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Classical change point analysis aims at (1) detecting abrupt changes in the mean of a possibly non-stationary time series and at (2) identifying regions where the mean exhibits a piecewise constant behavior. In many applications however, it…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-17 Axel Bücher , Holger Dette , Florian Heinrichs

Tests for structural breaks in time series should ideally be sensitive to breaks in the parameter of interest, while being robust to nuisance changes. Statistical analysis thus needs to allow for some form of nonstationarity under the null…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-02 Fabian Mies

In this paper, we investigate time-varying nonlinear time series regression for a broad class of locally stationary time series. First, we propose sieve nonparametric estimators for the time-varying regression functions that achieve uniform…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-01 Xiucai Ding , Zhou Zhou

The distance standard deviation, which arises in distance correlation analysis of multivariate data, is studied as a measure of spread. The asymptotic distribution of the empirical distance standard deviation is derived under the assumption…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-12 Dominic Edelmann , Donald Richards , Daniel Vogel

Motivated by an example from remote sensing of gas emission sources, we derive two novel change point procedures for multivariate time series where, in contrast to classical change point literature, the changes are not required to be…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-07 Idris Eckley , Claudia Kirch , Silke Weber

In this paper, we propose a nonparametric way to test the hypothesis that time-variation in intraday volatility is caused solely by a deterministic and recurrent diurnal pattern. We assume that noisy high-frequency data from a discretely…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-26 Kim Christensen , Ulrich Hounyo , Mark Podolskij

When we use the normal mixture model, the optimal number of the components describing the data should be determined. Testing homogeneity is good for this purpose; however, to construct its theory is challenging, since the test statistic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-24 Natsuki Kariya , Sumio Watanabe

This paper is mainly concerned with asymptotic studies of weighted bootstrap for u- and v-statistics. We derive the consistency of the weighted bootstrap u- and v-statistics, based on i.i.d. and non i.i.d. observations, from some more…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-10-23 Miklos Csorgo , Masoud M. Nasari

We propose a new statistical test to identify non-stationary frequency-modulated stochastic processes from time series data. Our method uses the instantaneous phase as a discriminatory statistics with reliable critical values derived from…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-08-08 Adrian L. Hauber , Christian Sigloch , Jens Timmer

We develop a monitoring procedure to detect changes in a large approximate factor model. Letting $r$ be the number of common factors, we base our statistics on the fact that the $\left( r+1\right) $-th eigenvalue of the sample covariance…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-03 Matteo Barigozzi , Lorenzo Trapani

We consider a nonparametric heteroscedastic time series regression model and suggest testing procedures to detect changes in the conditional variance function. The tests are based on a sequential marked empirical process and thus combine…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-10 Maria Mohr , Natalie Neumeyer

We propose a new testing procedure of heteroskedasticity in high-dimensional linear regression, where the number of covariates can be larger than the sample size. Our testing procedure is based on residuals of the Lasso. We demonstrate that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-01 Akira Shinkyu

It is commonly required to detect change points in sequences of random variables. In the most difficult setting of this problem, change detection must be performed sequentially with new observations being constantly received over time.…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-08 Gordon J Ross

An important assumption in the work on testing for structural breaks in time series consists in the fact that the model is formulated such that the stochastic process under the null hypothesis of "no change-point" is stationary. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-31 Holger Dette , Weichi Wu , Zhou Zhou

The problem of detecting change points in the parameters of a linear regression model with errors and covariates exhibiting heteroscedasticity is considered. Asymptotic results for weighted functionals of the cumulative sum (CUSUM)…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-28 Lajos Horvath , Gregory Rice , Yuqian Zhao

This paper reports on the application to field measurements of time series methods developed on the basis of the theory of deterministic chaos. The major difficulties are pointed out that arise when the data cannot be assumed to be purely…

chao-dyn · Physics 2015-06-24 Thomas Schreiber

We develop an estimator for the high-dimensional covariance matrix of a locally stationary process with a smoothly varying trend and use this statistic to derive consistent predictors in non-stationary time series. In contrast to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-08 Holger Dette , Weichi Wu

We study the asymptotic behaviour of different statistics for time series exhibiting long memory and nonstationarity. For processes with memory parameter $d\in(-1/2,3/2)$, we derive the joint limiting distribution of discrete Fourier…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-28 Mohamedou Ould Haye , Anne Philippe

This article proposes an online bootstrap scheme for nonparametric level estimation in nonstationary time series. Our approach applies to a broad class of level estimators expressible as weighted sample averages over time windows, including…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-02 Thomas Nagler , Tobias Brock , Nicolai Palm

Functional data often arise as sequential temporal observations over a continuous state-space. A set of functional data with a possible change in its structure may lead to a wrong conclusion if it is not taken in to account. So, sometimes,…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-18 Buddhananda Banerjee , Satyaki Mazumder
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