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Related papers: Topological Attention for Time Series Forecasting

200 papers

Since its introduction, the transformer has shifted the development trajectory away from traditional models (e.g., RNN, MLP) in time series forecasting, which is attributed to its ability to capture global dependencies within temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-07 Xiwen Chen , Peijie Qiu , Wenhui Zhu , Huayu Li , Hao Wang , Aristeidis Sotiras , Yalin Wang , Abolfazl Razi

Identifying the topology underlying a set of time series is useful for tasks such as prediction, denoising, and data completion. Vector autoregressive (VAR) model-based topologies capture dependencies among time series and are often…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-30 Bakht Zaman , Luis Miguel Lopez Ramos , Baltasar Beferull-Lozano

Capturing the dynamics of active particles, i.e., small self-propelled agents that both deform and are deformed by a fluid in which they move is a formidable problem as it requires coupling fine scale hydrodynamics with large scale…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2025-09-09 Sadra Saremi , Amirhossein Ahmadkhan Kordbacheh

We address the problem of predicting spatio-temporal processes with temporal patterns that vary across spatial regions, when data is obtained as a stream. That is, when the training dataset is augmented sequentially. Specifically, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-25 Muhammad Osama , Dave Zachariah , Thomas B. Schön

Long lived topological features are distinguished from short lived ones (considered as topological noise) in simplicial complexes constructed from complex networks. A new topological invariant, persistent homology, is determined and…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2009-11-13 Danijela Horak , Slobodan Maletic , Milan Rajkovic

Time-delay embedding is a fundamental technique in Topological Data Analysis (TDA) for reconstructing the phase space dynamics of time-series data. Persistent homology effectively identifies global topological features, such as loops…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Donghyun Park , Junhyun An , Taehyoung Kim , Jisu Kim

Financial time-series forecasting has long been a challenging problem because of the inherently noisy and stochastic nature of the market. In the High-Frequency Trading (HFT), forecasting for trading purposes is even a more challenging task…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2019-06-11 Dat Thanh Tran , Alexandros Iosifidis , Juho Kanniainen , Moncef Gabbouj

In-context learning with attention enables large neural networks to make context-specific predictions by selectively focusing on relevant examples. Here, we adapt this idea to supervised learning procedures such as lasso regression and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-11 Erin Craig , Robert Tibshirani

We present a novel framework for modeling traffic congestion events over road networks. Using multi-modal data by combining count data from traffic sensors with police reports that report traffic incidents, we aim to capture two types of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-02 Shixiang Zhu , Ruyi Ding , Minghe Zhang , Pascal Van Hentenryck , Yao Xie

Predicting cycling duration for a given route is essential for training planning and event preparation. Existing solutions rely on physics-based models that require extensive parameterization, including aerodynamic drag coefficients and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-08 Francisco Aguilera Moreno

We present a topological pipeline for automated multiclass emotion recognition from eye-tracking data. Delay embeddings of gaze trajectories are analyzed using persistent homology. From the resulting persistence diagrams, we extract…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-24 Arsha Niksa , Hooman Zare , Ali Shahrabi , Hanieh Hatami , Mohammadreza Razvan

We develop in this paper a theoretical framework for the topological study of time series data. Broadly speaking, we describe geometrical and topological properties of sliding window (or time-delay) embeddings, as seen through the lens of…

Algebraic Topology · Mathematics 2013-11-26 Jose Perea , John Harer

Features in machine learning problems are often time-varying and may be related to outputs in an algebraic or dynamical manner. The dynamic nature of these machine learning problems renders current higher order accelerated gradient descent…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-05-29 Joseph E. Gaudio , Travis E. Gibson , Anuradha M. Annaswamy , Michael A. Bolender

Persistent homology is a powerful mathematical tool that summarizes useful information about the shape of data allowing one to detect persistent topological features while one adjusts the resolution. However, the computation of such…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-03-01 Bernardo Ameneyro , Vasileios Maroulas , George Siopsis

We use topological data analysis to study "functional networks" that we construct from time-series data from both experimental and synthetic sources. We use persistent homology with a weight rank clique filtration to gain insights into…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2017-05-24 Bernadette J. Stolz , Heather A. Harrington , Mason A. Porter

Multivariate time series forecasting is extensively studied throughout the years with ubiquitous applications in areas such as finance, traffic, environment, etc. Still, concerns have been raised on traditional methods for incapable of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-10 Yen-Yu Chang , Fan-Yun Sun , Yueh-Hua Wu , Shou-De Lin

Stream networks, a unique class of spatiotemporal graphs, exhibit complex directional flow constraints and evolving dependencies, making uncertainty quantification a critical yet challenging task. Traditional conformal prediction methods…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-11 Jifan Zhang , Fangxin Wang , Zihe Song , Philip S. Yu , Kaize Ding , Shixiang Zhu

High-quality training data is the foundation of machine learning and artificial intelligence, shaping how models learn and perform. Although much is known about what types of data are effective for training, the impact of the data's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Yang Ba , Mohammad Sadeq Abolhasani , Rong Pan

Time-series forecasting plays an important role in many domains. Boosted by the advances in Deep Learning algorithms, it has for instance been used to predict wind power for eolic energy production, stock market fluctuations, or motor…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-23 Luis P. Silvestrin , Leonardos Pantiskas , Mark Hoogendoorn

In numerous fields, dynamic time series data require continuous updates, necessitating efficient data processing techniques for accurate analysis. This paper examines the banana tree data structure, specifically designed to efficiently…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2025-03-20 Lara Ost , Sebastiano Cultrera di Montesano , Herbert Edelsbrunner