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Best linear unbiased prediction is well known for its wide range of applications including small area estimation. While the theory is well established for mixed linear models and under normality of the error and mixing distributions, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Soumendra N. Lahiri , Tapabrata Maiti , Myron Katzoff , Van Parsons

We prove new probabilistic upper bounds on generalization error of complex classifiers that are combinations of simple classifiers. Such combinations could be implemented by neural networks or by voting methods of combining the classifiers,…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Vladimir Koltchinskii , Dmitry Panchenko

Mostof the existing literature on supervised machine learning problems focuses on the case when the training data set is drawn from an i.i.d. sample. However, many practical problems are characterized by temporal dependence and strong…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-23 Nikola Sandrić , Stjepan Šebek

This paper aims at analyzing the regularization effect that data augmentation induces on supervised regression methods in the proportional regime, where the number of covariates grows proportionally to the number of samples. We provide a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-12 Lucas Morisset , Alain Durmus , Adrien Hardy

Theory of graphical models has matured over more than three decades to provide the backbone for several classes of models that are used in a myriad of applications such as genetic mapping of diseases, credit risk evaluation, reliability and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-11-13 Henrik Nyman , Johan Pensar , Timo Koski , Jukka Corander

Regression models that ignore measurement error in predictors may produce highly biased estimates leading to erroneous inferences. It is well known that it is extremely difficult to take measurement error into account in Gaussian…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-03 Mohammad W. Hattab , David Ruppert

In a meta-analysis, it is important to specify a model that adequately describes the effect-size distribution of the underlying population of studies. The conventional normal fixed-effect and normal random-effects models assume a normal…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-10-21 George Karabatsos , Elizabeth Talbott , Stephen G. Walker

In this paper, we study data-dependent generalization error bounds exhibiting a mild dependency on the number of classes, making them suitable for multi-class learning with a large number of label classes. The bounds generally hold for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-01-01 Yunwen Lei , Urun Dogan , Ding-Xuan Zhou , Marius Kloft

The generalization error of a learning algorithm refers to the discrepancy between the loss of a learning algorithm on training data and that on unseen testing data. Various information-theoretic bounds on the generalization error have been…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-06-24 Xuetong Wu , Jonathan H. Manton , Uwe Aickelin , Jingge Zhu

In this work, we upper bound the generalization error of batch learning algorithms trained on samples drawn from a mixing stochastic process (i.e., a dependent data source) both in expectation and with high probability. Unlike previous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-20 Sagnik Chatterjee , Manuj Mukherjee , Alhad Sethi

Providing generalization guarantees for stochastic optimization algorithms remains a key challenge in learning theory. Recently, numerous works demonstrated the impact of the geometric properties of optimization trajectories on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-23 Mario Tuci , Lennart Bastian , Benjamin Dupuis , Nassir Navab , Tolga Birdal , Umut Şimşekli

Recent progress has been made in establishing normal approximation bounds in terms of the Wasserstein-$p$ distance for i.i.d. and locally dependent random variables. However, for $p > 1$, no such results have been demonstrated for dependent…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-25 Tianle Liu , Morgane Austern

We establish in-expectation and tail bounds on the generalization error of representation learning type algorithms. The bounds are in terms of the relative entropy between the distribution of the representations extracted from the training…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-21 Milad Sefidgaran , Abdellatif Zaidi , Piotr Krasnowski

Traditional meta-analysis assumes that the effect sizes estimated in individual studies follow a Gaussian distribution. However, this distributional assumption is not always satisfied in practice, leading to potentially biased results. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-23 Wei Liang , Haicheng Huang , Hongsheng Dai , Yinghui Wei

We analyze the generalization and robustness of the batched weighted average algorithm for V-geometrically ergodic Markov data. This algorithm is a good alternative to the empirical risk minimization algorithm when the latter suffers from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-08-13 Nguyen Viet Cuong , Lam Si Tung Ho , Vu Dinh

Researchers increasingly use meta-analysis to synthesize the results of several studies in order to estimate a common effect. When the outcome variable is continuous, standard meta-analytic approaches assume that the primary studies report…

This paper studies quantitative deviation bounds for statistical ensembles evolving under the one-parameter flow of a nearly integrable Hamiltonian system. Combining Nekhoroshev-type stability estimates with phase-mixing arguments, we…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-02-23 Xinyu Liu , Yong Li

We study the average case performance of multi-task Gaussian process (GP) regression as captured in the learning curve, i.e. the average Bayes error for a chosen task versus the total number of examples $n$ for all tasks. For GP covariances…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-11-05 Simon R. F. Ashton , Peter Sollich

Asymptotic equivalence theory developed in the literature so far are only for bounded loss functions. This limits the potential applications of the theory because many commonly used loss functions in statistical inference are unbounded. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-03 T. Tony Cai , Harrison H. Zhou

An additive noise channel is considered, in which the distribution of the noise is nonparametric and unknown. The problem of learning encoders and decoders based on noise samples is considered. For uncoded communication systems, the problem…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-11-17 Nir Weinberger