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Third-order weak lensing statistics are a promising tool for cosmological analyses since they extract cosmological information in the non-Gaussianity of the cosmic large-scale structure. However, such analyses require precise and accurate…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2023-04-26 Laila Linke , Sven Heydenreich , Pierre A. Burger , Peter Schneider

The main challenges that arise when adopting Gaussian Process priors in probabilistic modeling are how to carry out exact Bayesian inference and how to account for uncertainty on model parameters when making model-based predictions on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-04-08 Maurizio Filippone , Mark Girolami

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) or likelihood-free inference algorithms are used to find approximations to posterior distributions without making explicit use of the likelihood function, depending instead on simulation of sample data…

Computation · Statistics 2015-09-08 Richard D. Wilkinson

This article addresses the issue of estimating observation parameters (response and error parameters) in inverse problems. The focus is on cases where regularization is introduced in a Bayesian framework and the prior is modeled by a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-13 Jean-François Giovannelli

Analyzes of next-generation galaxy data require accurate treatment of systematic effects such as the bias between observed galaxies and the underlying matter density field. However, proposed models of the phenomenon are either numerically…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2021-04-28 Guilhem Lavaux , Jens Jasche

In Bayesian inverse problems, it is common to consider several hyperparameters that define the prior and the noise model that must be estimated from the data. In particular, we are interested in linear inverse problems with additive…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-12-05 Julianne Chung , Scot M. Miller , Malena Sabate Landman , Arvind K. Saibaba

Complex simulator-based models are now routinely used to perform inference across the sciences and engineering, but existing inference methods are often unable to account for outliers and other extreme values in data which occur due to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-18 Ayush Bharti , Charita Dellaporta , Yuga Hikida , François-Xavier Briol

Handling big data has largely been a major bottleneck in traditional statistical models. Consequently, when accurate point prediction is the primary target, machine learning models are often preferred over their statistical counterparts for…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-02 Arindam Fadikar , Stefan M. Wild , Jonas Chaves-Montero

Parameter inference is a fundamental problem in data-driven modeling. Given observed data that is believed to be a realization of some parameterized model, the aim is to find parameter values that are able to explain the observed data. In…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2016-04-20 Carlo Albert , Simone Ulzega , Ruedi Stoop

In image reconstruction, an accurate quantification of uncertainty is of great importance for informed decision making. Here, the Bayesian approach to inverse problems can be used: the image is represented through a random function that…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-04-24 Jonas Latz , Aretha L. Teckentrup , Simon Urbainczyk

The Lyman-alpha forest provides strong constraints on both cosmological parameters and intergalactic medium astrophysics, which are forecast to improve further with the next generation of surveys including eBOSS and DESI. As is generic in…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2019-02-19 Keir K. Rogers , Hiranya V. Peiris , Andrew Pontzen , Simeon Bird , Licia Verde , Andreu Font-Ribera

Parameter estimation is one of the most important tasks in statistics, and is key to helping people understand the distribution behind a sample of observations. Traditionally parameter estimation is done either by closed-form solutions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-04 Xiaoxin Yin , David S. Yin

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is a set of techniques for Bayesian inference when the likelihood is intractable but sampling from the model is possible. This work presents a simple yet effective ABC algorithm based on the…

Computation · Statistics 2019-03-01 Yanzhi Chen , Michael U. Gutmann

Approximate Bayes Computations (ABC) are used for parameter inference when the likelihood function of the model is expensive to evaluate but relatively cheap to sample from. In particle ABC, an ensemble of particles in the product space of…

Computation · Statistics 2016-04-15 Carlo Albert , Hans R. Kuensch , Andreas Scheidegger

We assess the performance of a perturbation theory inspired method for inferring cosmological parameters from the joint measurements of galaxy-galaxy weak lensing ($\Delta\Sigma$) and the projected galaxy clustering ($w_{\rm p}$). To do…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2020-10-21 Sunao Sugiyama , Masahiro Takada , Yosuke Kobayashi , Hironao Miyatake , Masato Shirasaki , Takahiro Nishimichi , Youngsoo Park

Bayesian inference with stochastic models is often difficult because their likelihood functions involve high-dimensional integrals. Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) avoids evaluating the likelihood function and instead infers model…

The primary science driver for 3D galaxy surveys is their potential to constrain cosmological parameters. Forecasts of these surveys' effectiveness typically assume Gaussian statistics for the underlying matter density, despite the fact…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-10-27 Andrew Repp , István Szapudi , Julien Carron , Melody Wolk

Current ground-based cosmological surveys, such as the Dark Energy Survey (DES), are predicted to discover thousands of galaxy-scale strong lenses, while future surveys, such as the Vera Rubin Observatory Legacy Survey of Space and Time…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2022-11-14 Jason Poh , Ashwin Samudre , Aleksandra Ćiprijanović , Brian Nord , Gourav Khullar , Dimitrios Tanoglidis , Joshua A. Frieman

Deep surveys of the CMB polarization have more information on the lensing signal than the quadratic estimators (QE) can capture. We showed in a recent work that a CMB lensing power spectrum built from a single optimized CMB lensing mass…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2023-11-15 Louis Legrand , Julien Carron

The machine learning community has recently put effort into quantized or low-precision arithmetics to scale large models. This paper proposes performing probabilistic inference in the quantized, discrete parameter space created by these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-20 Aleksanteri Sladek , Martin Trapp , Arno Solin
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