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Related papers: Topological Attention for Time Series Forecasting

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In this paper, we apply conformal prediction to time series data. Conformal prediction isa method that produces predictive regions given a confidence level. The regions outputs arealways valid under the exchangeability assumption. However,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-26 Samya Tajmouati , Bouazza El Wahbi , Mohammed Dakkoun

Conformal prediction has been explored as a general and efficient way to provide uncertainty quantification for time series. However, current methods struggle to handle time series data with change points - sudden shifts in the underlying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Sophia Sun , Rose Yu

Persistent homology is used to track the appearance and disappearance of features as we move through a nested sequence of topological spaces. Equating the nested sequence to a filtration and the appearance and disappearance of features to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-17 Kathryn Garside , Aida Gjoka , Robin Henderson , Hollie Johnson , Irina Makarenko

Due to the global trend towards urbanization, people increasingly move to and live in cities that then continue to grow. Traffic forecasting plays an important role in the intelligent transportation systems of cities as well as in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-02 Duc Kieu , Tung Kieu , Peng Han , Bin Yang , Christian S. Jensen , Bac Le

Can meta-learning discover generic ways of processing time series (TS) from a diverse dataset so as to greatly improve generalization on new TS coming from different datasets? This work provides positive evidence to this using a broad…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-16 Boris N. Oreshkin , Dmitri Carpov , Nicolas Chapados , Yoshua Bengio

Recent lightweight MLP-based models have achieved strong performance in time series forecasting by capturing stable trends and seasonal patterns. However, their effectiveness hinges on an implicit assumption of local stationarity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-29 Zhiyu Chen , Minhao Liu , Yanru Zhang

Time series forecasting, which aims to predict future values based on historical data, has garnered significant attention due to its broad range of applications. However, real-world time series often exhibit complex non-uniform distribution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-02 Yanru Sun , Zongxia Xie , Emadeldeen Eldele , Dongyue Chen , Qinghua Hu , Min Wu

This paper aims to discuss a method of quantifying the 'shape' of data, via a methodology called topological data analysis. The main tool within topological data analysis is persistent homology; this is a means of measuring the shape of…

Algebraic Topology · Mathematics 2022-09-14 Tristan Gowdridge , Nikolaos Devilis , Keith Worden

There has been a lot of interest in developing algorithms to extract clusters or communities from networks. This work proposes a method, based on blockmodelling, for leveraging communities and other topological features for use in a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2011-10-20 Leto Peel

Top-down attention allows neural networks, both artificial and biological, to focus on the information most relevant for a given task. This is known to enhance performance in visual perception. But it remains unclear how attention brings…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-06-23 Freddie Bickford Smith , Brett D Roads , Xiaoliang Luo , Bradley C Love

Dense prediction tasks such as depth perception and semantic segmentation are important applications in computer vision that have a concrete topological description in terms of partitioning an image into connected components or estimating a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-10-26 Deqing Fu , Bradley J. Nelson

Spatiotemporal graph neural networks have shown to be effective in time series forecasting applications, achieving better performance than standard univariate predictors in several settings. These architectures take advantage of a graph…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-13 Andrea Cini , Ivan Marisca , Daniele Zambon , Cesare Alippi

Complex systems are difficult to study not only because they are nonlinear, multiscale, and often nonstationary, but because their scientifically relevant organization is often invisible at the level of individual components, pairwise…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-03-30 Mark M. Bailey

Many real-world complex systems including human interactions can be represented by temporal (or evolving) networks, where links activate or deactivate over time. Characterizing temporal networks is crucial to compare such systems and to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-08-30 Alberto Ceria , Shlomo Havlin , Alan Hanjalic , Huijuan Wang

Given a sequence of sets, where each set contains an arbitrary number of elements, the problem of temporal sets prediction aims to predict the elements in the subsequent set. In practice, temporal sets prediction is much more complex than…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-09 Le Yu , Leilei Sun , Bowen Du , Chuanren Liu , Hui Xiong , Weifeng Lv

Detecting small targets at range is difficult because there is not enough spatial information present in an image sub-region containing the target to use correlation-based methods to differentiate it from dynamic confusers present in the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-02-15 Tegan Emerson , Sarah Tymochko , George Stantchev , Jason A. Edelberg , Michael Wilson , Colin C. Olson

Explaining predictions based on multivariate time series data carries the additional difficulty of handling not only multiple features, but also time dependencies. It matters not only what happened, but also when, and the same feature could…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-31 Joseph Enguehard

We extend the notion of the distance to a measure from Euclidean space to probability measures on general metric spaces as a way to do topological data analysis in a way that is robust to noise and outliers. We then give an efficient way to…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2014-10-09 Mickael Buchet , Frederic Chazal , Steve Y. Oudot , Donald R. Sheehy

In the transformative landscape of smart cities, the integration of the cutting-edge web technologies into time series forecasting presents a pivotal opportunity to enhance urban planning, sustainability, and economic growth. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-10 Ziyi Zhang , Shaogang Ren , Xiaoning Qian , Nick Duffield

One of the paramount challenges in neuroscience is to understand the dynamics of individual neurons and how they give rise to network dynamics when interconnected. Historically, researchers have resorted to graph theory, statistics, and…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2019-02-08 Jean-Baptiste Bardin , Gard Spreemann , Kathryn Hess