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Electricity market prices exhibit extreme volatility, nonlinearity, and non-stationarity, making accurate forecasting a significant challenge. While cutting-edge time series foundation models (TSFMs) effectively capture temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Yunzhong Qiu , Binzhu Li , Hao Wei , Shenglin Weng , Chen Wang , Zhongyi Pei , Mingsheng Long , Jianmin Wang

In this paper, the fuzzy multi-objective reliability redundancy allocation problem (FMORRAP) is proposed, which maximizes the system reliability while simultaneously minimizing the system cost under the type 2 fuzzy uncertainty. In the…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2020-06-28 Zubair Ashraf , Pranab K. Muhuri , Q. M. Danish Lohani , Mukul L. Roy

Recent innovations in diffusion probabilistic models have paved the way for significant progress in image, text and audio generation, leading to their applications in generative time series forecasting. However, leveraging such abilities to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-07 Yuansan Liu , Sudanthi Wijewickrema , Dongting Hu , Christofer Bester , Stephen O'Leary , James Bailey

A model's interpretability is essential to many practical applications such as clinical decision support systems. In this paper, a novel interpretable machine learning method is presented, which can model the relationship between input…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-06 Heming Yao , Harm Derksen , Jessica R. Golbus , Justin Zhang , Keith D. Aaronson , Jonathan Gryak , Kayvan Najarian

The research presents epsilon hierarchical fuzzy twin support vector regression based on epsilon fuzzy twin support vector regression and epsilon twin support vector regression. Epsilon FTSVR is achieved by incorporating trapezoidal fuzzy…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-09-11 Arindam Chaudhuri

Fuzzy logic has been proposed in previous studies for machine diagnosis, to overcome different drawbacks of the traditional diagnostic approaches used. Among these approaches Failure Mode and Effect Critical Analysis method(FMECA) attempts…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-12-27 Abdelouadoud Kerarmi , Assia Kamal-idrissi , Amal El Fallah Seghrouchni

Tensor factorizations have been widely used for the task of uncovering patterns in various domains. Often, the input is time-evolving, shifting the goal to tracking the evolution of the underlying patterns instead. To adapt to this more…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-18 Christos Chatzis , Carla Schenker , Max Pfeffer , Evrim Acar

Long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) is a critical task across diverse domains. Despite significant advancements in LTSF research, we identify a performance bottleneck in existing LTSF methods caused by the inadequate modeling of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-22 Qi Xiong , Kai Tang , Minbo Ma , Ji Zhang , Jie Xu , Tianrui Li

In spite of its importance, passenger demand prediction is a highly challenging problem, because the demand is simultaneously influenced by the complex interactions among many spatial and temporal factors and other external factors such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-15 Xiaoyuan Liang , Guiling Wang , Martin Renqiang Min , Yi Qi , Zhu Han

Subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) temperature forecasts, spanning several weeks to a few months, are critically needed in agriculture practice, energy planning, and extreme-weather induced risk management, yet their reliability varies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Elnaz Bashir , Jiali Wang , Lin Yan

Accurately predicting the trajectory of vehicles is critically important for ensuring safety and reliability in autonomous driving. Although considerable research efforts have been made recently, the inherent trajectory uncertainty caused…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-12-25 Zichen Wang , Hao Miao , Senzhang Wang , Renzhi Wang , Jianxin Wang , Jian Zhang

Functional data is a powerful tool for capturing and analyzing complex patterns and relationships in a variety of fields, allowing for more precise modeling, visualization, and decision-making. For example, in healthcare, functional data…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-26 Xiyuan Gao , Jiayi Wang , Guanyu Hu , Jianguo Sun

We present coarse-to-fine autoregressive networks (C2FAR), a method for modeling the probability distribution of univariate, numeric random variables. C2FAR generates a hierarchical, coarse-to-fine discretization of a variable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-27 Shane Bergsma , Timothy Zeyl , Javad Rahimipour Anaraki , Lei Guo

Long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) offers broad utility in practical settings like energy consumption and weather prediction. Accurately predicting long-term changes, however, is demanding due to the intricate temporal patterns and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-19 Boshi Gao , Qingjian Ni , Fanbo Ju , Yu Chen , Ziqi Zhao

In autonomous underwater missions, the successful completion of predefined paths mainly depends on the ability of underwater vehicles to recognise their surroundings. In this study, we apply the concept of Fast Interval Type-2 Fuzzy Extreme…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-06-17 Adrian Rubio-Solis , Luciano Nava-Balanzar , Tomas Salgado-Jimenez

Robust estimation has played an important role in statistical and machine learning. However, its applications to functional linear regression are still under-developed. In this paper, we focus on Huber's loss with a diverging robustness…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-18 Ling Peng , Xiaohui Liu , Heng Lian

Class imbalance is a major problem in many real world classification tasks. Due to the imbalance in the number of samples, the support vector machine (SVM) classifier gets biased toward the majority class. Furthermore, these samples are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-29 M. Tanveer , Ritik Mishra , Bharat Richhariya

Feature selection is a vital technique in machine learning, as it can reduce computational complexity, improve model performance, and mitigate the risk of overfitting. However, the increasing complexity and dimensionality of datasets pose…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-24 Yuepeng Chen , Weiping Ding , Hengrong Ju , Jiashuang Huang , Tao Yin

Stock Market can be easily seen as one of the most attractive places for investors, but it is also very complex in terms of making trading decisions. Predicting the market is a risky venture because of the uncertainties and nonlinear nature…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-02-07 Isobo Nelson Davies , Donald Ene , Ibiere Boma Cookey , Godwin Fred Lenu

We combine high-dimensional factor models with fractional integration methods and derive models where nonstationary, potentially cointegrated data of different persistence is modelled as a function of common fractionally integrated factors.…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-05-12 Tobias Hartl