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We consider a broad class of continuous-time two-type population size-dependent Markov Branching Processes. The offspring distribution can depend on the current (alive) and total (dead and alive) populations. Using stochastic approximation…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-04 Khushboo Agarwal , Veeraruna Kavitha

A continuous-time Markov process $X$ can be conditioned to be in a given state at a fixed time $T > 0$ using Doob's $h$-transform. This transform requires the typically intractable transition density of $X$. The effect of the $h$-transform…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-16 Marc Corstanje , Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer

Extinction of an epidemic or a species is a rare event that occurs due to a large, rare stochastic fluctuation. Although the extinction process is dynamically unstable, it follows an optimal path that maximizes the probability of…

Biological Physics · Physics 2010-03-25 Eric Forgoston , Simone Bianco , Leah B. Shaw , Ira B. Schwartz

The time at which a one-dimensional continuous strong Markov process attains a boundary point of its state space is a discontinuous path functional and it is, therefore, unclear whether the exit time can be approximated by hitting times of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-11 Thomas Kruse , Mikhail Urusov

Let ${Z_{n},n\geq 0} $ be a critical branching process in random environment and let $T$ be its moment of extinction. Under the annealed approach we prove, as $n\to \infty ,$ a limit theorem for the number of particles in the process at…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-19 C. Boeinghoff , E. E. Dyakonova , G. Kersting , V. A. Vatutin

We study analytically the order and gap statistics of particles at time $t$ for the one dimensional branching Brownian motion, conditioned to have a fixed number of particles at $t$. The dynamics of the process proceeds in continuous time…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-04-27 Kabir Ramola , Satya N. Majumdar , Gregory Schehr

We prove a functional limit theorem for the rescaled occupation time fluctuations of a $(d,\alpha,\beta)$-branching particle system [particles moving in $\mathbb {R}^d$ according to a symmetric $\alpha$-stable L\'{e}vy process, branching…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Tomasz Bojdecki , Luis G. Gorostiza , Anna Talarczyk

Branching processes $(Z_n)_{n \ge 0}$ in a varying environment generalize the Galton-Watson process, in that they allow time-dependence of the offspring distribution. Our main results concern general criteria for a.s. extinction,…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-11 Götz Kersting

We consider the Markov renewal equation $F(t) = f(t) + \boldsymbol{\mu}*F(t)$ for vector-valued functions $f,F: \mathbb{R} \to \mathbb{R}^{p}$ and a $p \times p$ matrix $\boldsymbol{\mu}$ of locally finite measures $\mu^{i,j}$ on…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-10 Konrad Kolesko , Matthias Meiners , Ivana Tomic

It is well-known that conditioning a supercritical (multi-type) branching process on the event that it eventually becomes extinct yields a subcritical branching process. We study the corresponding inverse problem: given a subcritical…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-12 Ewain Gwynne , Jiaqi Liu

Given a discrete spatial structure $X$, we define continuous-time branching processes that model a population breeding and dying on $X$. These processes are usually called branching random walks. They are characterized by breeding rates…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-03 Daniela Bertacchi , Fabio Zucca

Positive self-similar Markov processes (pssMp) are positive Markov processes that satisfy the scaling property and it is known that they can be represented as the exponential of a time-changed L\'evy process via Lamperti representation. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-13 Grégoire Véchambre

Regime switching processes have proved to be indispensable in the modeling of various phenomena, allowing model parameters that traditionally were considered to be constant to fluctuate in a Markovian manner in line with empirical findings.…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-03 Filip Lindskog , Abhishek Pal Majumder

We consider a general class of birth-and-death processes with state space $\{0,1,2,3,\ldots\}$ which describes the size of a population going eventually to extinction with probability one. We obtain the complete spectrum of the generator of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-25 J. -R. Chazottes , P. Collet , S. Méléard

This paper considers discretization of the L\'evy process appearing in the Lamperti representation of a strictly positive self-similar Markov process. Limit theorems for the resulting approximation are established under some regularity…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-17 Jevgenijs Ivanovs , Jakob D. Thøstesen

Suppose that $(X_t)_{t \ge 0}$ is a one-dimensional Brownian motion with negative drift $-\mu$. It is possible to make sense of conditioning this process to be in the state $0$ at an independent exponential random time and if we kill the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-28 Steven N. Evans , Alexandru Hening

We study a continuous time Mutually Catalytic Branching model on the $\mathbb{Z}^{d}$. The model describes the behavior of two different populations of particles, performing random walk on the lattice in the presence of branching, that is,…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Alexandra Jamchi Fugenfirov , Leonid Mytnik

In this article, we consider additive functionals $\zeta_t = \int_0^t f(X_s)\mathrm{d} s$ of a c\`adl\`ag Markov process $(X_t)_{t\geq 0}$ on $\mathbb{R}$. Under some general conditions on the process $(X_t)_{t\geq 0}$ and on the function…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-19 Quentin Berger , Loïc Béthencourt , Camille Tardif

A continuous time mixed state branching process is constructed as the scaling limits of two-type Galton-Watson processes. The process can also be obtained by the pathwise unique solution to a stochastic equation system. From the stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-28 Shukai Chen , Zenghu Li

For supercritical multitype branching processes in continuous time, we investigate the evolution of types along those lineages that survive up to some time t. We establish almost-sure convergence theorems for both time and population…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Hans-Otto Georgii , Ellen Baake
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