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We consider statistics for stochastic evolution equations in Hilbert space with emphasis on stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs). We observe a solution process under additional measurement errors and want to estimate a real or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-21 Gregor Pasemann , Markus Reiß

In this work, we explore modeling change points in time-series data using neural stochastic differential equations (neural SDEs). We propose a novel model formulation and training procedure based on the variational autoencoder (VAE)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-16 Yousef El-Laham , Zhongchang Sun , Haibei Zhu , Tucker Balch , Svitlana Vyetrenko

Modeling sequential patterns from data is at the core of various time series forecasting tasks. Deep learning models have greatly outperformed many traditional models, but these black-box models generally lack explainability in prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-23 Yingtao Luo , Chang Xu , Yang Liu , Weiqing Liu , Shun Zheng , Jiang Bian

Reconstructing high-dimensional spatiotemporal fields from sparse point-sensor measurements is a central challenge in learning parametric PDE dynamics. Existing approaches often struggle to generalize across trajectories and parameter…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-05 Yanjie Tong , Peng Chen

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are a staple of mathematical modelling of temporal dynamics. However, a fundamental limitation has been that such models have typically been relatively inflexible, which recent work introducing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-12 Patrick Kidger , James Foster , Xuechen Li , Harald Oberhauser , Terry Lyons

We present a numerical method for learning unknown nonautonomous stochastic dynamical system, i.e., stochastic system subject to time dependent excitation or control signals. Our basic assumption is that the governing equations for the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Yuan Chen , Dongbin Xiu

A general class of dynamical systems which can be trained to operate in classification and generation modes are introduced. A procedure is proposed to plant asymptotic stationary attractors of the deterministic model. Optimizing the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2025-10-15 Stefano Gagliani , Feliciano Giuseppe Pacifico , Lorenzo Chicchi , Duccio Fanelli , Diego Febbe , Lorenzo Buffoni , Raffaele Marino

The manifold hypothesis suggests that high-dimensional neural time series lie on a low-dimensional manifold shaped by simpler underlying dynamics. To uncover this structure, latent dynamical variable models such as state-space models,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-30 Pedram Rajaei , Maryam Ostadsharif Memar , Navid Ziaei , Behzad Nazari , Ali Yousefi

We propose TRACIE, a novel temporal reasoning dataset that evaluates the degree to which systems understand implicit events -- events that are not mentioned explicitly in natural language text but can be inferred from it. This introduces a…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-05-11 Ben Zhou , Kyle Richardson , Qiang Ning , Tushar Khot , Ashish Sabharwal , Dan Roth

Ordinary differential equation (ODE) models are widely used to describe systems in many areas of science. To ensure these models provide accurate and interpretable representations of real-world dynamics, it is often necessary to infer…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-24 Selva Salimi , David J. Warne , Christopher Drovandi

I propose a novel framework that integrates stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with deep generative models to improve uncertainty quantification in machine learning applications involving structured and temporal data. This approach,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-09 James Rice

Sound is an information-rich medium that captures dynamic physical events. This work presents STReSSD, a framework that uses sound to bridge the simulation-to-reality gap for stochastic dynamics, demonstrated for the canonical case of a…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-11-09 Carolyn Matl , Yashraj Narang , Dieter Fox , Ruzena Bajcsy , Fabio Ramos

The reliability of autonomous systems depends on their robustness, i.e., their ability to meet their objectives under uncertainty. In this paper, we study spatiotemporal robustness of temporal logic specifications evaluated over…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Oliver Schön , Lars Lindemann

Traffic forecasting is an important issue in intelligent traffic systems (ITS). Graph neural networks (GNNs) are effective deep learning models to capture the complex spatio-temporal dependency of traffic data, achieving ideal prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-03 Weiheng Zhong , Hadi Meidani , Jane Macfarlane

A variety of complex biological, natural and man-made systems exhibit non-Markovian dynamics that can be modeled through fractional order differential equations, yet, we lack sample comlexity aware system identification strategies. Towards…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-23 Xiaole Zhang , Vijay Gupta , Paul Bogdan

Nonlinear ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are powerful tools for modeling real-world dynamical systems. However, propagating initial state uncertainty through nonlinear dynamics, especially when the ODE is unknown and learned from…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-06 Peter Amorese , Morteza Lahijanian

We propose RHYME-XT, an operator-learning framework for surrogate modeling of spatiotemporal control systems governed by input-affine nonlinear partial integro-differential equations (PIDEs) with localized rhythmic behavior. RHYME-XT uses a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-19 Marijn Ruiter , Miguel Aguiar , Jake Rap , Karl H. Johansson , Amritam Das

While exogenous variables have a major impact on performance improvement in time series analysis, inter-series correlation and time dependence among them are rarely considered in the present continuous methods. The dynamical systems of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-26 Penglei Gao , Xi Yang , Rui Zhang , Ping Guo , John Y. Goulermas , Kaizhu Huang

Systems with stochastic time delay between the input and output present a number of unique challenges. Time domain noise leads to irregular alignments, obfuscates relationships and attenuates inferred coefficients. To handle these…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-15 Juan Camilo Orduz , Aaron Pickering

Dynamical systems governed by ordinary differential equations (ODEs) serve as models for a vast number of natural and social phenomena. In this work, we offer a fresh perspective on the classical problem of imputing missing time series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-17 Patrick Seifner , Kostadin Cvejoski , Antonia Körner , Ramsés J. Sánchez