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This paper deals with the binary classification task when the target class has the lower probability of occurrence. In such situation, it is not possible to build a powerful classifier by using standard methods such as logistic regression,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-02-26 Cheikh Ndour , Aliou Diop , Simplice Dossou-Gbété

When using machine learning for imbalanced binary classification problems, it is common to subsample the majority class to create a (more) balanced training dataset. This biases the model's predictions because the model learns from data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-03 Nathan Phelps , Daniel J. Lizotte , Douglas G. Woolford

Accurate uncertainty estimates can significantly improve the performance of iterative design of experiments, as in Sequential and Reinforcement learning. For many such problems in engineering and the physical sciences, the design task…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-20 Brendan Folie , Maxwell Hutchinson

The issue of fairness in machine learning models has recently attracted a lot of attention as ensuring it will ensure continued confidence of the general public in the deployment of machine learning systems. We focus on mitigating the harm…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-24 Thomas Kehrenberg , Zexun Chen , Novi Quadrianto

In this work, we introduce a modified (rescaled) likelihood for imbalanced logistic regression. This new approach makes easier the use of exponential priors and the computation of lasso regularization path. Precisely, we study a limiting…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-19 Vincent Runge

For research to go in the right direction, it is essential to be able to compare and quantify performance of different algorithms focused on the same problem. Choosing a suitable evaluation metric requires deep understanding of the pursued…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-05 Jan Brabec , Lukas Machlica

Having access to a forward model enables the use of planning algorithms such as Monte Carlo Tree Search and Rolling Horizon Evolution. Where a model is unavailable, a natural aim is to learn a model that reflects accurately the dynamics of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-16 Alvaro Ovalle , Simon M. Lucas

Training and evaluation of fair classifiers is a challenging problem. This is partly due to the fact that most fairness metrics of interest depend on both the sensitive attribute information and label information of the data points. In many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-18 Pranjal Awasthi , Alex Beutel , Matthaeus Kleindessner , Jamie Morgenstern , Xuezhi Wang

Conditional selective inference requires an exact characterization of the selection event, which is often unavailable except for a few examples like the lasso. This work addresses this challenge by introducing a generic approach to estimate…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-22 Sifan Liu , Jelena Markovic-Voronov , Jonathan Taylor

There is an increasing amount of literature focused on Bayesian computational methods to address problems with intractable likelihood. One approach is a set of algorithms known as Approximate Bayesian Computational (ABC) methods. One of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-10-27 Weixuan Zhu , Juan Miguel Marin , Fabrizio Leisen

AI/ML methods are increasingly used in economics to generate binary variables (or labels) via classification algorithms. When these generated variables are included as covariates in regressions, even small misclassification errors can…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-28 Timothy Christensen , Silvia Goncalves , Benoit Perron

Binary classification involves predicting the label of an instance based on whether the model score for the positive class exceeds a threshold chosen based on the application requirements (e.g., maximizing recall for a precision bound).…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-21 Gundeep Arora , Srujana Merugu , Anoop Saladi , Rajeev Rastogi

Cross-validation is a widely used technique for evaluating the performance of prediction models, ranging from simple binary classification to complex precision medicine strategies. It helps correct for optimism bias in error estimates,…

Controlling bias in training datasets is vital for ensuring equal treatment, or parity, between different groups in downstream applications. A naive solution is to transform the data so that it is statistically independent of group…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-04 Umang Gupta , Aaron M Ferber , Bistra Dilkina , Greg Ver Steeg

The bootstrap is a method for estimating the distribution of an estimator or test statistic by re-sampling the data or a model estimated from the data. Under conditions that hold in a wide variety of econometric applications, the bootstrap…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-09-12 Joel L. Horowitz

Machine learning models achieve state-of-the-art performance on many supervised learning tasks. However, prior evidence suggests that these models may learn to rely on shortcut biases or spurious correlations (intuitively, correlations that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-31 Sindhu C. M. Gowda , Shalmali Joshi , Haoran Zhang , Marzyeh Ghassemi

The goal in label-imbalanced and group-sensitive classification is to optimize relevant metrics such as balanced error and equal opportunity. Classical methods, such as weighted cross-entropy, fail when training deep nets to the terminal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-09 Ganesh Ramachandra Kini , Orestis Paraskevas , Samet Oymak , Christos Thrampoulidis

Nonparametric two-sample testing is a classical problem in inferential statistics. While modern two-sample tests, such as the edge count test and its variants, can handle multivariate and non-Euclidean data, contemporary gargantuan datasets…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-28 Trambak Banerjee , Bhaswar B. Bhattacharya , Gourab Mukherjee

This work explores adaptations of successful multi-armed bandits policies to the online contextual bandits scenario with binary rewards using binary classification algorithms such as logistic regression as black-box oracles. Some of these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-26 David Cortes

Nested dichotomies are used as a method of transforming a multiclass classification problem into a series of binary problems. A tree structure is induced that recursively splits the set of classes into subsets, and a binary classification…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-04 Tim Leathart , Eibe Frank , Bernhard Pfahringer , Geoffrey Holmes