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In this paper, we introduce a data-driven modeling approach for dynamics problems with latent variables. The state-space of the proposed model includes artificial latent variables, in addition to observed variables that can be fitted to a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-06-19 Yushuang Luo , Xiantao Li , Wenrui Hao

Forecasting system behaviour near and across bifurcations is crucial for identifying potential shifts in dynamical systems. While machine learning has recently been used to learn critical transitions and bifurcation structures from data,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-14 Eva van Tegelen , George van Voorn , Ioannis Athanasiadis , Peter van Heijster

When deployed in the wild, machine learning models are usually confronted with data and requirements that constantly vary, either because of changes in the generating distribution or because external constraints change the environment where…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-17 Irene Unceta , Jordi Nin , Oriol Pujol

We describe a novel method for modeling non-stationary multivariate time series, with time-varying conditional dependencies represented through dynamic networks. Our proposed approach combines traditional multi-scale modeling and network…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-25 Xinyu Kang , Apratim Ganguly , Eric D. Kolaczyk

We propose a simple method of constructing a system of differential equations of chaotic behavior based on the regression only from a scalar observable time-series data. The estimated system enables us to reconstruct invariant sets and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-09-28 Natsuki Tsutsumi , Kengo Nakai , Yoshitaka Saiki

Time series forecasting is often fundamental to scientific and engineering problems and enables decision making. With ever increasing data set sizes, a trivial solution to scale up predictions is to assume independence between interacting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-18 Kashif Rasul , Abdul-Saboor Sheikh , Ingmar Schuster , Urs Bergmann , Roland Vollgraf

Deep learning time-series models are often used to make forecasts that inform downstream decisions. Since these decisions can differ from those in the training set, there is an implicit requirement that time-series models will generalize…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-04 Thomas Crasson , Yacine Nabet , Mathias Lécuyer

We present a comprehensive examination of learning methodologies employed for the structural identification of dynamical systems. These techniques are designed to elucidate emergent phenomena within intricate systems of interacting agents.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-08 Jinchao Feng , Ming Zhong

We introduce a dynamical spatio-temporal model formalized as a recurrent neural network for forecasting time series of spatial processes, i.e. series of observations sharing temporal and spatial dependencies. The model learns these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-04-24 Ali Ziat , Edouard Delasalles , Ludovic Denoyer , Patrick Gallinari

Deep sequence models are receiving significant interest in current machine learning research. By representing probability distributions that are fit to data using maximum likelihood estimation, such models can model data on general…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-09 Kristian Løvland , Bjarne Grimstad , Lars Struen Imsland

Modeling an unknown dynamical system is crucial in order to predict the future behavior of the system. A standard approach is training recurrent models on measurement data. While these models typically provide exact short-term predictions,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-02 Katharina Ensinger , Sebastian Ziesche , Barbara Rakitsch , Michael Tiemann , Sebastian Trimpe

The development of efficient and robust dynamic models is fundamental in the field of systems and control engineering. In this paper, a new formulation for the dynamic model of nonlinear mechanical systems, that can be applied to different…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-09 Davide Tebaldi , Roberto Zanasi

Temporal-difference (TD) networks are a class of predictive state representations that use well-established TD methods to learn models of partially observable dynamical systems. Previous research with TD networks has dealt only with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-05-14 Christopher M. Vigorito

Learning-based control methods typically assume stationary system dynamics, an assumption often violated in real-world systems due to drift, wear, or changing operating conditions. We study reinforcement learning for control under…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Klemens Iten , Bruce Lee , Chenhao Li , Lenart Treven , Andreas Krause , Bhavya Sukhija

The process of transforming observed data into predictive mathematical models of the physical world has always been paramount in science and engineering. Although data is currently being collected at an ever-increasing pace, devising…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-01-08 Maziar Raissi , Paris Perdikaris , George Em Karniadakis

We consider the general problem of modeling temporal data with long-range dependencies, wherein new observations are fully or partially predictable based on temporally-distant, past observations. A sufficiently powerful temporal model…

Learning kinetic systems from data is one of the core challenges in many fields. Identifying stable models is essential for the generalization capabilities of data-driven inference. We introduce a computationally efficient framework, called…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-02 Niklas Pfister , Stefan Bauer , Jonas Peters

Identifying disturbances in network-coupled dynamical systems without knowledge of the disturbances or underlying dynamics is a problem with a wide range of applications. For example, one might want to know which nodes in the network are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-25 Per Sebastian Skardal , Juan G. Restrepo

To improve the physical understanding and the predictions of complex dynamic systems, such as ocean dynamics and weather predictions, it is of paramount interest to identify interpretable models from coarsely and off-grid sampled…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-05-04 Gert-Jan Both , Georges Tod , Remy Kusters

Mathematical models for complex systems are often accompanied with uncertainties. The goal of this paper is to extract a stochastic differential equation governing model with observation on stationary probability distributions. We develop a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-04-05 Xiaoli Chen , Hui Wang , Jinqiao Duan
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