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Related papers: Asymmetry in earthquake interevent time intervals

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Catastrophes of all kinds can be roughly defined as short duration-large amplitude events following and followed by long periods of "ripening". Major earthquakes surely belong to the class of 'catastrophic' events. Because of the space-time…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-04 Randall D. Peters , Martine Le Berre , Yves Pomeau

We evaluated the efficiency of various models in describing the time decay of aftershock rate of 47 simple sequences occurred in California (37) from 1933 to 2004 and in Italy (10) from 1976 to 2004. We compared the models by the corrected…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-11-11 Barbara Lolli , Paolo Gasperini

With the help of the Diffusion Entropy technique we show the non-Poisson statistics of the distances between consecutive Omori's swarms of earthquakes. We give an analytical proof of the numerical results of an earlier paper…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 L. Palatella , P. Allegrini , P. Grigolini , V. Latora , M. S. Mega , A. Rapisarda , S. Vinciguerra

This paper is devoted to the study of the interaction between two distinct forms of non-stationary processes, which we will refer to as non-stationarity of first and second kind. The non-stationarity of first kind is caused by…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-12-18 Callum Muir , Mauro Bologna , Paolo Grigolini

BaBar collaboration announced that they observed time reversal (T) asymmetry through $B$ meson system. In the experiment, time dependencies of two distinctive processes, $B_- \rightarrow \bar{B^0}$ and $\bar{B^0}\rightarrow B_-$($-$…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2015-06-23 Takuya Morozumi , Hideaki Okane , Hiroyuki Umeeda

Symmetries play a central role in both equilibrium and nonequilibrium phase transitions, yet their quantitative characterization in dynamical quantum phase transitions (DQPTs) remains an open challenge. In this work, we establish a direct…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-05-19 Andesson B. Nascimento , Lucas Chibebe Céleri

The ETAS models are currently the most popular in the field of earthquake forecasting. The MCMC method is time-consuming and limited by parameter correlation while bringing parameter uncertainty. The INLA-based method "inlabru" solves these…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-17 Ziwen Zhong

In this short paper we propose to extend the ETAS model to micro-seismic events. For that we interpret the triggered events in an ETAS model as individual local clock advances of an independent background process. The solution of the ETAS…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-01-07 Matthias Holschneider

Earthquakes in seismological catalogs and acoustic emission events in lab experiments can be statistically described as a linear Hawkes point process, where the spatio-temporal rate of events is a linear superposition of background…

Geophysics · Physics 2020-05-05 Jordi Baró

Random operators constitute fundamental building blocks of models of complex systems yet are far from fully understood. Here, we explain an asymmetry emerging upon repeating identical isotropic (uniformly random) operations. Specifically,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-06-03 Malte Schröder , Marc Timme

Computational earthquake sequence models provide generative estimates of the time, location, and size of synthetic seismic events that can be compared with observed earthquake histories and assessed as rupture forecasts. Here we describe a…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-04-17 Brendan J. Meade

We present a simple model of earthquakes on a pre-existing hierarchical fault network. The system self-organizes on long time scales in a stationary state with a power law Gutenberg-Richter distribution of earthquake sizes. The largest…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-28 Y. Huang , H. Saleur , C. G. Sammis , D. Sornette

We have numerically investigated statistical properties of the so-called interoccurrence time or the waiting time, i.e., the time interval between successive earthquakes, based on the two-dimensional (2-D) spring-block (Burridge-Knopoff)…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-08-30 Tomohiro Hasumi

We develop an efficient numerical scheme to solve accurately the set of nonlinear integral equations derived previously in (Saichev and Sornette, 2007), which describes the distribution of inter-event times in the framework of a general…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-13 D. Sornette , S. Utkin , A. Saichev

130 years ago, Omori formulated the first law of earthquake physics. The essence of the law is that the frequency of aftershocks decreases hyperbolically over time. 100 years ago, Hirano doubted the universality of Omori law and proposed a…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-01-09 Anatol Guglielmi , Boris Klain , Alexey Zavyalov , Oleg Zotov

This paper presents an analysis of the distribution of the time $\tau$ between two consecutive events in a stationary point process. The study is motivated by the discovery of a unified scaling law for $\tau$ for the case of seismic events.…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-11-10 G. Molchan

Many measurements on soft condensed matter (e.g., biological and materials) systems track low-dimensional observables projected from the full system phase space as a function of time. Examples are dynamic structure factors, spectroscopic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-02-03 Alessio Lapolla , Jeremy C. Smith , Aljaž Godec

Currently, one of the best performing and most popular earthquake forecasting models rely on the working hypothesis that: "locations of past background earthquakes reveal the probable location of future seismicity". As an alternative, we…

Geophysics · Physics 2020-01-08 Shyam Nandan , Guy Ouillon , Didier Sornette , Stefan Wiemer

Recently, simple differential models of aftershocks have attracted increased attention of researchers at the Institute of Physics of the Earth, Russian Academy of Sciences for their remarkable properties. The shortened Bernoulli equation…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-06-22 A. V. Guglielmi

We report an empirical determination of the probability density functions P(r) of the number r of earthquakes in finite space-time windows for the California catalog, over fixed spatial boxes 5 x 5 km^2 and time intervals dt =1, 10, 100 and…

Geophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 A. Saichev , D. Sornette
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