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A Monte Carlo method for computing the action of a matrix exponential for a certain class of matrices on a vector is proposed. The method is based on generating random paths, which evolve through the indices of the matrix, governed by a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-06-19 Juan A. Acebron

We compute the exponent gamma for self-avoiding walks in three dimensions. We get gamma = 1.1575 +- 0.0006 in agreement with renormalization-group predictions. Earlier Monte Carlo and exact-enumeration determinations are now seen to be…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-30 Sergio Caracciolo , Maria Serena Causo , Andrea Pelissetto

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods have existed for a long time and the field is well-explored. The purpose of MCMC methods is to approximate a distribution through repeated sampling; most MCMC algorithms exhibit asymptotically optimal…

Computation · Statistics 2023-07-13 Fareed Sheriff

There is increasing interest to develop Bayesian inferential algorithms for point process models with intractable likelihoods. A purpose of this paper is to illustrate the utility of using simulation based strategies, including Approximate…

Computation · Statistics 2026-02-02 Chaoyi Lu , Nial Friel

In this article we develop a new sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) method for multilevel (ML) Monte Carlo estimation. In particular, the method can be used to estimate expectations with respect to a target probability distribution over an…

Computation · Statistics 2017-03-16 Alexandros Beskos , Ajay Jasra , Kody Law , Youssef Marzouk , Yan Zhou

This paper investigates methods for estimating the optimal stochastic control policy for a Markov Decision Process with unknown transition dynamics and an unknown reward function. This form of model-free reinforcement learning comprises…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-06 Brandon Trabucco , Albert Qu , Simon Li , Ganeshkumar Ashokavardhanan

We study an irreducible Markov chain on the category of finite abelian $p$-groups, whose stationary measure is the Cohen-Lenstra distribution. This Markov chain arises when one studies the cokernel of a random matrix $M$, after conditioning…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-14 Nikita Lvov

We propose a Monte Carlo algorithm to sample from high dimensional probability distributions that combines Markov chain Monte Carlo and importance sampling. We provide a careful theoretical analysis, including guarantees on robustness to…

Computation · Statistics 2019-09-18 Giacomo Zanella , Gareth Roberts

The Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method is the computational workhorse for Bayesian inverse problems. However, MCMC struggles in high-dimensional parameter spaces, since its iterates must sequentially explore the high-dimensional space.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-09-06 Paul G. Constantine , Carson Kent , Tan Bui-Thanh

We study self-avoiding walks on three-dimensional critical percolation clusters using a new exact enumeration method. It overcomes the exponential increase in computation time by exploiting the clusters' fractal nature. We enumerate walks…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-22 Niklas Fricke , Wolfhard Janke

This paper introduces nondeterministic walks, a new variant of one-dimensional discrete walks. At each step, a nondeterministic walk draws a random set of steps from a predefined set of sets and explores all possible extensions in parallel.…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2018-12-18 Elie De Panafieu , Mohamed Lamine Lamali , Michael Wallner

In this paper, we introduce a reversible version of a genetically modified mode jumping Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm (GMJMCMC) for inference on posterior model probabilities in complex model spaces, where the number of explanatory…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-18 Aliaksandr Hubin , Florian Frommlet , Geir Storvik

Monte Carlo methods use random sampling to estimate numerical quantities which are hard to compute deterministically. One important example is the use in statistical physics of rapidly mixing Markov chains to approximately compute partition…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2017-07-12 Ashley Montanaro

A finite ergodic Markov chain exhibits cutoff if its distance to equilibrium remains close to its initial value over a certain number of iterations and then abruptly drops to near 0 on a much shorter time scale. Originally discovered in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-23 Charles Bordenave , Pietro Caputo , Justin Salez

While one-dimensional Markov processes are well understood, going to higher dimensions there are only a few analytically solved Ising-like models, in practice requiring to use relatively costly, uncontrollable and inaccurate Monte-Carlo…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-04-20 Jarek Duda

In machine learning and statistics, probabilistic inference involving multimodal distributions is quite difficult. This is especially true in high dimensional problems, where most existing algorithms cannot easily move from one mode to…

Computation · Statistics 2015-06-22 Shiwei Lan , Jeffrey Streets , Babak Shahbaba

Markov chain Monte Carlo(MCMC) is a popular approach to sample from high dimensional distributions, and the asymptotic variance is a commonly used criterion to evaluate the performance. While most popular MCMC algorithms are reversible,…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-06 Chi-Hao Wu , Ting-Li Chen

The Monte Carlo within Metropolis (MCwM) algorithm, interpreted as a perturbed Metropolis-Hastings (MH) algorithm, provides an approach for approximate sampling when the target distribution is intractable. Assuming the unperturbed Markov…

Computation · Statistics 2019-07-31 Felipe Medina-Aguayo , Daniel Rudolf , Nikolaus Schweizer

We introduce and develop the concept of Maximal Entropy Random Walks (MERWs) on Weighted Bratteli Diagrams (WBDs), maximizing entropy production along paths as a natural criterion for choosing random walks on networks. Initially defined for…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2025-03-12 Yoann Offret , Sergey Dovgal

Typical geophysical inversion problems are ill-posed, non-linear and non-unique. Sometimes the problem is trans-dimensional, where the number of unknown parameters is one of the unknowns, which makes the inverse problem even more…

Geophysics · Physics 2010-02-25 Xiaolin Luo