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Recently, many streaming algorithms have utilized generalizations of the fact that the expected maximum distance of any $4$-wise independent random walk on a line over $n$ steps is $O(\sqrt{n})$. In this paper, we show that $4$-wise…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-04 Shyam Narayanan

We derive explicit upper bounds for the $\bar{d}$-distance between a chain of infinite order and its canonical $k$-steps Markov approximation. Our proof is entirely constructive and involves a "coupling from the past" argument. The new…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-16 Sandro Gallo , Matthieu Lerasle , Daniel Yasumasa Takahashi

This study introduces a computationally efficient algorithm, delayed acceptance Markov chain Monte Carlo (DA-MCMC), designed to improve posterior simulation in quasi-Bayesian inference. Quasi-Bayesian methods, which do not require fully…

Computation · Statistics 2026-02-16 Masahiro Tanaka

Continuous robot operation in extreme scenarios such as underground mines or sewers is difficult because exteroceptive sensors may fail due to fog, darkness, dirt or malfunction. So as to enable autonomous navigation in these kinds of…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-08-31 Russell Buchanan , Marco Camurri , Maurice Fallon

High-dimensional distributions, especially those with heavy tails, are notoriously difficult for off-the-shelf MCMC samplers: the combination of unbounded state spaces, diminishing gradient information, and local moves results in…

Computation · Statistics 2024-02-22 Jun Yang , Krzysztof Łatuszyński , Gareth O. Roberts

A common tool in the practice of Markov Chain Monte Carlo is to use approximating transition kernels to speed up computation when the desired kernel is slow to evaluate or intractable. A limited set of quantitative tools exist to assess the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Jeffrey Negrea , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

The Monte Carlo pathwise sensitivities approach is well established for smooth payoff functions. In this work, we present a new Monte Carlo algorithm that is able to calculate the pathwise sensitivities for discontinuous payoff functions.…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-03 Thomas Gerstner , Bastian Harrach , Daniel Roth

We propose a Markov chain Monte Carlo-based deconvolution method designed to estimate the number of peaks in spectral data, along with the optimal parameters of each radial basis function. Assuming cases where the number of peaks is…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-04 Koki Okajima , Kenji Nagata , Masato Okada

Equilibrium systems evolve according to Detailed Balance (DB). This principe guided development of the Monte-Carlo sampling techniques, of which Metropolis-Hastings (MH) algorithm is the famous representative. It is also known that DB is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-07-15 Konstantin S. Turitsyn , Michael Chertkov , Marija Vucelja

We present a specific algorithm that generally satisfies the balance condition without imposing the detailed balance in the Markov chain Monte Carlo. In our algorithm, the average rejection rate is minimized, and even reduced to zero in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-10-14 Hidemaro Suwa , Synge Todo

We give conditions under which near-critical stochastic processes on the half-line have infinitely many or finitely many cutpoints, generalizing existing results on nearest-neighbour random walks to adapted processes with bounded increments…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-21 Chak Hei Lo , Mikhail V. Menshikov , Andrew R. Wade

This paper introduces nondeterministic walks, a new variant of one-dimensional discrete walks. The main difference to classical walks is that its nondeterministic steps consist of sets of steps from a predefined set such that all possible…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2026-05-13 Élie de Panafieu , Michael Wallner

Metropolis Monte Carlo simulation is a powerful tool for studying the equilibrium properties of matter. In complex condensed-phase systems, however, it is difficult to design Monte Carlo moves with high acceptance probabilities that also…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-05-27 Jerome P. Nilmeier , Gavin E. Crooks , David D. L. Minh , John D. Chodera

This book aims to provide a graduate-level introduction to advanced topics in Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms, as applied broadly in the Bayesian computational context. Most, if not all of these topics (stochastic gradient MCMC,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-18 Paul Fearnhead , Christopher Nemeth , Chris J. Oates , Chris Sherlock

We establish a new Bernstein-type deviation inequality for general (non-reversible) discrete-time Markov chains via an elementary approach. More robust than existing works in the literature, our result only requires the Markov chain to…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-07 De Huang , Xiangyuan Li

Lifted samplers form a class of Markov chain Monte Carlo methods which has drawn a lot attention in recent years due to superior performance in challenging Bayesian applications. A canonical example of lifted samplers is the one that is…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-01 Philippe Gagnon , Florian Maire

Consider a one dimensional simple random walk $X=(X_n)_{n\geq0}$. We form a new simple symmetric random walk $Y=(Y_n)_{n\geq0}$ by taking sums of products of the increments of $X$ and study the two-dimensional walk…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-18 Andrea Collevecchio , Kais Hamza , Meng Shi

We introduce a `virtual-move' Monte Carlo (VMMC) algorithm for systems of pairwise-interacting particles. This algorithm facilitates the simulation of particles possessing attractions of short range and arbitrary strength and geometry, an…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Stephen Whitelam , Phillip L. Geissler

Markov chain Monte Carlo is a class of algorithms for drawing Markovian samples from high-dimensional target densities to approximate the numerical integration associated with computing statistical expectation, especially in Bayesian…

Computation · Statistics 2018-03-28 Khoa T. Tran

This paper proposes a new sampling scheme based on Langevin dynamics that is applicable within pseudo-marginal and particle Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms. We investigate this algorithm's theoretical properties under standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-30 Christopher Nemeth , Chris Sherlock , Paul Fearnhead
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