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In this paper, we propose a novel method of model-based time series clustering with mixtures of general state space models (MSSMs). Each component of MSSMs is associated with each cluster. An advantage of the proposed method is that it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-23 Ryoichi Ishizuka , Takashi Imai , Kaoru Kawamoto

We present an approach to clustering time series data using a model-based generalization of the K-Means algorithm which we call K-Models. We prove the convergence of this general algorithm and relate it to the hard-EM algorithm for mixture…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-04 Derek O. Hoare , David S. Matteson , Martin T. Wells

An important task in trajectory analysis is clustering. The results of a clustering are often summarized by a single representative trajectory and an associated size of each cluster. We study the problem of computing a suitable…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2015-01-09 Marc van Kreveld , Maarten Loffler , Frank Staals

Block maxima methods constitute a fundamental part of the statistical toolbox in extreme value analysis. However, most of the corresponding theory is derived under the simplifying assumption that block maxima are independent observations…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-24 Nan Zou , Stanislav Volgushev , Axel Bücher

Time series data is prevalent in a wide variety of real-world applications and it calls for trustworthy and explainable models for people to understand and fully trust decisions made by AI solutions. We consider the problem of building…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-25 Tsung-Yu Hsieh , Suhang Wang , Yiwei Sun , Vasant Honavar

Using statistical learning methods to analyze stochastic simulation outputs can significantly enhance decision-making by uncovering relationships between different simulated systems and between a system's inputs and outputs. We focus on…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-28 Mohammadmahdi Ghasemloo , David J. Eckman

We develop our previous works concerning the identification of the collection of significant factors determining some, in general, non-binary random response variable. Such identification is important, e.g., in biological and medical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-05 Alexander V. Bulinski , Alexander S. Rakitko

Under quite general conditions critical phenomena can be described with high order linked cluster expansions. The coefficients of the series admit a graphical expansion that is generated with the aid of computers. Our generalization of…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2007-05-23 Hildegard Meyer-Ortmanns , Thomas Reisz

Cluster randomization trials commonly employ multiple endpoints. When a single summary of treatment effects across endpoints is of primary interest, global hypothesis testing/effect estimation methods represent a common analysis strategy.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-19 E. Davies Smith , V. Jairath , G. Zou

For noncorrelated random variables, we study a concentration property of the family of distributions of normalized sums formed by sequences of times of a given large length.

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Sergey G. Bobkov

Clustering functional data is a challenging task due to intrinsic infinite-dimensionality and the need for stable, data-adaptive partitioning. In this work, we propose a clustering framework based on Random Projections, which simultaneously…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-18 Matteo Mori , Laura Anderlucci

We give conditions to prove the existence of an Extremal Index for general stationary stochastic processes by detecting the presence of one or more underlying periodic phenomena. This theory, besides giving general useful tools to identify…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-20 Ana Cristina Moreira Freitas , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Mike Todd

The paper establishes the central limit theorems and proposes how to perform valid inference in factor models. We consider a setting where many counties/regions/assets are observed for many time periods, and when estimation of a global…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-06-22 Stanislav Anatolyev , Anna Mikusheva

The theoretical analysis of spectral clustering mainly focuses on consistency, while there is relatively little research on its generalization performance. In this paper, we study the excess risk bounds of the popular spectral clustering…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-19 Shaojie Li , Sheng Ouyang , Yong Liu

Cluster analysis requires many decisions: the clustering method and the implied reference model, the number of clusters and, often, several hyper-parameters and algorithms' tunings. In practice, one produces several partitions, and a final…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-14 Luca Coraggio , Pietro Coretto

In order to improve the efficiency and sustainability of electricity systems, most countries worldwide are deploying advanced metering infrastructures, and in particular household smart meters, in the residential sector. This technology is…

Applications · Statistics 2021-10-07 Andrés M. Alonso , F. Javier Nogales , Carlos Ruiz

In [1], the authors consider a random walk $(Z_{n,1},\ldots,Z_{n,K+1})\in \mathbb{Z}^{K+1}$ with the constraint that each coordinate of the walk is at distance one from the following one. A functional central limit theorem for the first…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-20 Thibault Espinasse , Nadine Guillotin-Plantard , Philippe Nadeau

Clustering is the technique to partition data according to their characteristics. Data that are similar in nature belong to the same cluster [1]. There are two types of evaluation methods to evaluate clustering quality. One is an external…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-05 Anupriya Vysala , Joseph Gomes

We present a new algorithm for clustering longitudinal data. Data of this type can be conceptualized as consisting of individuals and, for each such individual, observations of a time-dependent variable made at various times. Generically,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Marie-Pierre Sylvestre , Laurence Boulanger

Clustering is a crucial tool for analyzing data in virtually every scientific and engineering discipline. There are more scalable solutions framed to enable time and space clustering for the future large-scale data analyses. As a result,…

Databases · Computer Science 2023-08-23 D. D. D. Suribabu , T. Hitendra Sarma , B. Eswar Reddy
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