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Related papers: Asymmetry in earthquake interevent time intervals

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Quantum asymmetry is a physical resource which coincides with the amount of coherence between the eigenspaces of a generator responsible for phase encoding in interferometric experiments. We highlight an apparently counter-intuitive…

The Epidemic-Type Aftershock Sequences (ETAS) model and its variants effectively capture the space-time clustering of seismicity, setting the standard for earthquake forecasting. Accurate unbiased ETAS calibration is thus crucial. But we…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-06-23 Jiawei Li , Didier Sornette , Zhongliang Wu , Jiancang Zhuang , Changsheng Jiang

The decay rate of aftershocks is commonly very well described by the modified Omori law, $n(t) \propto t^{-p}$, where n(t) is the number of aftershocks per unit time, t is the time after the main shock, and p is a constant in the range…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-24 Y. Moreno , A. Correig , J. B. Gomez , A. F. Pacheco

We investigate the sequence of great earthquakes over the past century. To examine whether the earthquake record includes temporal clustering, we identify aftershocks and remove those from the record. We focus on the recurrence time,…

Geophysics · Physics 2013-07-22 E. Ben-Naim , E. G. Daub , P. A. Johnson

We construct a one-dimensional piecewise linear intermittent map from the interevent time distribution for a given renewal process. Then, we characterize intermittency by the asymptotic behavior near the indifferent fixed point in the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-05-13 Takuma Akimoto , Tomohiro Hasumi , Yoji Aizawa

Aftershocks of aftershocks - and their aftershock cascades - substantially contribute to the increased seismicity rate and the associated elevated seismic hazard after the occurrence of a large earthquake. Current state-of-the-art…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-11-07 Leila Mizrahi , Dario Jozinović

The conditional intensity function of a point process is a useful tool for generating probability forecasts of earthquakes. The epidemic-type aftershock sequence (ETAS) model is defined by a conditional intensity function, and the…

Applications · Statistics 2014-12-08 Takao Kumazawa , Yosihiko Ogata

Extending the central concept of recurrence times for a point process to recurrent events in space-time allows us to characterize seismicity as a record breaking process using only spatiotemporal relations among events. Linking record…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-06-26 Joern Davidsen , Peter Grassberger , Maya Paczuski

We show that the distribution of waiting times between earthquakes occurring in California obeys a simple unified scaling law valid from tens of seconds to tens of years, see Eq. (1) and Fig. 4. The short time clustering, commonly referred…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Per Bak , Kim Christensen , Leon Danon , Tim Scanlon

The paper is devoted to comparing two approaches to the study of aftershocks. The methodological foundations of the traditional approach were laid many years ago. A new approach has emerged relatively recently. The two approaches differ…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-09-26 A. V. Guglielmi

This paper is devoted to the theory of aftershocks. The history of discovery of the Omori law is briefly described, the initial formulation of the law is given in the form of an algebraic formula describing the decrease in the frequency of…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-04-21 A. V. Guglielmi

By analyzing the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) seismic catalog for different tectonic settings, we have found that the probability distributions of time intervals between successive earthquakes --interoccurrence times-- can be described…

Geophysics · Physics 2008-12-12 Tomohiro Hasumi , Takuma Akimoto , Yoji Aizawa

We estimate the rate of aftershocks triggered by a heterogeneous stress change, using the rate-and-state model of Dieterich [1994].We show that an exponential stress distribution Pt(au) ~exp(-tautau_0) gives an Omori law decay of…

Geophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 Agnes Helmstetter , Bruce E. Shaw

Waiting-time statistics are generated from the Olami-Feder-Christensen model and shown to mimic some aspects of real seismicity. Preliminary analysis of the model data implies a recently proposed universal scaling law for the distribution…

Geophysics · Physics 2016-09-08 Morgan Hedges , George Takacs

Spatiotemporal clustering of earthquake events is a generally-established fact, and is important for designing models and assessment techniques in seismicity. Here, we investigate how this behavior can manifest in the statistical…

Geophysics · Physics 2013-07-08 Rene C. Batac , Holger Kantz

We study the relaxation dynamics of a financial market just after the occurrence of a crash by investigating the number of times the absolute value of an index return is exceeding a given threshold value. We show that the empirical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Fabrizio Lillo , Rosario N. Mantegna

Earthquake phenomenology exhibits a number of power law distributions including the Gutenberg-Richter frequency-size statistics and the Omori law for aftershock decay rates. In search for a basic model that renders correct predictions on…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-11 Amit P. Mehta , Karin A. Dahmen , Yehuda Ben-Zion

Whether aftershocks originate directly from the mainshock and surrounding stress environment or from afterslip dynamics is crucial to the understanding of the nature of aftershocks. We build on a classical description of the fault and…

Geophysics · Physics 2019-06-26 Eugenio Lippiello , Giuseppe Petrillo , François Landes , Alberto Rosso

The occurrence of aftershocks following a major financial crash manifests the critical dynamical response of financial markets. Aftershocks put additional stress on markets, with conceivable dramatic consequences. Such a phenomenon has been…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-09-21 Fulvio Baldovin , Francesco Camana , Michele Caraglio , Attilio L. Stella , Marco Zamparo

Hysteresis loops and the associated avalanche statistics of spin systems, such as the random-field Ising and Edwards-Anderson spin-glass models, have been extensively studied. A particular focus has been on self-organized criticality,…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2019-01-11 John Ferre , Amin Barzegar , Helmut G. Katzgraber , Richard Scalettar