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A core problem in machine learning is to learn expressive latent variables for model prediction on complex data that involves multiple sub-components in a flexible and interpretable fashion. Here, we develop an approach that improves…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-13 Yi-Lin Tuan , Zih-Yun Chiu , William Yang Wang

Model-based Reinforcement Learning and Control have demonstrated great potential in various sequential decision making problem domains, including in robotics settings. However, real-world robotics systems often present challenges that limit…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-24 Achkan Salehi , Steffen Rühl , Stephane Doncieux

Complex and nonlinear dynamical systems often involve parameters that change with time, accurate tracking of which is essential to tasks such as state estimation, prediction, and control. Existing machine-learning methods require full state…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-16 Zheng-Meng Zhai , Mohammadamin Moradi , Bryan Glaz , Mulugeta Haile , Ying-Cheng Lai

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) can provide mechanistic models of temporally local changes of processes, where parameters are often informed by external knowledge. While ODEs are popular in systems modeling, they are less established…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-10 Maren Hackenberg , Astrid Pechmann , Clemens Kreutz , Janbernd Kirschner , Harald Binder

Differentiable programming is the combination of classical neural networks modules with algorithmic ones in an end-to-end differentiable model. These new models, that use automatic differentiation to calculate gradients, have new learning…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-05-05 Adrián Hernández , José M. Amigó

State-space models (SSMs) offer a powerful framework for dynamical system analysis, wherein the temporal dynamics of the system are assumed to be captured through the evolution of the latent states, which govern the values of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-17 Jiahe Lin , George Michailidis

This article shows how to specify and construct a discrete, stochastic, continuous-time model specifically for ecological systems. The model is more broad than typical chemical kinetics models in two ways. First, using time-dependent hazard…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-30 Andrew J. Dolgert

An increasing number of publications present the joint application of Design of Experiments (DOE) and machine learning (ML) as a methodology to collect and analyze data on a specific industrial phenomenon. However, the literature shows that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-20 Rosa Arboretti , Riccardo Ceccato , Luca Pegoraro , Luigi Salmaso

A probabilistic model describes a system in its observational state. In many situations, however, we are interested in the system's response under interventions. The class of structural causal models provides a language that allows us to…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-20 Jonas Peters , Stefan Bauer , Niklas Pfister

Modeling of physical systems includes extensive use of software packages that implement the accurate finite element method for solving differential equations considered along with the appropriate initial and boundary conditions. When the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2018-03-20 O. Kononenko , I. Kononenko

Modeling sequential patterns from data is at the core of various time series forecasting tasks. Deep learning models have greatly outperformed many traditional models, but these black-box models generally lack explainability in prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-23 Yingtao Luo , Chang Xu , Yang Liu , Weiqing Liu , Shun Zheng , Jiang Bian

We present a data-driven machine-learning approach for modeling space-time socioeconomic dynamics. Through coarse-graining fine-scale observations, our modeling framework simplifies these complex systems to a set of tractable mechanistic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-26 James Koch , Pranab Roy Chowdhury , Heng Wan , Parin Bhaduri , Jim Yoon , Vivek Srikrishnan , W. Brent Daniel

Data-driven methods for the identification of the governing equations of dynamical systems or the computation of reduced surrogate models play an increasingly important role in many application areas such as physics, chemistry, biology, and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-12-17 Stefan Klus , Hongyu Zhu

Time series modelling is essential for solving tasks such as predictive maintenance, quality control and optimisation. Deep learning is widely used for solving such problems. When managing complex manufacturing process with neural networks,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-17 Alexey Kurochkin

We present a method to learn mean residence time and escape probability from data modeled by stochastic differential equations. This method is a combination of machine learning from data (to extract stochastic differential equations as…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-10-02 Dengfeng Wu , Miaomiao Fu , Jinqiao Duan

Identifying and understanding modular organizations is centrally important in the study of complex systems. Several approaches to this problem have been advanced, many framed in information-theoretic terms. Our treatment starts from the…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2015-01-19 Artemy Kolchinsky , Luis M. Rocha

Industrial machine learning systems face data challenges that are often under-explored in the academic literature. Common data challenges are data distribution shifts, missing values and anomalies. In this paper, we discuss data challenges…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-17 Michael Bohlke-Schneider , Shubham Kapoor , Tim Januschowski

We study the modeling and prediction of dynamical systems based on conventional models derived from measurements. Such algorithms are highly desirable in situations where the underlying dynamics are hard to model from physical principles or…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-08-03 Markus Quade , Markus Abel , Kamran Shafi , Robert K. Niven , Bernd R. Noack

Periodic patterns in dynamical behaviours of biological models described by simple form differential delay equations are studied. Mathematical models are given by a class of scalar delay differential equations with a multiplicative time…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-10-01 A. Ivanov , S. Shelyag

Dynamical systems that evolve continuously over time are ubiquitous throughout science and engineering. Machine learning (ML) provides data-driven approaches to model and predict the dynamics of such systems. A core issue with this approach…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-23 Aditi S. Krishnapriyan , Alejandro F. Queiruga , N. Benjamin Erichson , Michael W. Mahoney