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Advances in data collection are producing growing volumes of temporal count observations, making adapted modeling increasingly necessary. In this work, we introduce a generative framework for independent component analysis of temporal count…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-30 Alexandre Chaussard , Anna Bonnet , Sylvain Le Corff

Extracting insight from the enormous quantity of data generated from molecular simulations requires the identification of a small number of collective variables whose corresponding low-dimensional free-energy landscape retains the essential…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2019-12-30 Yasemin Bozkurt Varolgunes , Tristan Bereau , Joseph F. Rudzinski

Bayesian active learning relies on the precise quantification of predictive uncertainty to explore unknown function landscapes. While Gaussian process surrogates are the standard for such tasks, an underappreciated fact is that their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Sanna Jarl , Maria Bånkestad , Jonathan J. S. Scragg , Jens Sjölund

Gaussian Mixture Models (GMM) do not adapt well to curved and strongly nonlinear data. However, we can use Gaussians in the curvilinear coordinate systems to solve this problem. Moreover, such a solution allows for the adaptation of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-04-05 Krzysztof Byrski , Przemysław Spurek , Jacek Tabor

The paper proposes a latent variable model for binary data coming from an unobserved heterogeneous population. The heterogeneity is taken into account by replacing the traditional assumption of Gaussian distributed factors by a finite…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-10-13 Silvia Cagnone , Cinzia Viroli

Graphical models describe associations between variables through the notion of conditional independence. Gaussian graphical models are a widely used class of such models where the relationships are formalized by non-null entries of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-08 Sagnik Bhadury , Riten Mitra , Jeremy T. Gaskins

Graphical models are an important tool in exploring relationships between variables in complex, multivariate data. Methods for learning such graphical models are well developed in the case where all variables are either continuous or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-15 Konstantin Göbler , Anne Miloschewski , Mathias Drton , Sach Mukherjee

We reconsider a nonparametric density model based on Gaussian processes. By augmenting the model with latent P\'olya--Gamma random variables and a latent marked Poisson process we obtain a new likelihood which is conjugate to the model's…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-30 Christian Donner , Manfred Opper

AI and data-driven models have large potential for data assimilation applications by creating fast and accurate forecasts. Their tendency to produce spurious inaccurate, nonphysical results -- hallucination -- however, raises a serious…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Andrey A. Popov

Many application domains such as ecology or genomics have to deal with multivariate non Gaussian observations. A typical example is the joint observation of the respective abundances of a set of species in a series of sites, aiming to…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-01 Julien Chiquet , Mahendra Mariadassou , Stéphane Robin

Effectively modeling phenomena present in highly nonlinear dynamical systems whilst also accurately quantifying uncertainty is a challenging task, which often requires problem-specific techniques. We present a novel, domain-agnostic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-26 Thomas M. McDonald , Mauricio A. Álvarez

Probabilistic models help us encode latent structures that both model the data and are ideally also useful for specific downstream tasks. Among these, mixture models and their time-series counterparts, hidden Markov models, identify…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-29 Abhishek Sharma , Catherine Zeng , Sanjana Narayanan , Sonali Parbhoo , Finale Doshi-Velez

Discovering interpretable physical laws from high-dimensional data is a fundamental challenge in scientific research. Traditional methods, such as symbolic regression, often produce complex, unphysical formulas when searching a vast space…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-02-27 Yifeng Guan , Chuyi Liu , Dongzhan Zhou , Lei Bai , Wan-jian Yin , Jingyuan Li , Mao Su

The Gaussian mixture model is widely used in unsupervised learning, owing to its simplicity and interpretability. However, a fundamental limitation of the classical Gaussian mixture model is that it forces each observation to belong to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-27 Huan Qing

For predictive modeling relying on Bayesian inversion, fully independent, or ``mean-field'', Gaussian distributions are often used as approximate probability density functions in variational inference since the number of variational…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-14 Wyatt Bridgman , Reese Jones , Mohammad Khalil

Particle filters flexibly represent multiple posterior modes nonparametrically, via a collection of weighted samples, but have classically been applied to tracking problems with known dynamics and observation likelihoods. Such generative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-16 Ali Younis , Erik Sudderth

Biological systems commonly exhibit complex spatiotemporal patterns whose underlying generative mechanisms pose a significant analytical challenge. Traditional approaches to spatiodynamic inference rely on dimensionality reduction through…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-08-01 Jun Won Park , Kangyu Zhao , Sanket Rane

Gaussian mixture models are widely used to model data generated from multiple latent sources. Despite its popularity, most theoretical research assumes that the labels are either independent and identically distributed, or follows a Markov…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-09 Seunghyun Lee , Rajarshi Mukherjee , Sumit Mukherjee

A generative modeling framework is proposed that combines diffusion models and manifold learning to efficiently sample data densities on manifolds. The approach utilizes Diffusion Maps to uncover possible low-dimensional underlying (latent)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-22 Dimitris G. Giovanis , Ellis Crabtree , Roger G. Ghanem , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis

We propose a novel approach to the recognition of particular classes of non-conventional events in signals from phase-sensitive optical time-domain-reflectometry-based sensors. Our algorithmic solution has two main features: filtering aimed…