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We investigate the quantification of demographic risk in a framework consistent with the market-consistent valuation imposed by Solvency II. We provide compact formulas for evaluating inflows and outflows of a portfolio of insurance…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-07 Francesco Della Corte , Gian Paolo Clemente , Nino Savelli

In the paper we develop mathematical tools of quantile hedging in incomplete market. Those could be used for two significant applications: o calculating the \textbf{optimal capital requirement imposed by Solvency II} (Directive 2009/138/EC…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-27 Przemysław Klusik

We explore a stochastic model that enables capturing external influences in two specific ways. The model allows for the expression of uncertainty in the parametrisation of the stochastic dynamics and incorporates patterns to account for…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-11 Felix L. Wolf , Griselda Deelstra , Lech A. Grzelak

We propose a stochastic model allowing property and casualty insurers with multiple business lines to measure their liabilities for incurred claims risk and calculate associated capital requirements. Our model includes many desirable…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-07 Carlos Andrés Araiza Iturria , Frédéric Godin , Mélina Mailhot

In this article we consider the parameter risk in the context of internal modelling of the reserve risk under Solvency II. We discuss two opposed perspectives on parameter uncertainty and point out that standard methods of classical…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-07 Andreas Fröhlich , Annegret Weng

The EU Solvency II directive recommends insurance companies to pay more attention to the risk management methods. The sense of risk management is the ability to quantify risk and apply methods that reduce uncertainty. In life insurance, the…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-04-02 Kamil Jodź

We introduce a stochastic price model where, together with a random component, a moving average of logarithmic prices contributes to the price formation. Our model is tested against financial datasets, showing an extremely good agreement…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2008-12-02 R. Baviera , M. Pasquini , J. Raboanary , M. Serva

This paper investigates market-consistent valuation of insurance liabilities in the context of, for instance, Solvency II and to some extent IFRS 4. We propose an explicit and consistent framework for the valuation of insurance liabilities…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2011-01-04 Christoph Moehr

In this paper, we discuss the impact of some mortality data anomalies on an internal model capturing longevity risk in the Solvency 2 framework. In particular, we are concerned with abnormal cohort effects such as those for generations 1919…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-02 Fabrice Balland , Alexandre Boumezoued , Laurent Devineau , Marine Habart , Tom Popa

This article presents a stochastic framework to quantify the biometric risk of an insurance portfolio in solvency regimes such as Solvency II or the Swiss Solvency Test (SST). The main difficulty in this context constitutes in the proper…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-10 Claus Baumgart , Johannes Krebs , Robert Lempertseder , Oliver Pfaffel

This research presents an analysis of the demographic risk related to future membership patterns in pension funds with restricted entrance, financed under a pay-as-you-go scheme. The paper, therefore, proposes a stochastic model for…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-06-28 Alessandro Fiori Maccioni

This paper presents an approach to incorporate mortality shocks into mortality projections produced by a stochastic multi-population mortality model. The proposed model combines a decreasing stochastic mortality trend with a…

Applications · Statistics 2023-12-25 Jens Robben , Katrien Antonio

Within the Solvency II framework the insurance industry requires a realistic modelling of the risk processes relevant for its business. Every insurance company should be capable of running a holistic risk management process to meet this…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-09-23 Magda Schiegl

Using an extended version of the credit risk model CreditRisk+, we develop a flexible framework with numerous applications amongst which we find stochastic mortality modelling, forecasting of death causes as well as profit and loss…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-28 Jonas Hirz , Uwe Schmock , Pavel V. Shevchenko

This paper sets out a framework for the valuation of insurance liabilities that is intended to be economically realistic, elementary, reasonably practically applicable, and as a special case to provide a basis for the valuation in…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-03 Christoph Moehr

The implementation of the Own Risk and Solvency Assessment is a critical issue raised by Pillar II of Solvency II framework. In particular the Overall Solvency Needs calculation left the Insurance companies to define an optimal…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-10-24 Julien Vedani , Laurent Devineau

Recreational fishing is a highly socio-ecological process. Although recreational fisheries are self-regulating and resilient, changing anthropogenic pressure drives these fisheries to overharvest and collapse. Here, we evaluate the effect…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-17 Sukanta Sarkar , Arzoo Narang , Sudipta Kumar Sinha , Partha Sharathi Dutta

Within the Own Risk and Solvency Assessment framework, the Solvency II directive introduces the need for insurance undertakings to have efficient tools enabling the companies to assess the continuous compliance with regulatory solvency…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-12-24 Julien Vedani , Fabien Ramaharobandro

Within the context of traditional life insurance, a model-independent relationship about how the market value of assets is attributed to the best estimate, the value of in-force business and tax is established. This relationship holds true…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-14 Simon Hochgerner , Florian Gach

We develop a formalism for insurance profit optimisation for the in-force business constraint by regulatory and risk policy related requirements. This approach is applicable to Life, P&C and Reinsurance businesses and applies in all…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-19 Jan Maelger
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