obtain accurate state estimation in a power system - a problem known as sample complexity analysis in computer science. Motivated by the…
Stochastic expansion-based methods of uncertainty quantification, such as polynomial chaos and separated representations, require basis functions orthogonal with respect to the density of random inputs. Many modern engineering problems…
In this paper we wish to tackle stochastic programs affected by ambiguity about the probability law that governs their uncertain parameters. Using optimal transport theory, we construct an ambiguity set that exploits the knowledge about the…
Optimization under uncertainty deals with the problem of optimizing stochastic cost functions given some partial information on their inputs. These problems are extremely difficult to solve and yet pervade all areas of technological and…
We study stochastic dynamical systems in settings where only partial statistical information about the noise is available, e.g., in the form of a limited number of noise realizations. Such systems are particularly challenging to analyze and…
Distributed model predictive control methods for uncertain systems often suffer from considerable conservatism and can tolerate only small uncertainties due to the use of robust formulations that are amenable to distributed design and…
Slurry transportation via pipelines is essential for global industries, offering efficiency and environmental benefits. Specifically, the precise calibration of physical parameters for transporting raw phosphate material to fertilizer…
This article considers the $\mathcal{H}_\infty$ static output-feedback control for linear time-invariant uncertain systems with polynomial dependence on probabilistic time-invariant parametric uncertainties. By applying polynomial chaos…
In this paper, a new polynomial chaos based framework for analyzing linear systems with probabilistic parameters is presented. Stability analysis and synthesis of optimal quadratically stabilizing controllers for such systems are presented…
The challenge of quantifying uncertainty propagation in real-world systems is rooted in the high-dimensionality of the stochastic input and the frequent lack of explicit knowledge of its probability distribution. Traditional approaches show…
This paper introduces an optimization problem (P) and a solution strategy to design variable-speed-limit controls for a highway that is subject to traffic congestion and uncertain vehicle arrival and departure. By employing a finite…