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Bayes Factors, the Bayesian tool for hypothesis testing, are receiving increasing attention in the literature. Compared to their frequentist rivals ($p$-values or test statistics), Bayes Factors have the conceptual advantage of providing…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-21 Stavros Nikolakopoulos , Björn Alfons Edmar , Ioannis Ntzoufras

Total probability and Bayes formula are two basic tools for using prior information in the Bayesian statistics. In this paper we introduce an alternative tool for using prior information. This new toold enables us to improve some…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2009-11-10 Adel Mohammadpour , Ali Mohammad-Djafari

This paper presents a novel approach to machine learning algorithm design based on information theory, specifically mutual information (MI). We propose a framework for learning and representing functional relationships in data using…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-24 Jeremy Nixon

This paper presents expression of mutual information that defines the information gain in planning of sensing resources, when the goal is to reduce the forecast uncertainty of some quantities of interest and the system dynamics is described…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2013-08-02 Han-Lim Choi

Mutual information has been successfully adopted in filter feature-selection methods to assess both the relevancy of a subset of features in predicting the target variable and the redundancy with respect to other variables. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-18 Mario Beraha , Alberto Maria Metelli , Matteo Papini , Andrea Tirinzoni , Marcello Restelli

Mutual information is commonly used as a measure of similarity between competing labelings of a given set of objects, for example to quantify performance in classification and community detection tasks. As argued recently, however, the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-07-17 Maximilian Jerdee , Alec Kirkley , M. E. J. Newman

In applications of Bayesian procedures, once a class of priors has been chosen, it may be tempting to fix the prior's hyperparameters from the data, in an empirical Bayes (EB) fashion, usually by their maximum marginal likelihood estimates…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Stefano Rizzelli , Judith Rousseau , Sonia Petrone

We revisit and generalize the concept of composite likelihood as a method to make a probabilistic inference by aggregation of multiple Bayesian agents, thereby defining a class of predictive models which we call composite Bayesian. This…

Computation · Statistics 2019-04-18 Alexis Roche

Meta-analysis aims to generalize results from multiple related statistical analyses through a combined analysis. While the natural outcome of a Bayesian study is a posterior distribution, traditional Bayesian meta-analyses proceed by…

It is well understood that Bayesian decision theory and average case analysis are essentially identical. However, if one is interested in performing uncertainty quantification for a numerical task, it can be argued that standard approaches…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-16 Chris. J. Oates , Jon Cockayne , Dennis Prangle , T. J. Sullivan , Mark Girolami

This paper presents a general and efficient framework for probabilistic inference and learning from arbitrary uncertain information. It exploits the calculation properties of finite mixture models, conjugate families and factorization. Both…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-05-19 M. C. Garrido , P. E. Lopez-de-Teruel , A. Ruiz

The Bayesian brain hypothesis has been a leading theory in understanding perceptual decision-making under uncertainty. While extensive psychophysical evidence supports the notion of the brain performing Bayesian computations, how…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2026-03-05 Po-Chen Kuo , Edgar Y. Walker

A new method is developed to represent probabilistic relations on multiple random events. Where previously knowledge bases containing probabilistic rules were used for this purpose, here a probability distribution over the relations is…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-08 Manfred Jaeger

Information theory provides a mathematical foundation to measure uncertainty in belief. Belief is represented by a probability distribution that captures our understanding of an outcome's plausibility. Information measures based on…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-01-17 Jed A. Duersch , Thomas A. Catanach

Bayesian statistics is an integral part of contemporary applied science. bayesics provides a single framework, unified in syntax and output, for performing the most commonly used statistical procedures, ranging from one- and two-sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-18 Daniel K. Sewell , Alan T. Arakkal

Mutual Information (MI) is a powerful statistical measure that quantifies shared information between random variables, particularly valuable in high-dimensional data analysis across fields like genomics, natural language processing, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-02 Andre O. Falcao

Modern AI systems are being deployed in complex domains such as medicine, science, and law, where it is important that they not only produce correct answers, but also represent and update uncertain beliefs about the world as new evidence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Chacha Chen , Matthew Jörke , Adam Goliński , Masha Fedzechkina , Guillermo Sapiro , Sinead Williamson , Nicholas Foti

Observations on the past provide some hints about what will happen in the future, and this can be quantified using information theory. The ``predictive information'' defined in this way has connections to measures of complexity that have…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 William Bialek , Naftali Tishby

Determining the strength of non-linear statistical dependencies between two variables is a crucial matter in many research fields. The established measure for quantifying such relations is the mutual information. However, estimating mutual…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-07-24 Damián G. Hernández , Inés Samengo

Factorizing low-rank matrices has many applications in machine learning and statistics. For probabilistic models in the Bayes optimal setting, a general expression for the mutual information has been proposed using heuristic statistical…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-03-24 Jean Barbier , Mohamad Dia , Nicolas Macris , Florent Krzakala , Thibault Lesieur , Lenka Zdeborova