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In developing data-driven modeling methodologies, there is an ongoing need to reconcile the strong predictive performance of opaque black-box models with the transparency required for critical applications. This work introduces an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-21 Xin Huang , Jia Li , Jun Yu

This paper presents a general and efficient framework for probabilistic inference and learning from arbitrary uncertain information. It exploits the calculation properties of finite mixture models, conjugate families and factorization. Both…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-05-19 M. C. Garrido , P. E. Lopez-de-Teruel , A. Ruiz

Automated model discovery of partial differential equations (PDEs) usually considers a single experiment or dataset to infer the underlying governing equations. In practice, experiments have inherent natural variability in parameters,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-25 Georges Tod , Gert-Jan Both , Remy Kusters

Learning a distribution conditional on a set of discrete-valued features is a commonly encountered task. This becomes more challenging with a high-dimensional feature set when there is the possibility of interaction between the features. In…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-05-01 David C. Kessler , Jack Taylor , David B. Dunson

We describe and analyze a broad class of mixture models for real-valued multivariate data in which the probability density of observations within each component of the model is represented as an arbitrary combination of basis functions.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-28 M. E. J. Newman

Deep learning offers promising new ways to accurately model aleatoric uncertainty in robotic state estimation systems, particularly when the uncertainty distributions do not conform to traditional assumptions of being fixed and Gaussian. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-28 Aastha Acharya , Caleb Lee , Marissa D'Alonzo , Jared Shamwell , Nisar R. Ahmed , Rebecca Russell

We develop a mixture model for transition density approximation, together with soft model selection, in the presence of noisy and heterogeneous nonlinear dynamics. Our model builds on the Gaussian mixture transition distribution (MTD) model…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-03 Matthew Heiner , Athanasios Kottas

Multivariate density estimation is a popular technique in statistics with wide applications including regression models allowing for heteroskedasticity in conditional variances. The estimation problems become more challenging when…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-15 Zhen Li , Lili Wu , Weilian Zhou , Sujit Ghosh

Multi-dimensional data frequently occur in many different fields, including risk management, insurance, biology, environmental sciences, and many more. In analyzing multivariate data, it is imperative that the underlying modelling…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-23 Orla A. Murphy , Juliana Schulz

Complex computer codes are widely used in science to model physical systems. Sensitivity analysis aims to measure the contributions of the inputs on the code output variability. An efficient tool to perform such analysis are the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-10-15 Gaëlle Chastaing , Loic Le Gratiet

Unmeasured confounding is a major challenge for identifying causal relationships from non-experimental data. Here, we propose a method that can accommodate unmeasured discrete confounding. Extending recent identifiability results in deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-13 Patrick Burauel , Frederick Eberhardt , Michel Besserve

The paper introduces a methodology for visualizing on a dimension reduced subspace the classification structure and the geometric characteristics induced by an estimated Gaussian mixture model for discriminant analysis. In particular, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-08-10 Luca Scrucca

We develop a mixture-based approach to robust density modeling and outlier detection for experimental multivariate data that includes measurement error information. Our model is designed to infer atypical measurements that are not due to…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-09-07 Jianyong Sun , Ata Kaban , Somak Raychaudhury

In learned image compression, probabilistic models play an essential role in characterizing the distribution of latent variables. The Gaussian model with mean and scale parameters has been widely used for its simplicity and effectiveness.…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-24 Haotian Zhang , Li Li , Dong Liu

The classical Gaussian mixture model assumes homogeneity within clusters, an assumption that often fails in real-world data where observations naturally exhibit varying scales or intensities. To address this, we introduce the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-08 Huan Qing

We present a multi-fidelity method for uncertainty quantification of parameter estimates in complex systems, leveraging generative models trained to sample the target conditional distribution. In the Bayesian inference setting, traditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-03 Caroline Tatsuoka , Minglei Yang , Dongbin Xiu , Guannan Zhang

Fully describing the entire data set is essential in multivariate risk assessment, since moderate levels of one variable can influence another, potentially leading it to be extreme. Additionally, modelling both non-extreme and extreme…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-11 Lídia M. André , Jonathan A. Tawn

We consider estimating the parameters of a Gaussian mixture density with a given number of components best representing a given set of weighted samples. We adopt a density interpretation of the samples by viewing them as a discrete Dirac…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-03 Daniel Frisch , Uwe D. Hanebeck

Tremendous efforts have been put forth on predicting pedestrian trajectory with generative models to accommodate uncertainty and multi-modality in human behaviors. An individual's inherent uncertainty, e.g., change of destination, can be…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-05-14 Yao Liu , Zesheng Ye , Rui Wang , Binghao Li , Quan Z. Sheng , Lina Yao

Causal representation learning aims at identifying high-level causal variables from perceptual data. Most methods assume that all latent causal variables are captured in the high-dimensional observations. We instead consider a partially…