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Recently, new methods for model assessment, based on subsampling and posterior approximations, have been proposed for scaling leave-one-out cross-validation (LOO) to large datasets. Although these methods work well for estimating predictive…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-12 Måns Magnusson , Michael Riis Andersen , Johan Jonasson , Aki Vehtari

Cross-validation (CV) is a common method to tune machine learning methods and can be used for model selection in regression as well. Because of the structured nature of small, traditional experimental designs, the literature has warned…

Applications · Statistics 2025-06-18 Maria L. Weese , Byran J. Smucker , David J. Edwards

Leave-one-out cross-validation (LOO-CV) is a popular method for estimating out-of-sample predictive accuracy. However, computing LOO-CV criteria can be computationally expensive due to the need to fit the model multiple times. In the…

Computation · Statistics 2023-09-28 Luca Silva , Giacomo Zanella

Accurate diagnostic tests are essential for effective screening and treatment. However, individual biomarkers often fail to provide sufficient diagnostic accuracy, as they typically capture only one aspect of the complex disease process.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-08 Ainesh Sewak , Sandra Siegfried , Torsten Hothorn

With machine learning being a popular topic in current computational materials science literature, creating representations for compounds has become common place. These representations are rarely compared, as evaluating their performance -…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-26 Samantha Durdy , Michael Gaultois , Vladimir Gusev , Danushka Bollegala , Matthew J. Rosseinsky

It is useful to estimate the expected predictive performance of models planned to be used for prediction. We focus on leave-one-out cross-validation (LOO-CV), which has become a popular method for estimating predictive performance of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-29 Tuomas Sivula , Måns Magnusson , Asael Alonzo Matamoros , Aki Vehtari

Tumor heterogeneity is a challenge to designing effective and targeted therapies. Glioma-type identification depends on specific molecular and histological features, which are defined by the official WHO classification CNS. These guidelines…

Applications · Statistics 2023-05-23 Roberta Coletti , Mónica L. Mendonça , Susana Vinga , Marta B. Lopes

One of the common goals of time series analysis is to use the observed series to inform predictions for future observations. In the absence of any actual new data to predict, cross-validation can be used to estimate a model's future…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-02 Paul-Christian Bürkner , Jonah Gabry , Aki Vehtari

We analyze the performance of cross-validation (CV) in the density estimation framework with two purposes: (i) risk estimation and (ii) model selection. The main focus is given to the so-called leave-$p$-out CV procedure (Lpo), where $p$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-02 Alain Celisse

Background The cost of drug discovery and development is substantial, with clinical trial outcomes playing a critical role in regulatory approval and patient care. However, access to large-scale, high-quality clinical trial outcome data…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-03-07 Chufan Gao , Jathurshan Pradeepkumar , Trisha Das , Shivashankar Thati , Jimeng Sun

We propose a simple method for evaluating the model that has been chosen by an adaptive regression procedure, our main focus being the lasso. This procedure deletes each chosen predictor and refits the lasso to get a set of models that are…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-06 Leying Guan , Robert Tibshirani

Cross-validation can be used to measure a model's predictive accuracy for the purpose of model comparison, averaging, or selection. Standard leave-one-out cross-validation (LOO-CV) requires that the observation model can be factorized into…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-21 Paul-Christian Bürkner , Jonah Gabry , Aki Vehtari

This paper contributes to the literature on treatment effects estimation with machine learning inspired methods by studying the performance of different estimators based on the Lasso. Building on recent work in the field of high-dimensional…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-05-15 Michael Zimmert

Cellwise outliers are widespread in data and traditional robust methods may fail when applied to datasets under such contamination. We propose a variable selection procedure, that uses a pairwise robust estimator to obtain an initial…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-06 Peng Su , Garth Tarr , Samuel Muller

In medical diagnostics, leveraging multiple biomarkers can significantly improve classification accuracy compared to using a single biomarker. While existing methods based on exponential tilting or density ratio models have shown promise,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-08 Fangyong Zheng , Pengfei Li , Tao Yu

We investigate leave-one-out cross validation (CV) as a determinator of the weight of the penalty term in the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO). First, on the basis of the message passing algorithm and a perturbative…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-06-22 Tomoyuki Obuchi , Yoshiyuki Kabashima

Recursive partitioning approaches producing tree-like models are a long standing staple of predictive modeling, in the last decade mostly as ``sub-learners'' within state of the art ensemble methods like Boosting and Random Forest. However,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-12-14 Amichai Painsky , Saharon Rosset

Traditionally, machine learning-based clinical prediction models have been trained and evaluated on patient data from a single source, such as a hospital. Cross-validation methods can be used to estimate the accuracy of such models on new…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-24 Tuija Leinonen , David Wong , Antti Vasankari , Ali Wahab , Ramesh Nadarajah , Matti Kaisti , Antti Airola

This article presents a novel methodology for detecting multiple biomarkers in high-dimensional mediation models by utilizing a modified Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) alongside Pathway LASSO. This approach…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-17 Pei-Shan Yen , Soumya Sahu , Debarghya Nandi , Zhaoliang Zhou , Olusola Ajilore , Dulal Bhaumik

Estimating out-of-sample risk for models trained on large high-dimensional datasets is an expensive but essential part of the machine learning process, enabling practitioners to optimally tune hyperparameters. Cross-validation (CV) serves…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-28 Parth Nobel , Daniel LeJeune , Emmanuel J. Candès
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