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In repeated-game applications where both the collusive and non-collusive outcomes can be supported as equilibria, researchers must resolve underlying selection questions if theory will be used to understand counterfactual policies. One…

General Economics · Economics 2021-01-18 Emanuel Vespa , Taylor Weidman , Alistair J. Wilson

A strictly strategy-proof mechanism is one that asks agents to use strictly dominant strategies. In the canonical one-dimensional mechanism design setting with private values, we show that strict strategy-proofness is equivalent to strict…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-07-28 Matteo Escudé , Ludvig Sinander

Advice-efficient prediction with expert advice (in analogy to label-efficient prediction) is a variant of prediction with expert advice game, where on each round of the game we are allowed to ask for advice of a limited number $M$ out of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-04-15 Yevgeny Seldin , Peter Bartlett , Koby Crammer

Crowdsourcing platforms enable to propose simple human intelligence tasks to a large number of participants who realise these tasks. The workers often receive a small amount of money or the platforms include some other incentive mechanisms,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-10-03 Amal Ben Rjab , Mouloud Kharoune , Zoltan Miklos , Arnaud Martin

Our goal is to solve both problems of adverse selection and moral hazard for multi-agent projects. In our model, each selected agent can work according to his private "capability tree". This means a process involving hidden actions, hidden…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2018-01-11 Endre Csóka

We construct and study market models admitting optimal arbitrage. We say that a model admits optimal arbitrage if it is possible, in a zero-interest rate setting, starting with an initial wealth of 1 and using only positive portfolios, to…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-12-19 Huy N. Chau , Peter Tankov

This paper explores the capacity of artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms to autonomously design incentive-compatible contracts in dual-principal-agent settings, a relatively unexplored aspect of algorithmic mechanism design. We develop a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-06-14 Qian Qi

Empirical evidence suggests that even the most competitive markets are not strictly efficient. Price histories can be used to predict near future returns with a probability better than random chance. Many markets can be considered as {\it…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Yi-Cheng Zhang

Suppose you run a home exam, where students should report their own scores but can cheat freely. You can, if needed, call a limited number of students to class and verify their actual performance against their reported score. We consider…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Reshef Meir , Jonathan Wagner , Omer Ben-Porat

We present different versions of a conjecture which would express that first price mechanisms never work very badly in a very general class of problems. The definitions include most of the problems where there is a principal (seller) who…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2015-09-01 Endre Csóka

I study whether and which expert incentives can be provided at what cost when the states of the world become non-contractible, but there is some noisy observation about the states that can be contracted upon. A principal hires an agent to…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-11-12 Zizhe Xia

We argue that an imperfect criminal law procedure cannot be group-fair, if 'group fairness' involves ensuring the same chances of acquittal or convictions to all innocent defendants independently of their morally arbitrary features. We show…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-02-09 Nicolò Cangiotti , Michele Loi

We consider the problem of belief aggregation: given a group of individual agents with probabilistic beliefs over a set of uncertain events, formulate a sensible consensus or aggregate probability distribution over these events. Researchers…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-08 David M. Pennock , Michael P. Wellman

Uncertainty estimation is a significant issue for current large language models (LLMs) that are generally poorly calibrated and over-confident, especially with reinforcement learning from human feedback (RLHF). Unlike humans, whose…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-05-13 Ruixin Yang , Dheeraj Rajagopal , Shirley Anugrah Hayati , Bin Hu , Dongyeop Kang

The classical discrete time model of proportional transaction costs relies on the assumption that a feasible portfolio process has solvent increments at each step. We extend this setting in two directions, allowing for convex transaction…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-15 Emmanuel Lepinette , Ilya Molchanov

An employer contracts with a worker to incentivize efforts whose productivity depends on ability; the worker then enters a market that pays him contingent on ability evaluation. With non-additive monitoring technology, the interdependence…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-07-31 Tan Gan , Hongcheng Li

Choice functions constitute a simple, direct and very general mathematical framework for modelling choice under uncertainty. In particular, they are able to represent the set-valued choices that typically arise from applying decision rules…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-06-05 Jasper De Bock , Gert de Cooman

We introduce a new protocol for prediction with expert advice in which each expert evaluates the learner's and his own performance using a loss function that may change over time and may be different from the loss functions used by the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2009-03-23 Alexey Chernov , Vladimir Vovk

We present an approach, based on deep neural networks, that allows identifying robust statistical arbitrage strategies in financial markets. Robust statistical arbitrage strategies refer to trading strategies that enable profitable trading…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-27 Ariel Neufeld , Julian Sester , Daiying Yin

We study a problem where a group of agents has to decide how some fixed value should be shared among them. We are interested in settings where the share that each agent receives is based on how that agent is evaluated by other members of…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2013-06-04 Arthur Carvalho , Kate Larson