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In this article, we study the dynamics of marking in football matches. To do this, we surveyed and analyzed a database containing the trajectories of players from both teams on the field of play during three professional games. We describe…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-11-09 A. Chacoma , M. N. Kuperman , O. V. Billoni

Using videos to analyze pitchers in baseball can play a vital role in strategizing and injury prevention. Computer vision-based pose analysis offers a time-efficient and cost-effective approach. However, the use of accessible broadcast…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-09-06 Jerrin Bright , Yuhao Chen , John Zelek

Estimating win probability is one of the classic modeling tasks of sports analytics. Many widely used win probability estimators use machine learning to fit the relationship between a binary win/loss outcome variable and certain game-state…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-21 Ryan S. Brill , Ronald Yurko , Abraham J. Wyner

A popular quantitative approach to evaluating player performance in sports involves comparing an observed outcome to the expected outcome ignoring player involvement, which is estimated using statistical or machine learning methods. In…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-22 Robert Bajons , Lucas Kook

Over the past century, basketball analytics has moved from simple box-score rates toward complex context-aware measures that evaluate events by their expected effect on game outcomes. Officiating analysis has not made the same transition:…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-19 Nirek Duma , Leo Benaharon

In this paper, I introduce RisingBALLER, the first publicly available approach that leverages a transformer model trained on football match data to learn match-specific player representations. Drawing inspiration from advances in language…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-03 Akedjou Achraff Adjileye

Identifying significant shots in a rally is important for evaluating players' performance in badminton matches. While there are several studies that have quantified player performance in other sports, analyzing badminton data is remained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-15 Wei-Yao Wang , Teng-Fong Chan , Hui-Kuo Yang , Chih-Chuan Wang , Yao-Chung Fan , Wen-Chih Peng

In the sport of cricket, player batting ability is traditionally measured using the batting average. However, the batting average fails to measure both short-term changes in ability that occur during an innings, and long-term changes that…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-25 Oliver George Stevenson , Brendon James Brewer

The study of combinatorial games is intimately tied to the study of graphs, as any game can be realized as a directed graph in which players take turns traversing the edges until reaching a sink. However, there have heretofore been few…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2019-05-21 Craig Tennenhouse

Predicting soccer match outcomes is a challenging task due to the inherently unpredictable nature of the game and the numerous dynamic factors influencing results. While it conventionally relies on meticulous feature engineering, deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-16 Lintao Wang , Shiwen Xu , Michael Horton , Joachim Gudmundsson , Zhiyong Wang

I address the difficult challenge of measuring the relative influence of competing basketball game strategies, and I apply my analysis to plays resulting in three-point shots. I use a glut of SportVU player tracking data from over 600 NBA…

Applications · Statistics 2017-03-22 Bradley A. Sliz

We present evidence, based on play-by-play data from all 6087 games from the 2006/07--2009/10 seasons of the National Basketball Association (NBA), that basketball scoring is well described by a weakly-biased continuous-time random walk.…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-07-25 Alan Gabel , S. Redner

Even though having more possession does not necessarily lead to winning, teams like Manchester City, Liverpool, and Leeds United notably have tried to recover the ball quickly after they lost it over the past few years. Nowadays, some of…

Applications · Statistics 2023-07-11 Ricardo Furbino Marques do Nascimento , Hugo M. R. Rios-Neto

This paper investigates the Tennis Momentum Model (TMM), which aims to enhance the understanding of match dynamics by integrating key factors such as efficiency, historical scoring probabilities, and real-time scoring data. The model is…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-30 Jackson Graves , Daniel X. Guo , Ridge Shepherd , Alexander Young

Tackling is a fundamental defensive move in American football, with the main purpose of stopping the forward motion of the ball-carrier. However, current tackling metrics are manually recorded outcomes that are inherently flawed due to…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-08 Quang Nguyen , Ruitong Jiang , Meg Ellingwood , Ronald Yurko

Sports broadcasters inject drama into play-by-play commentary by building team and player narratives through subjective analyses and anecdotes. Prior studies based on small datasets and manual coding show that such theatrics evince…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-10-22 Jack Merullo , Luke Yeh , Abram Handler , Alvin Grissom , Brendan O'Connor , Mohit Iyyer

The availability of massive data about sports activities offers nowadays the opportunity to quantify the relation between performance and success. In this study, we analyze more than 6,000 games and 10 million events in six European leagues…

Applications · Statistics 2017-11-17 Luca Pappalardo , Paolo Cintia

As the technology advances, an ample amount of data is collected in sports with the help of advanced sensors. Sports Analytics is the study of this data to provide a constructive advantage to the team and its players. The game of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-05 Rahul Chakwate , Madhan R A

A variety of machine learning models have been proposed to assess the performance of players in professional sports. However, they have only a limited ability to model how player performance depends on the game context. This paper proposes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-17 Guiliang Liu , Oliver Schulte

Sports analytics has captured increasing attention since analysis of the various data enables insights for training strategies, player evaluation, etc. In this paper, we focus on predicting what types of returning strokes will be made, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-16 Kai-Shiang Chang , Wei-Yao Wang , Wen-Chih Peng