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Many economies are challenged by the effects of an ageing population, particularly in sectors where resource capacity planning is critical, such as healthcare. This research addresses the operational challenges of bed and staffing capacity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-25 Elizabeth Williams , Daniel Gartner , Paul Harper

Recently, transfer learning and self-supervised learning have gained significant attention within the medical field due to their ability to mitigate the challenges posed by limited data availability, improve model generalisation, and reduce…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-29 Zehui Zhao , Laith Alzubaidi , Jinglan Zhang , Ye Duan , Usman Naseem , Yuantong Gu

Benchmarks are necessary for healthcare evaluation, but are not sufficient for predicting deployment performance. Our position is that the evaluation--deployment gap arises not because of poorly designed benchmarks, but from implicit…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Naveen Raman , Santiago Cortes-Gomez , Mateo Dulce Rubio , Fei Fang , Bryan Wilder

Observational data in medicine arise as a result of the complex interaction between patients and the healthcare system. The sampling process is often highly irregular and itself constitutes an informative process. When using such data to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-27 Vincent Jeanselme , Glen Martin , Niels Peek , Matthew Sperrin , Brian Tom , Jessica Barrett

Despite achieving excellent performance on benchmarks, deep neural networks often underperform in real-world deployment due to sensitivity to minor, often imperceptible shifts in input data, known as distributional shifts. These shifts are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-25 Birk Torpmann-Hagen , Pål Halvorsen , Michael A. Riegler , Dag Johansen

In performative prediction, the deployment of a predictive model triggers a shift in the data distribution. As these shifts are typically unknown ahead of time, the learner needs to deploy a model to get feedback about the distribution it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-19 Meena Jagadeesan , Tijana Zrnic , Celestine Mendler-Dünner

In this work, we characterize the doctor-patient relationship using a machine learning-derived trust score. We show that this score has statistically significant racial associations, and that by modeling trust directly we find stronger…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-07-03 Willie Boag , Harini Suresh , Leo Anthony Celi , Peter Szolovits , Marzyeh Ghassemi

Recent years have seen increasing efforts to forecast infectious disease burdens, with a primary goal being to help public health workers make informed policy decisions. However, there has only been limited discussion of how predominant…

Applications · Statistics 2024-03-06 Aaron Gerding , Nicholas G. Reich , Benjamin Rogers , Evan L. Ray

Pharmaceutical companies continue to seek innovative ways to explore whether a drug under development is likely to be suitable for all or only an identifiable stratum of patients in the target population. The sooner this can be done during…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-10 Thomas O. Jemielita , Devan V. Mehrotra

Statistical models used to estimate the spatio-temporal pattern in disease risk from areal unit data represent the risk surface for each time period with known covariates and a set of spatially smooth random effects. The latter act as a…

Applications · Statistics 2016-04-19 Alastair Rushworth , Duncan Lee , Christophe Sarran

[Context] The use of defect prediction models, such as classifiers, can support testing resource allocations by using data of the previous releases of the same project for predicting which software components are likely to be defective. A…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2020-08-03 Davide Falessi , Jacky Huang , Likhita Narayana , Jennifer Fong Thai , Burak Turhan

Problem definition: Access to accurate predictions of patients' outcomes can enhance medical staff's decision-making, which ultimately benefits all stakeholders in the hospitals. A large hospital network in the US has been collaborating…

Covariate shift may impact the operational safety performance of neural networks. A re-evaluation of the safety performance, however, requires collecting new operational data and creating corresponding ground truth labels, which often is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-25 Chih-Hong Cheng , Harald Ruess , Konstantinos Theodorou

Online Surgical Phase Recognition (SPR) models can reach high frame-wise accuracy, yet their predictions often lack temporal stability, fragmenting workflow understanding and reducing the reliability of downstream assistance. We show that…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Yang Liu , Ning Zhu , Jingjing Peng , Xiwu Chen , Alejandro Granados , Guotai Wang , Sebastien Ourselin

Classification models play a central role in data-driven decision-making applications such as medical diagnosis, recommendation systems, and risk assessment. Traditional performance metrics, such as accuracy and AUC, focus on overall error…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Chen Yang , Zheng Cui , Daniel Zhuoyu Long , Jin Qi , Ruohan Zhan

Unrecognized patient deterioration can lead to high morbidity and mortality. Most existing deterioration prediction models require a large number of clinical information, typically collected in hospital settings, such as medical images or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-06 Sarmad Mehrdad , Farah E. Shamout , Yao Wang , S. Farokh Atashzar

Machine learning models are often evaluated using point estimates of performance metrics such as accuracy, F1 score, or mean squared error. Such summaries fail to capture the inherent variability induced by stochastic elements of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Christoph Lehmann , Yahor Paromau

In clinical studies, the illness-death model is often used to describe disease progression. A subject starts disease-free, may develop the disease and then die, or die directly. In clinical practice, disease can only be diagnosed at…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-02 Marta Spreafico , Anja J. Rueten-Budde , Hein Putter , Marta Fiocco

Frailty is a condition in aging medicine characterized by diminished physiological reserve and increased vulnerability to stressors. However, frailty assessment remains subjective, heterogeneous, and difficult to scale in clinical practice.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Laura McDaniel , Basudha Pal , Crystal Szczesny , Yuxiang Guo , Zhaoyang Wang , Ryan Roemmich , Peter Abadir , Rama Chellappa

COVID-19 patient triaging with predictive outcome of the patients upon first present to emergency department (ED) is crucial for improving patient prognosis, as well as better hospital resources management and cross-infection control. We…

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