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Social and economic studies are often implemented as complex survey designs. For example, multistage, unequal probability sampling designs utilized by federal statistical agencies are typically constructed to maximize the efficiency of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-09 Matthew R. Williams , Terrance D. Savitsky

Many algorithms have been proposed for fitting network models with communities, but most of them do not scale well to large networks, and often fail on sparse networks. Here we propose a new fast pseudo-likelihood method for fitting the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-11-06 Arash A. Amini , Aiyou Chen , Peter J. Bickel , Elizaveta Levina

Spectral embedding of adjacency or Laplacian matrices of undirected graphs is a common technique for representing a network in a lower dimensional latent space, with optimal theoretical guarantees. The embedding can be used to estimate the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-07-22 Francesco Sanna Passino , Nicholas A. Heard

While conformal predictors reap the benefits of rigorous statistical guarantees on their error frequency, the size of their corresponding prediction sets is critical to their practical utility. Unfortunately, there is currently a lack of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-12 Guneet S. Dhillon , George Deligiannidis , Tom Rainforth

We study the disassortative stochastic block model with three communities, a well-studied model of graph partitioning and Bayesian inference for which detailed predictions based on the cavity method exist [Decelle et al. (2011)]. We provide…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-26 Amin Coja-Oghlan , Lena Krieg , Johannes Christian Lawnik , Olga Scheftelowitsch

We investigate the frequentist coverage of Bayesian credible sets in a nonparametric setting. We consider a scale of priors of varying regularity and choose the regularity by an empirical Bayes method. Next we consider a central set of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-11 Botond Szabó , A. W. van der Vaart , J. H. van Zanten

We propose a way to construct fiducial distributions for a multidimensional parameter using a step-by-step conditional procedure related to the inferential importance of the components of the parameter. For discrete models, in which the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-07 Piero Veronese , Eugenio Melilli

We develop scalable methods for producing conformal Bayesian predictive intervals with finite sample calibration guarantees. Bayesian posterior predictive distributions, $p(y \mid x)$, characterize subjective beliefs on outcomes of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-15 Edwin Fong , Chris Holmes

A large body of work has been devoted to defining and identifying clusters or communities in social and information networks. We explore from a novel perspective several questions related to identifying meaningful communities in large…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2008-10-13 Jure Leskovec , Kevin J. Lang , Anirban Dasgupta , Michael W. Mahoney

The Stochastic Block Model (SBM) is a widely used random graph model for networks with communities. Despite the recent burst of interest in recovering communities in the SBM from statistical and computational points of view, there are still…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-12-16 Amin Jalali , Qiyang Han , Ioana Dumitriu , Maryam Fazel

We consider the problem of recovering the community structure in the stochastic block model. We aim to describe the mutual information between the observed network and the actual community structure as the number of nodes diverges while the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-03 Tomas Dominguez , Jean-Christophe Mourrat

This paper is motivated by the reconstruction problem on the sparse stochastic block model. Mossel, et. al. proved that a reconstruction algorithm that recovers an optimal fraction of the communities in the symmetric, 2-community case. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-20 Byron Chin , Allan Sly

Community detection is the problem of identifying community structure in graphs. Often the graph is modeled as a sample from the Stochastic Block Model, in which each vertex belongs to a community. The probability that two vertices are…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-12 Souvik Dhara , Julia Gaudio , Elchanan Mossel , Colin Sandon

This paper examines Bayesian belief network inference using simulation as a method for computing the posterior probabilities of network variables. Specifically, it examines the use of a method described by Henrion, called logic sampling,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-11 Homer L. Chin , Gregory F. Cooper

Until recently mass-mapping techniques for weak gravitational lensing convergence reconstruction have lacked a principled statistical framework upon which to quantify reconstruction uncertainties, without making strong assumptions of…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2021-02-08 Matthew A. Price , Xiaohao Cai , Jason D. McEwen , Marcelo Pereyra , Thomas D. Kitching

Confidence intervals for the means of multiple normal populations are often based on a hierarchical normal model. While commonly used interval procedures based on such a model have the nominal coverage rate on average across a population of…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-28 Chaoyu Yu , Peter D. Hoff

This paper considers the problem of community detection on multiple potentially correlated graphs from an information-theoretical perspective. We first put forth a random graph model, called the multi-view stochastic block model (MVSBM),…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-01-19 Yexin Zhang , Zhongtian Ma , Qiaosheng Zhang , Zhen Wang , Xuelong Li

We study the problem of community recovery from coarse measurements of a graph. In contrast to the problem of community recovery of a fully observed graph, one often encounters situations when measurements of a graph are made at…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-02 Nafiseh Ghoroghchian , Gautam Dasarathy , Stark C. Draper

Bayesian model comparison is often based on the posterior distribution over the set of compared models. This distribution is often observed to concentrate on a single model even when other measures of model fit or forecasting ability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-10 Oscar Oelrich , Shutong Ding , Måns Magnusson , Aki Vehtari , Mattias Villani

Belief systems are often treated as globally consistent sets of propositions or as scalar-valued probability distributions. Such representations tend to obscure the internal structure of belief, conflate external credibility with internal…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-08-06 Saleh Nikooroo