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In most popular sports leagues, like the MLB, NBA, and NFL, none of the commonly used statistics take into account the strengths of the opponents a player faces. One of the main reasons for this is the conventional belief that a player's…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-22 Francis Liu

From 2020 to 2023, Major League Baseball changed rules affecting team composition, player positioning, and game time. Understanding the effects of these rules is crucial for leagues, teams, players, and other relevant parties to assess…

Applications · Statistics 2025-12-17 Lee Kennedy-Shaffer

In Major League Baseball, strategy and planning are major factors in determining the outcome of a game. Previous studies have aided this by building machine learning models for predicting the winning team of any given game. We extend this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-05 Morgan Allen , Paul Savala

Each ballpark has a different size in baseball. It could be easily imagined that there would be many home runs in a small ballpark. Moreover, the environment of the ballpark, such as altitude, humidity, air pressure, and wind strength,…

Applications · Statistics 2021-09-21 Eiji Konaka

In-game win probability models, which provide a sports team's likelihood of winning at each point in a game based on historical observations, are becoming increasingly popular. In baseball, basketball and American football, they have become…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-16 Pieter Robberechts , Jan Van Haaren , Jesse Davis

We use multivariate change point analysis methods, to identify not only mean shifts but also changes in variance across a wide array of statistical time series. Our primary objective is to empirically discern distinct eras in the evolution…

Applications · Statistics 2024-10-04 Mena CR Whalen , Gregory J Matthews , Brian M Mills

Continuous-time assessments of game outcomes in sports have become increasingly common in the last decade. In American football, only discrete-time estimates of play value were possible, since the most advanced public football datasets were…

Professional baseball players are increasingly guaranteed expensive long-term contracts, with over 70 deals signed in excess of \$90 million, mostly in the last decade. These are substantial sums compared to a typical franchise valuation of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-12-18 Brian Bierig , Jonathan Hollenbeck , Alexander Stroud

There is a long standing debate over how to objectively compare the career achievements of professional athletes from different historical eras. Developing an objective approach will be of particular importance over the next decade as Major…

Physics and Society · Physics 2011-03-17 Alexander M. Petersen , Orion Penner , H. Eugene Stanley

Baseball consists of two teams alternating between batting and fielding while competing to score runs through sequential pitching events. Recent advances in tracking technology have enabled all Major League Baseball (MLB) clubs to record…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-04-01 Youngjai Park , Cheawoon Lim , Seung-Woo Son , Mi Jin Lee

The National Basketball Association(NBA) has expanded their data gathering and have heavily invested in new technologies to gather advanced performance metrics on players. This expanded data set allows analysts to use unique performance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-07-12 Neil Seward

The productive career of a professional athlete is limited compared to the normal human lifespan. Most professional athletes have retired by age 40. The early retirement age is due to a combination of age-related performance and life…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-17 Monnie McGee , Jacob Turner , Bianca Luedeker

Systemic and idiosyncratic patterns in pitching mechanics of 24 top starting pitchers in Major League Baseball (MLB) are extracted and discovered from PITCHf/x database. These evolving patterns across different pitchers or seasons are…

Applications · Statistics 2018-01-30 Fushing Hsieh , Kevin Fujii , Tania Roy , Cho-Jui Hsieh , Brenda McCowan

A new methodological framework suitable for era-adjusting baseball statistics is developed in this article. Within this methodological framework specific models are motivated. We call these models Full House Models. Full House Models work…

Applications · Statistics 2024-04-25 Shen Yan , Adrian Burgos , Christopher Kinson , Daniel J. Eck

The field of quantitative analytics has transformed the world of sports over the last decade. To date, these analytic approaches are statistical at their core, characterizing what is and what was, while using this information to drive…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-10-12 Connor Douglas , Everett Witt , Mia Bendy , Yevgeniy Vorobeychik

It is challenging to get access to datasets related to the physical performance of soccer players. The teams consider such information highly confidential, especially if it covers in-game performance.Hence, most of the analysis and…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2016-03-18 Laszlo Gyarmati , Mohamed Hefeeda

Predicting batting averages for specific batters against specific pitchers is a challenging problem in baseball. Previous methods for estimating batting averages in these matchups have used regression models that can incorporate the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-06 Michael J. O'Connell

Injuries are a major cost in sports. Teams spend millions of dollars every year on players who are hurt and unable to play, resulting in lost games, decreased fan interest and additional wages for replacement players. Modern convolutional…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-04-19 AJ Piergiovanni , Michael S. Ryoo

National Basketball Association (NBA) players are highly motivated and skilled experts that solve complex decision making problems at every time point during a game. As a step towards understanding how players make their decisions, we focus…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-19 Sandro Hauri , Nemanja Djuric , Vladan Radosavljevic , Slobodan Vucetic

Statistical analysis and modeling is becoming increasingly popular for the world's leading organizations, especially for professional NBA teams. Sophisticated methods and models of sport talent evaluation have been created for this purpose.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-12-14 Andreas Gavros , Foteini Gavrou