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This paper presents a machine learning framework (GP-NODE) for Bayesian systems identification from partial, noisy and irregular observations of nonlinear dynamical systems. The proposed method takes advantage of recent developments in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-08 Mohamed Aziz Bhouri , Paris Perdikaris

We consider the problem of estimation and structure learning of high dimensional signals via a normal sequence model, where the underlying parameter vector is piecewise constant, or has a block structure. We develop a Bayesian fusion…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-31 Sayantan Banerjee

We address the issue of estimating the topology and dynamics of sparse linear dynamic networks in a hyperparameter-free setting. We propose a method to estimate the network dynamics in a computationally efficient and parameter tuning-free…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-27 Arun Venkitaraman , Håkan Hjalmarsson , Bo Wahlberg

High dimensional piecewise stationary graphical models represent a versatile class for modelling time varying networks arising in diverse application areas, including biology, economics, and social sciences. There has been recent work in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-21 Hossein Keshavarz , George Michailidis , Yves Atchade

Many real-world systems are characterized by stochastic dynamical rules where a complex network of interactions among individual elements probabilistically determines their state. Even with full knowledge of the network structure and of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-05-15 Filippo Radicchi , Claudio Castellano

Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) have recently received increasing attention for their ability to provide well-calibrated posterior uncertainties. However, model selection---even choosing the number of nodes---remains an open question. In…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-05-31 Soumya Ghosh , Finale Doshi-Velez

Dynamic network reconstruction has been shown to be challenging due to the requirements on sparse network structures and network identifiability. The direct parametric method (e.g., using ARX models) requires a large amount of parameters in…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-11-22 Zuogong Yue , Johan Thunberg , Lennart Ljung , Jorge Goncalves

Identifying network dynamics is a critical yet challenging task to to understand the mechanism of real-world social systems. There are two types of algorithms, and one requires the knowledge of self-dynamics function, interactive function,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Mingyu Kang , Jianxi Gao , Wenwu Yu , Linyuan Lv

Precision matrices are crucial in many fields such as social networks, neuroscience, and economics, representing the edge structure of Gaussian graphical models (GGMs), where a zero in an off-diagonal position of the precision matrix…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-24 The Tien Mai

We face network data from various sources, such as protein interactions and online social networks. A critical problem is to model network interactions and identify latent groups of network nodes. This problem is challenging due to many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-02-20 Feng Yan , Zenglin Xu , Yuan , Qi

In this paper we consider sparse and identifiable linear latent variable (factor) and linear Bayesian network models for parsimonious analysis of multivariate data. We propose a computationally efficient method for joint parameter and model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-06-24 Ricardo Henao , Ole Winther

This paper is concerned with the estimation of time-varying networks for high-dimensional nonstationary time series. Two types of dynamic behaviors are considered: structural breaks (i.e., abrupt change points) and smooth changes. To…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-19 Mengyu Xu , Xiaohui Chen , Wei Biao Wu

A new Bayesian approach to linear system identification has been proposed in a series of recent papers. The main idea is to frame linear system identification as predictor estimation in an infinite dimensional space, with the aid of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-03 Diego Romeres , Gianluigi Pillonetto , Alessandro Chiuso

This paper introduces a novel direct approach to system identification of dynamic networks with missing data based on maximum likelihood estimation. Dynamic networks generally present a singular probability density function, which poses a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-31 João Victor Galvão da Mata , Anders Hansson , Martin S. Andersen

Modeling and identification of high-dimensional stochastic processes is ubiquitous in many fields. In particular, there is a growing interest in modeling stochastic processes with simple and interpretable structures. In many applications,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-10-11 Mattia Zorzi , Alessandro Chiuso

The identification of local modules in dynamic networks with known topology has recently been addressed by formulating conditions for arriving at consistent estimates of the module dynamics, under the assumption of having disturbances that…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-11-03 Karthik R. Ramaswamy , Paul M. J. Van den Hof

In recent years, Bayesian statistics methods in neuroscience have been showing important advances. In particular, detection of brain signals for studying the complexity of the brain is an active area of research. Functional magnetic…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-06 Jairo Alberto Fuquene Patiño , Brenda Betancourt , João B. M. Pereira

Graphs have been commonly used to represent complex data structures. In models dealing with graph-structured data, multivariate parameters may not only exhibit sparse patterns but have structured sparsity and smoothness in the sense that…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-28 Changwoo J. Lee , Zhao Tang Luo , Huiyan Sang

One major challenge in neuroscience is the identification of interrelations between signals reflecting neural activity and how information processing occurs in the neural circuits. At the cellular and molecular level, mechanisms of signal…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-27 Giacomo Aletti , Davide Lonardoni , Giovanni Naldi , Thierry Nieus

This paper studies the sparse identification problem of unknown sparse parameter vectors in stochastic dynamic systems. Firstly, a novel sparse identification algorithm is proposed, which can generate sparse estimates based on least squares…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-02 Ziming Wang , Xinghua Zhu