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A time-domain test for the assumption of second order stationarity of a functional time series is proposed. The test is based on combining individual cumulative sum tests which are designed to be sensitive to changes in the mean, variance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-14 Axel Bücher , Holger Dette , Florian Heinrichs

The aim of this paper it to establish sufficient conditions for consistency of moving block bootstrap for non-stationary time series with periodic and almost periodic structure. The parameter of the study is the mean value of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-10 Rafal Synowiecki

A sensitivity analysis in an observational study tests whether the qualitative conclusions of an analysis would change if we were to allow for the possibility of limited bias due to confounding. The design sensitivity of a hypothesis test…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-06 Steven R. Howard , Samuel D. Pimentel

Various statistical tests have been developed for testing the equality of means in matched pairs with missing values. However, most existing methods are commonly based on certain distributional assumptions such as normality, 0-symmetry or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-02 Lubna Amro , Markus Pauly

We develop a novel continuous-time asymptotic framework for inference on whether the predictive ability of a given forecast model remains stable over time. We formally define forecast instability from the economic forecaster's perspective…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-12-04 Alessandro Casini

We propose a general framework of sequential testing procedures based on $U$-statistics which contains as an example a sequential CUSUM test based on differences in mean but also includes a robust sequential Wilcoxon change point procedure.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-19 Claudia Kirch , Christina Stoehr

We construct a statistic and null test for examining the stationarity of time-series of discrete symbols: whether two data streams appear to originate from the same underlying unknown dynamical system, and if any difference is statistically…

chao-dyn · Physics 2007-05-23 Matthew B. Kennel , Alistair I. Mees

In this paper we propose a new test for the hypothesis of a constant coefficient of variation in the common nonparametric regression model. The test is based on an estimate of the $L^2$-distance between the square of the regression function…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-09-30 H. Dette , G. Wieczorek

In this paper, we introduce an asymptotic test procedure to assess the stability of volatilities and cross-volatilites of linear and nonlinear multivariate time series models. The test is very flexible as it can be applied, for example, to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-20 Alexander Aue , Siegfried Hörmann , Lajos Horváth , Matthew Reimherr

In this work a method for statistical analysis of time series is proposed, which is used to obtain solutions to some classical problems of mathematical statistics under the only assumption that the process generating the data is stationary…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2012-04-05 Daniil Ryabko , Boris Ryabko

In time series analysis, statistics based on collections of estimators computed from sub-samples play a crucial role in an increasing variety of important applications. Proving results about the joint asymptotic distribution of such…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-27 Stanislav Volgushev , Xiaofeng Shao

A new bivariate partial sum process for locally stationary time series is introduced and its weak convergence to a Brownian sheet is established. This construction enables the development of a novel self-normalized CUSUM test statistic for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-15 Florian Heinrichs

For a broad class of nonlinear time series known as Bernoulli shifts, we establish the asymptotic normality of the smoothed periodogram estimator of the long-run variance. This estimator uses only a narrow band of Fourier frequencies around…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-09 Vaidotas Characiejus , Piotr Kokoszka , Xiangdong Meng

We propose new tests to detect a change in the mean of a time series. Like many existing tests, the new ones are based on the CUSUM process. Existing CUSUM tests require an estimator of a scale parameter to make them asymptotically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Lajos Horváth , Zsuzsanna Horváth , Marie Hušková

A defining feature of non-stationary systems is the time dependence of their statistical parameters. Measured time series may exhibit Gaussian statistics on short time horizons, due to the central limit theorem. The sample statistics for…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-10-08 Rudi Schäfer , Sonja Barkhofen , Thomas Guhr , Hans-Jürgen Stöckmann , Ulrich Kuhl

Time irreversibility, defined as the lack of invariance of the statistical properties of a system or time series under the operation of time reversal, has received an increasing attention during the last decades, thanks to the information…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-11-03 Massimiliano Zanin

The large-sample behavior of non-degenerate multivariate $U$-statistics of arbitrary degree is investigated under the assumption that their kernel depends on parameters that can be estimated consistently. Mild regularity conditions are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-22 Alain Desgagné , Christian Genest , Frédéric Ouimet

This study examines statistical performance of tests for time-varying properties under misspecified conditional mean and variance. When we test for time-varying properties of the conditional mean in the case in which data have no…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-09-04 Daiki Maki , Yasushi Ota

Many important problems in psychology and biomedical studies require testing for overdispersion, correlation and heterogeneity in mixed effects and latent variable models, and score tests are particularly useful for this purpose. But the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Hongtu Zhu , Heping Zhang

This article considers a nonparametric method for detecting change points in non-stationary time series. The proposed method will divide the time series into several segments so that between two adjacent segments, the normalized spectral…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-05 Zixiang Guan , Gemai Chen