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For stochastic models with intractable likelihood functions, approximate Bayesian computation offers a way of approximating the true posterior through repeated comparisons of observations with simulated model outputs in terms of a small set…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-24 Carlo Albert , Simone Ulzega , Firat Ozdemir , Fernando Perez-Cruz , Antonietta Mira

We advocate for a new paradigm of cosmological likelihood-based inference, leveraging recent developments in machine learning and its underlying technology, to accelerate Bayesian inference in high-dimensional settings. Specifically, we…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2024-09-06 Davide Piras , Alicja Polanska , Alessio Spurio Mancini , Matthew A. Price , Jason D. McEwen

We introduce a variational Bayesian neural network where the parameters are governed via a probability distribution on random matrices. Specifically, we employ a matrix variate Gaussian \cite{gupta1999matrix} parameter posterior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-24 Christos Louizos , Max Welling

We develop a novel statistical strong lensing approach to probe the cosmological parameters by exploiting multiple redshift image systems behind galaxies or galaxy clusters. The method relies on free-form mass inversion of strong lenses and…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-17 M. Lubini , M. Sereno , J. Coles , Ph. Jetzer , P. Saha

One of the main unsolved problems of cosmology is how to maximize the extraction of information from nonlinear data. If the data are nonlinear the usual approach is to employ a sequence of statistics (N-point statistics, counting statistics…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2018-03-07 Uros Seljak , Grigor Aslanyan , Yu Feng , Chirag Modi

Gaussian processes are a powerful framework for quantifying uncertainty and for sequential decision-making but are limited by the requirement of solving linear systems. In general, this has a cubic cost in dataset size and is sensitive to…

In many cosmological inference problems, the likelihood (the probability of the observed data as a function of the unknown parameters) is unknown or intractable. This necessitates approximations and assumptions, which can lead to incorrect…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2020-12-02 Niall Jeffrey , Justin Alsing , François Lanusse

A grand challenge of the 21st century cosmology is to accurately estimate the cosmological parameters of our Universe. A major approach to estimating the cosmological parameters is to use the large-scale matter distribution of the Universe.…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2017-11-07 Siamak Ravanbakhsh , Junier Oliva , Sebastien Fromenteau , Layne C. Price , Shirley Ho , Jeff Schneider , Barnabas Poczos

Weak lensing mass-mapping is a useful tool to access the full distribution of dark matter on the sky, but because of intrinsic galaxy ellipticies and finite fields/missing data, the recovery of dark matter maps constitutes a challenging…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2023-04-05 Benjamin Remy , Francois Lanusse , Niall Jeffrey , Jia Liu , Jean-Luc Starck , Ken Osato , Tim Schrabback

Approximate Bayesian Computation is widely used in systems biology for inferring parameters in stochastic gene regulatory network models. Its performance hinges critically on the ability to summarize high-dimensional system responses such…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-13 Mattias Åkesson , Prashant Singh , Fredrik Wrede , Andreas Hellander

Approximate Bayesian Computation is a family of likelihood-free inference techniques that are well-suited to models defined in terms of a stochastic generating mechanism. In a nutshell, Approximate Bayesian Computation proceeds by computing…

Computation · Statistics 2010-07-28 Michael Blum

Dark matter cannot be observed directly, but its weak gravitational lensing slightly distorts the apparent shapes of background galaxies, making weak lensing one of the most promising probes of cosmology. Several observational studies have…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2018-12-18 Dezső Ribli , Bálint Ármin Pataki , István Csabai

In many instances, the application of approximate Bayesian methods is hampered by two practical features: 1) the requirement to project the data down to low-dimensional summary, including the choice of this projection, which ultimately…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-26 David T. Frazier

The study of the Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB) lensing potential has established itself by now as a robust way of probing the physics of large-scale structure growth. The most common estimators of the lensing potential are derived under…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2018-09-05 Dominic Beck , Giulio Fabbian , Josquin Errard

Gaussian processes provide a method for extracting cosmological information from observations without assuming a cosmological model. We carry out cosmography -- mapping the time evolution of the cosmic expansion -- in a model-independent…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2012-07-11 Arman Shafieloo , Alex G. Kim , Eric V. Linder

Estimation of parameters that obey specific constraints is crucial in statistics and machine learning; for example, when parameters are required to satisfy boundedness, monotonicity, or linear inequalities. Traditional approaches impose…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-03 Lachlan Astfalck , Deborshee Sen , Sayan Patra , Edward Cripps , David Dunson

This article revisits the problem of Bayesian shape-restricted inference in the light of a recently developed approximate Gaussian process that admits an equivalent formulation of the shape constraints in terms of the basis coefficients. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-14 Pallavi Ray , Debdeep Pati , Anirban Bhattacharya

This paper provides a review of Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) methods for carrying out Bayesian posterior inference, through the lens of density estimation. We describe several recent algorithms and make connection with traditional…

Computation · Statistics 2019-09-09 Clara Grazian , Yanan Fan

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is a simulation-based likelihood-free method applicable to both model selection and parameter estimation. ABC parameter estimation requires the ability to forward simulate datasets from a candidate…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-10 Louis Raynal , Sixing Chen , Antonietta Mira , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

Reconstructing astrophysical and cosmological fields from observations is challenging. It requires accounting for non-linear transformations, mixing of spatial structure, and noise. In contrast, forward simulators that map fields to…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2023-11-01 Florian List , Noemi Anau Montel , Christoph Weniger