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This paper studies inference in cluster randomized trials where treatment status is determined according to a "matched pairs" design. Here, by a cluster randomized experiment, we mean one in which treatment is assigned at the level of the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-08-14 Yuehao Bai , Jizhou Liu , Azeem M. Shaikh , Max Tabord-Meehan

The batch means estimator of the MCMC variance is a simple and effective measure of accuracy for MCMC based ergodic averages. Under various regularity conditions, the estimator has been shown to be consistent for the true variance. However,…

Computation · Statistics 2019-11-05 Saptarshi Chakraborty , Suman K. Bhattacharya , Kshitij Khare

In many statistical linear inverse problems, one needs to recover classes of similar curves from their noisy images under an operator that does not have a bounded inverse. Problems of this kind appear in many areas of application.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-24 Rasika Rajapakshage , Marianna Pensky

Following the work of arXiv:2101.09512, we are interested in clustering a given multi-variate series in an unsupervised manner. We would like to segment and cluster the series such that the resulting blocks present in each cluster are…

Time series data, spanning applications ranging from climatology to finance to healthcare, presents significant challenges in data mining due to its size and complexity. One open issue lies in time series clustering, which is crucial for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-07 Jorge Marco-Blanco , Rubén Cuevas

Time series clustering is a central machine learning task with applications in many fields. While the majority of the methods focus on real-valued time series, very few works consider series with discrete response. In this paper, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-25 Ángel López Oriona , Christian Weiss , José Antonio Vilar

An agglomerative clustering of random variables is proposed, where clusters of random variables sharing the maximum amount of multivariate mutual information are merged successively to form larger clusters. Compared to the previous…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-02-27 Chung Chan , Ali Al-Bashabsheh , Qiaoqiao Zhou

We derive and analyze a generic, recursive algorithm for estimating all splits in a finite cluster tree as well as the corresponding clusters. We further investigate statistical properties of this generic clustering algorithm when it…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-02 Ingo Steinwart , Bharath K. Sriperumbudur , Philipp Thomann

Clustering uncertain data has emerged as a challenging task in uncertain data management and mining. Thanks to a computational complexity advantage over other clustering paradigms, partitional clustering has been particularly studied and a…

Databases · Computer Science 2012-03-30 Francesco Gullo , Andrea Tagarelli

A multivariate, stationary time series is said to be jointly regularly varying if all its finite-dimensional distributions are multivariate regularly varying. This property is shown to be equivalent to weak convergence of the conditional…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-07-27 Bojan Basrak , Johan Segers

This paper introduces a novel model-based clustering approach for clustering time series which present changes in regime. It consists of a mixture of polynomial regressions governed by hidden Markov chains. The underlying hidden process for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-12-30 Faicel Chamroukhi , Allou Samé , Patrice Aknin , Gérard Govaert

Human behavior modeling deals with learning and understanding behavior patterns inherent in humans' daily routines. Existing pattern mining techniques either assume human dynamics is strictly periodic, or require the number of modes as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-26 Rohan Kabra , Divya Saxena , Dhaval Patel , Jiannong Cao

In a stationary ergodic process, clustering is defined as the tendency of events to appear in series of increased frequency separated by longer breaks. Such behavior, contradicting the theoretical "unbiased behavior" with exponential…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-10-27 Tomasz Downarowicz , Yves Lacroix , Didier Léandri

This note outlines a method for clustering time series based on a statistical model in which volatility shifts at unobserved change-points. The model accommodates some classical stylized features of returns and its relation to GARCH is…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-26 Nick Whiteley

By the example of the proof of Minkowski's conjecture on critical determinant we give a category theory framework for interval computation.

Category Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-20 Nikolaj M. Glazunov

The determination of cluster centers generally depends on the scale that we use to analyze the data to be clustered. Inappropriate scale usually leads to unreasonable cluster centers and thus unreasonable results. In this study, we first…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-10-20 Xiurui Geng , Hairong Tang

Let n points be taken at random on a circle of unit circumference and clockwise ordered. Uniform spacings are defined as the clockwise arc-lengths between the successive points from this sample. We are interested in the asymptotic behavior…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-16 Sherzod M. Mirakhmedov

Parameter estimation in a class of heteroscedastic time series models is investigated. The existence of conditional least-squares and conditional likelihood estimators is proved. Their consistency and their asymptotic normality are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-02-08 Joseph Ngatchou-Wandji

We prove a sequence of limiting results about weakly dependent stationary and regularly varying stochastic processes in discrete time. After deducing the limiting distribution for individual clusters of extremes, we present a new type of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-05 Bojan Basrak , Hrvoje Planinic , Philippe Soulier

Forecasting the number of trips in bike-sharing systems and its volatility over time is crucial for planning and optimizing such systems. This paper develops timeseries models to forecast hourly count timeseries data, and estimate its…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-18 Alireza Hosseini , Reza Hosseini