Related papers: A Data-Driven Uncertainty Quantification Method fo…
Conventionally, the dynamic state estimation of variables in power networks is performed based on the forecasting-aided model of bus voltages. This approach is effective in the stiff grids at the transmission level, where the bus voltages…
The application of polynomial chaos expansions (PCEs) to the propagation of uncertainties in stochastic dynamical models is well-known to face challenging issues. The accuracy of PCEs degenerates quickly in time. Thus maintaining a…
This paper considers the economic dispatch problem for a network of power generators and customers. In particular, our aim is to minimize the total generation cost under the power supply-demand balance and the individual generation capacity…
We present a hybrid sampling-surrogate approach for reducing the computational expense of uncertainty quantification in nonlinear dynamical systems. Our motivation is to enable rapid uncertainty quantification in complex mechanical systems…
A surrogate model approximates a computationally expensive solver. Polynomial Chaos is a method to construct surrogate models by summing combinations of carefully chosen polynomials. The polynomials are chosen to respect the probability…
Uncertainties from deepening penetration of renewable energy resources have posed critical challenges to the secure and reliable operations of future electric grids. Among various approaches for decision making in uncertain environments,…
This letter presents a technique to calculate the variance of algebraic variables of power system models represented as a set of stochastic differential-algebraic equations. The technique utilizes the solution of a Lyapunov equation and…
Physical models with uncertain inputs are commonly represented as parametric partial differential equations (PDEs). That is, PDEs with inputs that are expressed as functions of parameters with an associated probability distribution.…
Uncertainties from deepening penetration of renewable energy resources have posed critical challenges to the secure and reliable operations of future electric grids. Among various approaches for decision making in uncertain environments,…
With the increasing penetration of Inverter-Based Resources (IBRs) and their impact on power system stability and operation, the concept of stability-constrained optimization has drawn significant attention from researchers. In order to…
Combined heat and power systems facilitate efficient interactions between individual energy sectors for higher renewable energy accommodation. However, the feasibility of operational strategies is difficult to guarantee due to the presence…
Distributed algorithms can be efficiently used for solving economic dispatch problem (EDP) in power systems. To implement a distributed algorithm, a communication network is required, making the algorithm vulnerable to noise which may cause…
Software engineers often have to estimate the performance of a software system before having full knowledge of the system parameters, such as workload and operational profile. These uncertain parameters inevitably affect the accuracy of…
A theoretical approach for characterising the influence of asymmetry of noise distribution on the escape rate of a multi-stable system is presented. This was carried out via the estimation of an action, which is defined as an exponential…
One of the open problems in the field of forward uncertainty quantification (UQ) is the ability to form accurate assessments of uncertainty having only incomplete information about the distribution of random inputs. Another challenge is to…
For robot swarms operating on complex missions in an uncertain environment, it is important that the decision-making algorithm considers both heterogeneity and uncertainty. This paper presents a stochastic programming framework for the…
In this work, a stochastic representation based on a physical transport principle is proposed to account for mesoscale eddy effects on the large-scale oceanic circulation. This stochastic framework arises from a decomposition of the…
The modeling of dynamical systems is essential in many fields, but applying machine learning techniques is often challenging due to incomplete or noisy data. This study introduces a variant of stochastic interpolation (SI) for probabilistic…
In this paper we develop a novel, discrete-time optimal control framework for mechanical systems with uncertain model parameters. We consider finite-horizon problems where the performance index depends on the statistical moments of the…
We present a proximal algorithm that performs a variational recursion on the space of joint probability measures to propagate the stochastic uncertainties in power system dynamics over high dimensional state space. The proposed algorithm…