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We propose an efficient meta-algorithm for Bayesian estimation problems that is based on low-degree polynomials, semidefinite programming, and tensor decomposition. The algorithm is inspired by recent lower bound constructions for…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2017-10-04 Samuel B. Hopkins , David Steurer

Confidence sets based on sparse estimators are shown to be large compared to more standard confidence sets, demonstrating that sparsity of an estimator comes at a substantial price in terms of the quality of the estimator. The results are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-01-09 Benedikt M. Pötscher

Models with dimension more than the available sample size are now commonly used in various applications. A sensible inference is possible using a lower-dimensional structure. In regression problems with a large number of predictors, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-25 Sayantan Banerjee , Ismaël Castillo , Subhashis Ghosal

The problem of identifying statistically significant inferences about the structure of the graphical model is considered, along with the related task of constructing a confidence set for a graphical model. It has been proven that the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-17 P. A. Koldanov , A. P. Koldanov

The problem of recovering planted community structure in random graphs has received a lot of attention in the literature on the stochastic block model, where the input is a random graph in which edges crossing between different communities…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2026-01-26 Michael Kapralov , Luca Trevisan , Weronika Wrzos-Kaminska

We consider the problem of community detection in the Stochastic Block Model with a finite number $K$ of communities of sizes linearly growing with the network size $n$. This model consists in a random graph such that each pair of vertices…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-12-24 Se-Young Yun , Alexandre Proutiere

This paper studies a novel stochastic compartmental model that describes the dynamics of trust in society. The population is split into three compartments representing levels of trust in society: trusters, skeptics and doubters. The focus…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-09-20 Benedikt Valentin Meylahn , Koen De Turck , Michel Mandjes

We study sharp detection thresholds for degree corrections in Stochastic Block Models in the context of a goodness of fit problem, and explore the effect of the unknown community assignment (a high dimensional nuisance parameter) and the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-16 Rajarshi Mukherjee , Subhabrata Sen

Latent variable models are frequently used to identify structure in dichotomous network data, in part because they give rise to a Bernoulli product likelihood that is both well understood and consistent with the notion of exchangeable…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-02-13 Edoardo M. Airoldi , David S. Choi , Patrick J. Wolfe

For sparse high-dimensional regression problems, Cox and Battey [1, 9] emphasised the need for confidence sets of models: an enumeration of those small sets of variables that fit the data equivalently well in a suitable statistical sense.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-10 R. M. Lewis , H. S. Battey

Our aim is to estimate the largest community (a.k.a., mode) in a population composed of multiple disjoint communities. This estimation is performed in a fixed confidence setting via sequential sampling of individuals with replacement. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-25 Meera Pai , Nikhil Karamchandani , Jayakrishnan Nair

Many statistical inference problems correspond to recovering the values of a set of hidden variables from sparse observations on them. For instance, in a planted constraint satisfaction problem such as planted 3-SAT, the clauses are sparse…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-07-20 Siqi Liu , Sidhanth Mohanty , Prasad Raghavendra

We investigate the widely encountered problem of detecting communities in multiplex networks, such as social networks, with an unknown arbitrary heterogeneous structure. To improve detectability, we propose a generative model that leverages…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-11-27 Yuming Huang , Ashkan Panahi , Hamid Krim , Liyi Dai

Under model misspecification, it is known that Bayesian posteriors often do not properly quantify uncertainty about true or pseudo-true parameters. Even more fundamentally, misspecification leads to a lack of reproducibility in the sense…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-06 Jonathan H. Huggins , Jeffrey W. Miller

We propose Bayesian Conformal Prediction (BCP), a framework that combines Bayesian posterior predictive distributions with PAC-style conformal risk control to produce prediction sets with finite-sample coverage guarantees. Standard…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Fanyi Wu , Veronika Lohmanova , Samuel Kaski , Michele Caprio

Stochastic blockmodels and variants thereof are among the most widely used approaches to community detection for social networks and relational data. A stochastic blockmodel partitions the nodes of a network into disjoint sets, called…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-16 Diego Franco Saldana , Yi Yu , Yang Feng

We marshall the arguments for preferring Bayesian hypothesis testing and confidence sets to frequentist ones. We define admissible solutions to inference problems, noting that Bayesian solutions are admissible. We give seven weaker…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-22 Roger Sewell

Bayesian composite likelihood estimation of the tail index of a heavy-tailed distribution is addressed when data are randomly right-censored. Maximum a posteriori and mean posterior estimators are constructed under Jeffrey's prior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-18 Abdelkader Ameraoui , Jean-François Dupuy , Kamal Boukhetala

We investigate the credible sets and marginal credible intervals resulting from the horseshoe prior in the sparse multivariate normal means model. We do so in an adaptive setting without assuming knowledge of the sparsity level (number of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-14 Stéphanie van der Pas , Botond Szabó , Aad van der Vaart

The problem of constructing confidence sets in the high-dimensional linear model with $n$ response variables and $p$ parameters, possibly $p\ge n$, is considered. Full honest adaptive inference is possible if the rate of sparse estimation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-19 Richard Nickl , Sara van de Geer