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Stability, Complexity and Data-Dependent Worst-Case Generalization Bounds

Machine Learning 2026-01-23 v2 Algebraic Topology Machine Learning

Abstract

Providing generalization guarantees for stochastic optimization algorithms remains a key challenge in learning theory. Recently, numerous works demonstrated the impact of the geometric properties of optimization trajectories on generalization performance. These works propose worst-case generalization bounds in terms of various notions of intrinsic dimension and/or topological complexity, which were found to empirically correlate with the generalization error. However, most of these approaches involve intractable mutual information terms, which limit a full understanding of the bounds. In contrast, some authors built on algorithmic stability to obtain worst-case bounds involving geometric quantities of a combinatorial nature, which are impractical to compute. In this paper, we address these limitations by combining empirically relevant complexity measures with a framework that avoids intractable quantities. To this end, we introduce the concept of \emph{random set stability}, tailored for the data-dependent random sets produced by stochastic optimization algorithms. Within this framework, we show that the worst-case generalization error can be bounded in terms of (i) the random set stability parameter and (ii) empirically relevant, data- and algorithm-dependent complexity measures of the random set. Moreover, our framework improves existing topological generalization bounds by recovering previous complexity notions without relying on mutual information terms. Through a series of experiments in practically relevant settings, we validate our theory by evaluating the tightness of our bounds and the interplay between topological complexity and stability.

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Cite

@article{arxiv.2507.06775,
  title  = {Stability, Complexity and Data-Dependent Worst-Case Generalization Bounds},
  author = {Mario Tuci and Lennart Bastian and Benjamin Dupuis and Nassir Navab and Tolga Birdal and Umut Şimşekli},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2507.06775},
  year   = {2026}
}

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29 pages