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The complexity of game play in online multiplayer games has generated strong interest in modeling the different play styles or strategies used by players for success. We develop a hierarchical Bayesian regression approach for the online…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-15 Aline Normoyle , Shane T. Jensen

Any collection can be ranked. Sports and games are common examples of ranked systems: players and teams are constantly ranked using different methods. The statistical properties of rankings have been studied for almost a century in a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-02-04 José Antonio Morales , Jorge Flores , Carlos Gershenson , Carlos Pineda

In soccer, contextual player performance metrics are invaluable to coaches. For example, the ability to perform under pressure during matches distinguishes the elite from the average. Appropriate pressure metric enables teams to assess…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-08 Chaoyi Gu , Jiaming Na , Yisheng Pei , Varuna De Silva

In most sports, especially football, most coaches and analysts search for key performance indicators using notational analysis. This method utilizes a statistical summary of events based on video footage and numerical records of goal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-26 Chenyao Li , Stylianos Kampakis , Philip Treleaven

Although the data-driven analysis of football players' performance has been developed for years, most research only focuses on the on-ball event including shots and passes, while the off-ball movement remains a little-explored area in this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-06 Yisheng Pei , Varuna De Silva , Mike Caine

In modern physical education, data-driven evaluation methods have gradually attracted attention, especially the quantitative prediction of students' sports performance through machine learning model. The purpose of this study is to use a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-26 Shaoxuan Sun , Jingao Yuan , Yuelin Yang

We use a simple machine learning model, logistically-weighted regularized linear least squares regression, in order to predict baseball, basketball, football, and hockey games. We do so using only the thirty-year record of which visiting…

Applications · Statistics 2017-05-16 Alexander Dubbs

Estimating ballpark effects and team defense in baseball is challenging because batted-ball outcomes are influenced by multiple factors, including contact quality, ballpark environment, defensive performance, and random variation. In this…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-24 Jhe-Jia Wu , Tian-Li Yan , Ting-Li Chen

The availability of tracking data in football presents unique opportunities for analyzing team shape and player roles, but leveraging it effectively remains challenging. This difficulty arises from the significant overlap in player…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-06 Ali Baouan

We develop the SEAM (synthetic estimated average matchup) method for describing batter versus pitcher matchups in baseball. We first estimate the distribution of balls put into play by a batter facing a pitcher, called the empirical spray…

Applications · Statistics 2022-08-23 Julia Wapner , David Dalpiaz , Daniel J. Eck

Sports competitions are widely researched in computer and social science, with the goal of understanding how players act under uncertainty. While there is an abundance of computational work on player metrics prediction based on past…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-07-02 Nadav Oved , Amir Feder , Roi Reichart

Assessing the impact of the individual actions performed by soccer players during games is a crucial aspect of the player recruitment process. Unfortunately, most traditional metrics fall short in addressing this task as they either focus…

Applications · Statistics 2019-08-01 Tom Decroos , Lotte Bransen , Jan Van Haaren , Jesse Davis

In team sports, traditional ranking statistics do not allow for the simultaneous evaluation of both individuals and combinations of players. Metrics for individual player rankings often fail to include the interaction effects between groups…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-09 Nathaniel Josephs , Elizabeth Upton

How much can a pitcher's body reveal about the upcoming pitch? We study this question at scale by classifying eight pitch types from monocular 3D pose sequences, without access to ball-flight data. Our pipeline chains a diffusion-based 3D…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-06 Jerrin Bright , Michelle Lu , John Zelek

A new approach in team sports analysis consists in studying positioning and movements of players during the game in relation to team performance. State of the art tracking systems produce spatio-temporal traces of players that have…

Applications · Statistics 2017-07-06 Rodolfo Metulini , Marica Manisera , Paola Zuccolotto

Team Recommendation has always been a challenging aspect in team sports. Such systems aim to recommend a player combination best suited against the opposition players, resulting in an optimal outcome. In this paper, we propose a…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-10-30 Prazwal Chhabra , Rizwan Ali , Vikram Pudi

Pressing is a fundamental defensive strategy in football, characterized by applying pressure on the ball owning team to regain possession. Despite its significance, existing metrics for measuring pressing often lack precision or…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-01 Joris Bekkers

Predicting athletes' performance has relied mostly on statistical data. Besides the traditional data, various types of data, including video, have become available. However, it is challenging to use them for deep learning, especially when…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2023-04-07 Jaeyoun You , Jinhan Choi , Ho-Jae Shin , Bongwon Suh

We develop a machine learning approach to represent and analyze the underlying spatial structure that governs shot selection among professional basketball players in the NBA. Typically, NBA players are discussed and compared in an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-01-09 Andrew Miller , Luke Bornn , Ryan Adams , Kirk Goldsberry

In the National Basketball Association (NBA), teams must make choices about which players to acquire, how much to pay them, and other decisions that are fundamentally dependent on player effectiveness. Thus, there is great interest in…

Applications · Statistics 2013-01-17 Dapo Omidiran