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Time series foundation models (TSFMs) have recently achieved strong zero-shot forecasting performance through large-scale pretraining and retrieval-augmented prediction. However, our empirical analysis reveals a non-trivial limitation of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Jinjin Chi , Lei Feng , Lulu Zhang , Yongcheng Jing , Yiming Wang , Ximing Li , Jialie Shen , Leszek Rutkowski , Dacheng Tao

Interval type-2 fuzzy logic systems (IT2 FLSs) have a wide range of applications due to their abilities to handle uncertainties compared to their type-1 counterparts. This paper discusses the representation of IT2 FLSs in closed…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-03-20 Sherif M. Abuelenin , Rabab F. Abdel-Kader

In this paper, we tackle the task of generating Prediction Intervals (PIs) in high-risk scenarios by proposing enhancements for learning Interval Type-2 (IT2) Fuzzy Logic Systems (FLSs) to address their learning challenges. In this context,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-22 Ata Koklu , Yusuf Guven , Tufan Kumbasar

In recent years, the application of Large Language Models (LLMs) to time series forecasting (TSF) has garnered significant attention among researchers. This study presents a new frame of LLMs named CGF-LLM using GPT-2 combined with fuzzy…

Two-phase sampling designs are frequently employed in epidemiological studies and large-scale health surveys. In such designs, certain variables are exclusively collected within a second-phase random subsample of the initial first-phase…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-25 Lingxiao Wang

Time evolving surfaces can be modeled as two-dimensional Functional time series, exploiting the tools of Functional data analysis. Leveraging this approach, a forecasting framework for such complex data is developed. The main focus revolves…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-19 Niccolò Ajroldi , Jacopo Diquigiovanni , Matteo Fontana , Simone Vantini

This paper proposes a new fuzzy assessing procedure with application in management decision making. The proposed fuzzy approach build the membership functions for system characteristics of a standby repairable system. This method is used to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-07-07 Shoele Jamali , Mehrdad J. Bani

To improve the effectiveness of the fuzzy identification, a structure identification method based on moving rate is proposed for T-S fuzzy model. The proposed method is called "T-S modeling (or T-S fuzzy identification method) based on…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-11-10 Son-Il Kwak , Gang Choe , In-Song Kim , Gyong-Ho Jo , Chol-Jun Hwang

In the face of increasing financial uncertainty and market complexity, this study presents a novel risk-aware financial forecasting framework that integrates advanced machine learning techniques with intuitionistic fuzzy multi-criteria…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-23 Safiye Turgay , Serkan Erdoğan , Željko Stević , Orhan Emre Elma , Tevfik Eren , Zhiyuan Wang , Mahmut Baydaş

Tensor regression methods have been widely used to predict a scalar response from covariates in the form of a multiway array. In many applications, the regions of tensor covariates used for prediction are often spatially connected with…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-02 Shuoli Chen , Kejun He , Shiyuan He , Yang Ni , Raymond K. W. Wong

Long-term time-series forecasting (LTTF) has become a pressing demand in many applications, such as wind power supply planning. Transformer models have been adopted to deliver high prediction capacity because of the high computational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-06 Yan Li , Xinjiang Lu , Haoyi Xiong , Jian Tang , Jiantao Su , Bo Jin , Dejing Dou

Building on top of a regression model, Conformal Prediction methods produce distribution free prediction sets, requiring only i.i.d. data. While R packages implementing such methods for the univariate response framework have been developed,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-30 Paolo Vergottini , Matteo Fontana , Jacopo Diquigiovanni , Aldo Solari , Simone Vantini

Diffusion models have achieved state-of-the-art performance in generative modeling tasks across various domains. Prior works on time series diffusion models have primarily focused on developing conditional models tailored to specific…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-23 Marcel Kollovieh , Abdul Fatir Ansari , Michael Bohlke-Schneider , Jasper Zschiegner , Hao Wang , Yuyang Wang

At present, state-of-the-art forecasting models are short of the ability to capture spatio-temporal dependency and synthesize global information at the stage of learning. To address this issue, in this paper, through the adaptive fuzzified…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-07-29 Lijian Li

In this paper, we use the advantage of large-scale systems modeling based on the type-2 fuzzy Takagi-Sugeno model to cover the uncertainties caused by large-scale systems modeling. The advantage of using membership function information is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-01 Mojtaba Asadi Jokar , Iman Zamani , Mohamad Manthouri , Mohammad Sarbaz

The fuzzy linear regression (FLR) modeling was first proposed making use of linear programming and then followed by many improvements in a variety of ways. In almost all approaches changing the meters, objective function, and restrictions…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-04 M. Kashani , M. Arashi , M. R. Rabiei

A new fuzzy method is developed using triangular/trapezoidal fuzzy numbers for evaluating a group's mean performance, when qualitative grades instead of numerical scores are used for assessing its members' individual performance. Also, a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-11-24 Michael Voskoglou

This paper introduces a novel two-dimensional (2D) time series forecasting model that integrates cohort behavior over time, addressing challenges in small data environments. We demonstrate its efficacy using multiple real-world datasets,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-22 Yonathan Guttel , Orit Moradov , Nachi Lieder , Asnat Greenstein-Messica

Type-1 fuzzy logic has frequently been used in control systems. However this method is sometimes shown to be too restrictive and unable to adapt in the presence of uncertainty. In this paper we compare type-1 fuzzy control with several…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-11-15 Naisan Benatar , Uwe Aickelin , Jonathan M. Garibaldi

In this paper, a combination of fuzzy clustering estimation and sliding mode control is used to control a quadrotor system, whose mathematical model is complex and has unknown elements, including structure, parameters, and so on. In…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-15 Moufid Bouhentala , Mouna Ghanai , Kheireddine Chafaa